15 February 2013

SINGAPORE RACING 15 FEBRUARY 2013 - STARSTATZ RACING + 4 OTHER MONICKER TIPSTERS

Singapore Racing
15 February 2013
Race 8 Kranji Stakes A
1400M Short Course B
Stakes $125,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS : ** CAPTAIN OBVIOUS
IIZI SELECTS  **: GHOZI
TW (TRACKWATCHER ) SELECTS **GHOZI....TRACK FORM REPORT  3-1-10-2
VB (VALUE BET.... FOR PLACE BETTING ONLY) SELECTS : ** EL PADRINO
LS (LONGSHOT) SELECTS : ** CAPTAIN OBVIOUS

BACKGROUND INFORMATION
I stand corrected on my tally for Singapore Nap which is now 2 wins and 5 placings from 13 selections while Starstatz Racing is on 3 wins / 5 placings from 13 selections was one of the very few Media Tipsters( Longshot also scored on Martin and is now in a clear lead in the Big Race Challenge with 5 wins from 13 selections) who managed the tip on value bet Martin last Sunday on 11 February 2013

In the Big Race Challenge Tan Thean Loon is 2nd with 4 wins together with Xiu Fang but TTL has more placings.

The Martin win should that Media Tipsters if they have access to good trackwatcher reports will do better than armchair tipsters with no access to trackwatch reports. Even though the form from the trackwatcher placed Lizarre ahead of Martin . We managed to tip Martin due to his class assessment by the tipster. The result continued the trend of favourites falling like 10 pins and I expect What Now to fail again and I expect the race to be fought out by Captain Obvious who seems to be under the radar with his bad barrier draw with the Ghozi and Captain Obvious stablemate the Burridge trained El Padrino who is running 8.5 kg underscaled and I expect Ghozi to have a slight edge on El Padrino despite El Padrino seemingly better Speed figure but Ghozi has the better handciap and the better sectional times as well. However if the pace is good and possibly slow than 1 might get the rails run or least one off the rails alongside Keep Away. If Captain Obvious can cruise to the front 2 positions he has a better chance to steal this race if the other 2 riders are caught napping if the pace is slow and the short course straight will help his cause. Other than the hopelessly off form Fighter Jet ....Captain Obvious has the best HR in the race and has a higher rating than Ghozi by a massive 10 points(5 kg) but both are carrying the same weight and top impost of 59.5 kg
Despite LS being in the lead with 5 wins I still contend that Singapore Nap and Starstatz Racing will eventually overhaul LS. I expect What Now and Cash Luck to fail to meet the quartet top 4 cut today although Cash Luck still has a slim chance to oust Flying Fulton for a placing or 4th spot!. We reckon that 1#3#10 will do well on the forecast/place forecast play today and continue the trend o f favourites like What Now failing badly!

BACKGROUND INFORMATION
The pace will be good and possibly slow with 3 front runners in in 8-1-4 leading the way and Captain Obvous if in form has a 6 length advantage in ratings to compensate for his wide barrier draw ( 1.5 to 2 lengths compensation ) and will score if he jumps well without using too much petrol to lead or be alongside Keep Away. Moreover Captain Obvious is a huge horse and has proven he can carry weight and win and through his own performances and the influence Irish mudlark Verglas will improve if it rains as expected based on weather forcast of showers with thunder. He will be an even better bet if the going turns to soft as he will be travelling on firmer ground before the 1st turn while 3 and 10 will be travelling on the wet track nearest the rails. If 1 fails to be in the front 2 than I expect Ghozi to beat El Padrino. I expect What Now to run 4th or worst and I believe Flying Fulton might do better than What Now to clinch a top 4 spot to increase the payout for the exotic bets!

Put a medium each way bet on 1 and cover 3 if desired and use both as joint bankers on the 1st line and1-3-10 as key horses on the 3rd line and do a box bet on 1#3#10 for forecast and place forecast in case 1 fails to saddle up but he has done very well 2nd up in the past with an amazing 5 wins from 7 2nd up starts. He has a tremendous handicap advantage if fit as the rest are running at 3.5 kg ad 9.5 kg underscaled with the 2 main threats at 5 kg underscaled for Ghozi and 8.5 kg for El Padrino . In order my selections are 1-3-10- 2-11-5-6 . I suggest to go for value and leave out What Now from the exotics if on a tight budget but if you feel the favourite will be thereabouts than leave out 5 instead! I rate Captain Obvious a 2 ** medium bet!















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