Singapore Racing
3 February 2013
Race 9 - Open
1200M Long Course E
Stakes $125,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS ***HUKA FALLS
IIZI SELECTS : *SPEEDY CAT
TW (TRACKWATCHER ) SELECTS :*** HUKA FALLS...
TRACKFORM 7-2-6-11-9-1-5
VB (VALUE BET) SELECTS * FOXTROT HOTEL
LS (LONGSHOT ) PICKS ** EL PADRINO
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
The trend of favourites floundering continues unabated and most of last years leading tipsters are sitting on a solitary win with Huka Falls.Most of the Media Tipsters think this will be his sternest test so far but I believe i based on the handicap that it will be a canter in the park for the Kiwi connections despite the fact that he is a 3 YO (albeit a very promising 3 YO) taking on seasoned seniors at 4 Year olds and 5 year olds. VB struck the only win of the day on Affirmation on Friday so the top trio remains relatively unchanged with LS(Longshot ) leading the way with 5 wins from 11 selections and Tan Thean Loon and Xiu Fang sharing 2nd spot with 4 wins each
Singapore Nap and Starstatz Racing are making slow headway in the Big Race Challenge but I truly believe they will bounce back from the slow start and eventually out perform LS and VB in the long run!
PREVIEW OF RACE
Huka Falls actually has the best HR over this distance for this race. The pace will be good to fast and if there is to be an upset it should come from the horses who are off the pace and flying home at the finish! It is quite similar to the Affirmation race on Friday with 4 front running types in 5-3-7-1. Based on the HR figures I expect Huka Falls to have 2 lengths to spare and the main threat I believe will come form El Padrino with his 1400M race experience suited to the long course especially with market 2nd favourite Speedy Cat drawn wide. and Valevole will be disadvantaged if the pace is fast and furious then I expect Valevole with the benefit of the rails run to hang on for 3rd place with promising Foxtrot Hotel dropping in for 4th .
In order my selections are 7/6-2/11-5/9-1. I suggest playing a big bet on 7#6 for forecast/place forecast . Use 7 as the sole banker for all exotic bets and especially the tierce/quartet bet. Bet a big bet on win only for Huka Falls if the going is good and a large to medium bet if the going is yielding. Be wary if it rains and the going turns to soft as he was all at sea on this surface on 30th September 2012 but with a Sire like Align yielding going will pose no problems and he should handle the yielding track easily.Please note that I have ammended the selection order from Singapore Nap and the advice on forecast.place forecast betting as the the Trackwatcher reckons 2 to be the main threat to 7 . I have remain steadfast with my suoort og 6 as my 2nd pick as his 1400M race forte experience will allow to do well on the long course whereas 2 is drawn badly but will be suited by the fast pace!
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