29 July 2012

STARSTATZ RACING 29 JULY 2012

My research today has been very thorough and I should do a top of the table performance and my 2nd picks are good alternates if you don't like my top choice and I should be able to close the gap on the leaders today and 3 *** bets are good plays. My selections are :-
R1   *3-6-10/4-1-5-2
R2   ***6-4-1/12-11-3-8
R3   **11-1/10-6-5-2-12
R4   *2-5-10/4-7-1-6
R5    ***3-5-1/16-11-9-2....BEST VALUE FORECAST ON 3#5
R6   ***1-6-5/2-3-10-4
R7   ***2-6-9-11/13-1-8
R8   ***4-11/3-6-2-5-7
R9   **5-1-3/2-7-13-10....DOWNGRADE TO 2 STARS(3 STARS ON SINGAPORE NAP)  IF GOING IS GOOD AND COVER 1 SERIOUSLY AS POSSIBLE WINNER  IF GOING IS GOOD
R10   *   4-6/8-11-3-2-12
R11   ***9-87/5-10-11-2
R12   **5-7/8-9-12-11-1

27 July 2012

starstatz racing 27 july 2012

I expect Mr Moreira to do well after a relatively quiet weekend last week. i expect him to at least maintain his 30% strike rate with plumb armchair  rides in Race 6 and Race 8.My preparation has only been fair but more thorough for Sunday . I hope to go with the pace set by Frosty today but I hope to close the gap on sunday!
My selections are :-
R1   *6-5/1-4
R2   **2-3/7-5
R3   **10-2/11-3
R4   *5-3/10-1
R5   3-6/5-8...SLOW PACE RACE WHICH MAY SUIT 6 BETTER AND SUGGEST TO COVER BUT 3 IS TRACKWORK STAR WITH SLIGHTLY SUPERIOR HANDICAP
R6   ***10-11/9-8...BEST FORECAST
R7  *5-6/8-1
R8   ***2-8/9-6-10-5-12
R9   *3-5/6-4

Replication of post on Singapore Nap 27July 2012

 This is a replication of my post on Singapore Nap which missed the posting dateline. The tally shall be counted in my strike rate total. I have discussed the issue of the article on STC website regarding Michael Lee's interview with Trainer Ms Leticia Dragon. The interview highlighted the glowing winning chances of Grand Approach (unplaced)and Good Louken (unplaced) and there was a mention of King Racer who ran 2nd over that weekend but curiously and and co-incidentally there was not a single line mentioned of her charge by the name of Pied Piper who won the Shin Min Cup at at good price of $61/$14 . Ms Dragon may have played the Pied Piper and gave the direction of how the interview ran but surely the fact that Ms Dragon had a runner in an STC Promotion event like the Shin Min Cup(albeit a Class 4 race) should have deserved some mention. If the Trainer had forgotten to mention this horse surely the interviewer(if he had researched all the runners Ms Dragon had for the weekend could have asked a probing or searching question as to how Pied Piper was getting along in terms of fitness if not other pertinent questions on assessment of chances as is usually done for major Cup races like the Emirates Derby. Let me reiterate my understanding with STC Senior Management that writers are not Tipsters but surely they could be better prepared by covering and reporting on all the entries that the interviewed Trainer has for that particular weekend. Is this minimum standard of journalistic standards too much to ask for on behalf of the racegoers who read the articles and invest their hard earned money when they go to the races? In future what if the journalists interview a paricular Trainer who has 2 or 3 entries in a particular race.....the Trainer will wax lyrical about one or two of his charges but omits mentioning the remaining horse. It would look awkward to say the least if the horse that is not mentioned goes on to win? Is the journalist the mouthpiece of the Trainers only echoing what the Trainer wants to let on without having the duty of covering all bases(in this case horses). One of the Managers from STC Digital Media....Mr Philip Woong has responded by "strongly disagreeing"to my email by labelling my posting as " senseless argument " and even chiding me by saying "I am barking up the wrong tree. I sincerely hope Mr Woong is not endorsing the return to the past where an interview was done with the connections of Capablanca but stablemate Handsome Jazz won and Don't Tell The Wife Connections but stablemate and hot favourite Flying Fulton won! I am not asking that these journalists to be Top Tipsters but surely a well prepared and well researched interview that covers all the bases is too much to ask! I truly hope the sentiments echoed by Mr Philip Woong in defence of his junior colleague Mr Michael Lee are not shared by Senior Management of STC. To make the point more dramatic let's say Desmond Koh(plaudits have already been given to Mr KOH for rating Chase Me's chances in the Emirates Derby as better than Arrowana Dot Com despite ADC's higher ratings). Mr Koh chooses only to mention ADC's chances....surely the minimum journalistic standards would require the interviewer to ask about Chase Me's chances and form. Mr Phillip Woong seems to be perfectly comfortable if the interviewer fails to ask additional questions and just reports what Mr Koh may choose to metion only. I admire Mr Philip Woong's loyalty in defence of Mr Michael Lee's article but I wonder if it is misplaced and he supports incomplete interviews biased in favour of what the Trainer is willing to reveal without making it a balanced interview covering all the angles! I shall be filing a follow up complaint and I hope to elicit a more insightful and impartial and objective response based on the issues I have raised as I believed in Mr Woong's response it was all emotional with numerous labels on my judgement but not addressing the issues at hand . Mr Woong can rule his Digital Media fiefdom the way he likes( not for me to judge) but if the results affect the ordinary racegoer then these issues should not be allowed to fester at strike rates easily below 25% and closer to 20% if not below as was the case from 01 January 2011 to 31 July after my complaint on the Dont' Tell The Wife article. This was followed by astonishing improvement in the 2nd half of the season where the writers were chalking up extraordinary strike rates of 30-50% but as we all have agreed ...winners are not the issue but all I am asking for is a well balanced coverage...is this too much to ask? I REST MY CASE!
 
Singapore Nap
27July 2012
Dissolved ( X2 )
Race 8 Class 3
1100M Polytrack
Stakes $75,000
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Singapore Nap notched 1 win (and 1 2nd)from 3 selections to stay in a clear lead in the strike rate challenge with 51.61% while Andrew Frost is cantering comfortable in the lead for the full card challenge and as I had predicted earlier in the season when he was not in the lead that he will be my favourite for getting the Top Tipster award with 189 wins from 578 selections for a commanding 32.7% strike rate while Winner21 SMS is lying in 2nd 187 wins for a 32.35% strike rate and Starstatz Racing with only 2 wins on Sunday is om 178 wins for a 30.8% strike rate Racing Guide is just behind Starstatz and Brian Miller is the best of the rest who did not make the 30% benchmark with 172 wins at 29.76%. .In the battle for the wooden spoon Victory Trails continues to "trail" the whole field with 4 of their stable of 5 tipsters hogging the bottom 5 spots(hovering between 131 to 145 wins in the % zone between 22.66% to 25.09% with the exception of Joleen on a credible 167 wins on 28.89% strike rate) . How can they market the product well with the lacklustre performances for their 2nd season from their stable of tipsters and hardly without any new innovations(most of the data produced is available on turfclub.com.sg except for the colours of the jockeys ' silks) since they launched their Flagship publication. SPH has a reputation for trail blazing and leading the way in other fields but in this field Victory Trail are sadly lacking in performance and innovations. STC has introduced 'Trackus" sectional times but till date Victory Trail have either been unable or unwilling (perhaps space constraints might be a consideration)to
embrace the new technology and assist its readers in playing the right horses and its readers will continue going for the favourites with the fastest times which will again happen in the Magic Millions Race on Sunday where I can assure you that the horses with the previous best recorded times will not likely win the race and the horse that we pick to win has the best yielding going sectional times. Punters Way can claim that they have picked 22 winners from all their 3 star picks (they have unabashedly include their 2 star pick on Super Kenny and and Atiamuri who lost it in the Stewards Room). Publications like Punters Way and Victory Trail have a Mandarin Culture in their methodolgies and they are still embracing the technologies of 25 years ago but the latest videos , articles from Magazines are all in English. For example some publications are using opening sectional times of 300M ,600M 800M and 1000M in tandem with the final closing of 400M. I do not begrudge these preferences as there many roads to Rome but I have yet to encounter a reasonable explaination on the use of these sectional times to aid their readers in picking the right winners. Punters Way have 6 3 star picks and 9 2 star picks in Race 5 on Sunday and they have picked 1-4-9-10 to win the race....I wonder what are the odds that the winner is not likely to be one of these 4 horses and will be my pick for this race....he does not have a previously recorded super race time but his relatively unknown Super sire(at least to Singapore) is oozing class all around. Let me give free advice in the English mainstream publications and in HKG circles and the more knowlegable local Trainers in Singapore sectional times are a compilation of the 1st 400M and last 400M times of a race at whatever race distance.
I have 2 more bug bears I would like to address the publication of fastest times should always be with the tandem reproduction of the weight that the horse carried when he clocked that fastest time. Surely one cannot expect a horse who clocked 1:09.9 to when he carried 50kg to clock the same time when he is
carrying 57kg on race day. The 2nd bug bear I will address briefly on this blog (but in greater specific detail on starstatzracing.blogspot.com) is that I accept the point that horse racing journalists are not Race Tipsters and this issue has been agreed between STC Senior Management and the writers and myself a critic of their work. Is it too much too expect these journalists to be thorough in their research when they do pre-race interviews with Trainers and not let the Trainers lead them on the direction the interview goes eg the Trainer has 4 horses running for the weekend and he/she mentions 2 obvious favourites and the 3rd horse but co-incidentally forgets to mention the 4th horse. I understand the local culture that no Trainer (Desmond Koh is a wonderful exception when he mentioned Chase Me ahead of Arrowana Dot Com and Laurie Laxon at times in the past on a good day....Mr Shaw and Mr Freedman when interviewed) is enthusiastic about giving racegoers a "free ride " on tips unlike in HKG where they are proud to talk bout the chances of their horses. Three things can happen ....the Trainer says "the horse is in need of a run and not ready (he/she will look silly if the horse wins).....the 2nd is double talk and being vague....the horse is coming along fine but it is a tough field...or confidently predicts that the horse has good chances to win or do well. There is a slight(or gross as some might think) dereliction of duty when the interviewer fails searching or relevant questions on the horse that the Trainer forgot to mention. In the past I have brought up gross oversights by writers to ask searching questions when these Trainers had 2 or 3 entries in the same race and when interviewed these Trainers would highlight the chances of the race favourite without a single line being mentioned on their stablemates who eventually won . This had happened in the past and addressed by this writer with STC in the examples of Capablanca and stablemate Handsome Jazz won at handsome odds if I could quip and the more recent example on Dont Tell The Wife and stablemate Flying Fulton won. I am not alluding currently to any conspiracy theories but I do hope journalistic standards will improve and when these pre-race interviews are conducted that these writers ensure that all angles and bases (particular all entries by the Trainers for that weekend) and to ensure they inquire form these Trainers and mention all the horses that are running for the weekend and leave it to the Trainers on how the horses are to be mentioned. These same journalists must be seen to be beyond question and ensure they carry out their interviews in a well-prepared and thorough manner to avoid any false accusations of conspiracy theories. I do hope the writers(have the Luck) will conduct a similar interview when these horses with undoubted class bounce back from their defeats and inevitably win again in their next race! It goes beyond question that when the Trainers have more than one charge in the same race that he should comment on all their chances as Mr Desmond did when he kindly hinted that he expected Chase Me to do better than Arrowana Dot Com despite ADC having the higher rating. Kudos to Mr Desmond Koh for being frank and forthright inhis pre-race interview for the Emirates Derby. I shall cover this issue in greater detail with specifics in my other blog if I can make it on time
PREVIEW OF RACE
Dissolved has all the credentials and class to take this race 1st up with only 2 relatively minor problems when taken into context when he beat(despite being on a tight rein) the filly Better Life who duly won her race. His Sire Lonhro (by Octagonal/Zabeel) more noted for his staying prowess in Group 1 and has 6 progeny who have won 11 Group 1 races. However Lonhro is a versatile Sire who is has endowed his progeny with sprinting prowess probably from Lonhro's Dam Shadea(by Straight strike /Mr Prospector line)who herself is a half-sister to 7 time Group 1 winner Grand Armee. Dissolved has a credible strike rate of 3 wins/3 placings from 9 starts when fit and his wins were from 1100M to 1400M and what is pertinent is that his Listed Race win is over today's race distance of 1100M(Flemington Stakes) albeit on Turf in a fast time of 1:04.26 with 53kg . He is a big horse standing at 16.1 hands so carrying the impost of 56.5kg will not pose any problems at all.Dissolved Dam is no slouch eithe rhving won a 1600M race and is by Grand Lodge.If we probe further into the Dam's bloodline you will find staying classy staying luminaries like Danzig,Habitat,Sir Tristram and Whiskey Road. However Dissolved's half brother by his Dam Yarralumla seems to have inherited the sprinting attributes as well. Besides he is going to have the services of Magic Moreira as well and he should pay well despite being a 1st favourite despite being drawn in gate 10. He has sufficient natural gatespeed to get the rails run without extending himself as he is the sole front runner in this race and he should get across and be in a comfortable position in a opening sectional slower than 24.0. In the worst case scenario he could sit in the box seat behind BM Win (BMW) and Squall Line if BMW presses him for the early lead. The only negative is that Dissolved 's last win was 874 days ago on 6 March 2010 and his last run in a race was 25February 2011 but this factor is being negated by the fact that he has an excellent 1st up record of 1 win and 2 placing from 4 1st up attempts. He probably has suffered a setback or injury but judging from the trackwork he seems to have recovered fully and Moreira has personally taken him out for trackwork and his trials were all on a tight hold!
Today i have used the sectional times to help me assess the race and the best sectional times in order are 8-9-10-5-12-7-11-6-1. My selections in order are 2-8-9-6-10-5-12. I suggest to take a calculated risk by using 2 as the sole banker on the 1st line and if on a budget use 8-9-6 as key horses on the 2nd line with 8-9-6-10-5-12on the remining 3rd and 4th lines. If budget is not a problem by all means go ahead with 2#8-9-6-10-5-12 but take note that the expected slow pace will not help the cause of off pace runners like Totara(bled before) and Royce and closers like Saratoga (despite his favourable handicap ratings) and Hey Toro who will probably jump last. Do play a big 3 star bet on 2 on win/place and I expect the support for Moreira to be offset by bad barrier draw and his dividend should be a double digit figure as racegoers are usually prejudiced against wide draws. Do a big forecast/play forecast on 2#8-9-6(key horses) with additional tickets on 2#8-9 (key horses)
Sngapore Nap selects: number 2 Dissolved ( X2 )
Next Singapore Nap 29 July 2012
Supplied in Singapore by Patrick Khoo

22 July 2012

STARSTATZ RACING 22 JULY 2012

My selections today are fairly well researched. They are R1 ***9-1/6-3-7-12-10 R2 ***10-3/5-1-11 R3 *2-6/1-9-11-7-4 risky longshot R4 *1-2/9-7-12-3-8 R5 ***4-3/1-5-2-9-8 R6 *3-9/1-4-10-11-13 open race R7 ***1-10-9-4-3-7-8 R8 ** 2-8/9-1-10 R9 ***3/1/7-4 Shoo-in bet .... Best direct quartet R10 * 2-3/8-10 R11 *** 5-1/2/7-3-4 best value bet.... Best fct R12 12-2/9-5-4-6 ..... Value bet

20 July 2012

STARSTATZ RACING 20 jULY 2012 REPLICATION OF POST on Singapore Nap

My blog posting was late and may not make it to post but I shall include the results in my overall Singapore Nap Tally and strike rate.

Singapore Nap 20 July 2012
Natural Nice ( X 2)
El Milagro ( X2 )
Race 5 Shin Min Cup - Class 4
1400M Short Course D
Stakes $55,000
Race 7 The New vPaper Trophy - Class 3
1200M Short Course D
Stakes $75,000
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Singapore Nap was one of the lucky Media publications(another was Punters Way.....we do credit when crdit is due) to have picked the correct winner in the Singapore . In view of the post race interview with Desmond Koh it was Jose Moreira who "chased" (pardon the pun) Desmond for the ride on Chase Me. This vindicates our selection strategy on letting the top jockeys give us an indication who the winners are going and in the end the weather conditions also played it part on the outcome of the race and in the end Deep Pockets (whom we described as a swimmer) whom the market sentiment preferred compared to "Chase Me" but our handicapping system actually put Chase Me 5.2 points or lengths ahead of Deep Pockets. In my post mortem with my Grand Master he pointed out to me that Hussonet progeny by Mr Prospector could stay despite the fact that Hussonet was a sprinter-miler and Mr Prospector was essentially a miler and this can be seen in Chilli the Class 5 galloper who won at 1900M. I also mistook Arrowana Dot Com's 's Dam Unveil as a sprinter mistaking his Dam an out and out stayer by Dam Sire Chief's Crown for Beautiful Crown who was a sprinter and I was not meticulous enough in my research. He actually suggested before the race to include Silveron Wings in my quartet but I stubbornly did not heed his advice thinking that Centaine mares are essentially milers. In actual fact if I had qualified them as stayers they could have come into the reckoning with their HR 94.5(ADC) and HR86.7 for Silveron Wings compared to Chase Me at HR94.6 and Deep Pockets at HR 89.7(but improved because of wet track conditions).Considering highest rated GM(Gingerbread Man ) flopped because of the wide extreme most barrier draw and as was suspected Nandowra if he could not place in his element on wet tracks that his maximum suitable distance was 1800M rather than 2000M thus getting the influence of Dam Sire OReilly who was essentially a miler. If we go on ratings than Chase Me was the 3rd highest rated horse confirms the potency of our handicap system. It showed how far I was behind my Grand Master or "Sifu" in understanding the study of bloodstock analysis
In the mean time on the tally front Singapore Nap is in an irresistable strike rate form with 30 wins/11 placings from 57 selections for a profitable strike rate of 52.63% while Andrew Frost has surged ahead in the full card challenge for 183 wins from 556 races for a 32.91% strike rate to be overall 2nd. Winner 21 SMS are in 2nd on 181 wins form maximum for a 32.55% strike rate while Startstaz Racing hesitated and changed the selection for the Emirates Derby and missed the top of the table performance with only 4 wins to go 174 wins to be on 30.76% while Racing Guide are the 4th and final publication to meet the 30% strike rate with 171 wins from maximum for a strike % of 30.76 while Brian Miller is the best of the rest below the 30% cut off figure with 166 wins from maximum for a 29.86% .
PREVIEW OF RACE 5
Due to pressing datelines I shall be brief....my selections in order are 1-7-2-3-4-5-8. Play a 3*** big each way bet on Natural Nice who is in his element under the expected wet track conditions although Spyder posted a seemingly fast ( but deceptive) 1400M in 1:22.13 but their tracks in Argentina are typically fast so the figures are misleading when compared to Singapore Speed Figures. Use 7 and 2 as key horses on the nd line if you have a limited budget and the remainder on the 3rd and 4th lines(by all means use all 6 remaining horses on the 2nd/3rd/4th lines if you do have a bigger budget with 1 as the sole banker. Use 1#7-2 on fct/pft with a big bet. I have managed to understand the secret of Moriera's success and I see his winning prospects are better in this race compared to his ride on Lady Xuan. Let's see if this pan out in the results. By reading my comments those with some experience would have got the 6#8 fct/pft although missing out on the tierce/quartet .
The expected very slow pace with Spyder as the lone front runner and Natural in the box seat behind Spyder and Whirlrunner will suit both Spyder and Natrural Nice.
PREVIEW OF RACE 7
My selections in order are 1-2--10/-3-6-8- .Play a 3 *** big bet on win/place on El Milagro and use him as the sole banker on the 1st line with 2-10 as key horses on the 2nd line for those with a limited budget ....do play a big bet on fct/pft on 1#2-10. If you have a bigger budget I suggest to use 1 as the sole banker and the remaing 6 selections on the 2nd /3rd/4th lines as appropriate for the fct/pft. On a wet track 11 will do well but even Moreira will find it hard to overcome the disadvantage of being drawn in barrier 11 but he would do well to get the fct/pft positions
Singapore Nap selects Race 5 number 1: Natural Nice (X 2)
Singapore Nap selects Race 7 number 1 El Milagro (X2)

STARSTATZ RACING 20 JULY 2012

My preparation has only been fair and the track is soft so be very cautious today as I do not expect favourites to do well.

MY SELECTIONS ARE :-
RACE 1   **5-2-3/6 ...LONGSHOT OF THE NIGHT ...SIRE OREILLY IS A SWIMMER
RACE 2   *3-4/11-7
RACE 3   ***3-1/7-8 BEST BET
RACE 4   **7-4/3-2
RACE 5   ***1-2-7/4-3-4-5-8
RACE 6   * 3-9/2-7
RACE 7   ***1-2-11/6-10-3-8
RACE 8   *4-1/2-9
RACE 9   **5-4/1-7 ...VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT
RACE 10   *1-2/8-7 ...wild longshot suited to soft track

15 July 2012

STARSTATZ RACING 15 JULY 2012

My research is better than fair and I should have a chance to close the gap today and I fancy Moreira and laxon(not together all the time) to fair well today. I am hedging my bet in the Derby after receiving the track report and switched to Red Beard for the full card selections on Starstatz.Consider horses left of the stroke (/) These are my selections today:-
RACE 1***....1-8/4-7....LONGSHOT OF THE DAY...FORMER GRP 3 WINNER OVERSEAS AND WILL CHANGE TO FRONT RUNNING STYLE
RACE 2   *** 10-5/7-9
RACE 3   *5-7/13-14
RACE 4   **8-6/9-7
RACE 5   **8-2/3-1...CAN COVER 2 AS GRANDSIRE REDOUBTE'S CHOICE CAN STAY
RACE 6   ***8-12/2-3
RACE 7   ***3/6-1-10-2...SHOO-IN BET
RACE 8   ***3-4/8-1
RACE 9   **13-1/14-6....BEST VALUE BET...MUST COVER 1 AS HE IS TRACK WORK STAR
RACE 10   ** 1-11/2-6
RACE 11  * 4-6-1-2-8-14/ 10...MOST OPEN RACE OF THE DAY...NOTE CHANGE IN SELECTION FROM 7NAPS
RACE 12  ***13-14/3-10...BEST BET

13 July 2012

STARSTATZ RACING 13 JULY 2012

My research today is thorough today ...there will be no excuses if I fail to close the gap on the leaders. For an update on the latest scores check out my blog on www.7naps.com. consider seriously the horses on the left of the (/) if my 1st pick does not appeal to you
My selections are:-
RACE 1   **1-6/5-2
RACE 2   ***3-6/2-5
RACE 3   ***7-13/3-10
RACE 4   **7-2/1-9
RACE 5   **4-10/9-1....MY LONGSHOT OF THE DAY
RACE 6  *10-2/9-3...WILD LONGSHOT OF THE DAY BUT PACE SUITS 2...CAN COVER 2
RACE 7   5-3/9-6....VALUE BET OF THE DAY ...GOOD FCT/PFT PLAY...CAN COVER 3
AS 3 IS TRACKWORK STAR
RACE 8   ***1-2/5-8-4-3-7...BEST QUARTET....BEST FCT
RACE 9   **4-2/7-1
RACE 10   ***12-10/11-1

06 July 2012

STARSTATZ RACING 06 JULY 2012

My research has been thorough but I am only worried about the 2nd pick syndrome which hit me last Sunday with only 2 winners and 4 2nd picks winning....there is a possibility of lightning striking twice but I am confident that those playing win/place should stick with my 1st 2 picks and in some cases Dutch betting is recommended. If you disagree with my 1st pick I highly recommend that you opt for my 2nd pick. For the lastest tally check my other blog on www.7naps.com under the banner of Singapore Naps. In some races today I have gone against some of the 1st favourites. forecast betting should do well today.
My selections are :-
R1   **1-2/5-4
R2   ***9-1/12-3....GOOD FORECAST...9 HAS BEST SECT. TIMES AND 1 WAS BAULKED FOR A RUN
R3   **1-9/6-13
R4   **6-12/2-1
R5  **1-2/3-8....CAN COVER 2 ON DUTCH BET....BEST FORECAST
R6   *1-13/10-8....MOST OPEN RACE OF THE DAY
R7 ***1-3/5-7-2//9-8....SHOO-IN BET OF THE NIGHT...BEST TIERCE/QUARTET PLAY
R8   ***8-5/3-9
R9   **3-11/13-9
R10   ***2-5-4/10....BEST TRIO OF THE NIGHT ON TOP 3 PICKS...2 IS TRACKWORK STAR WITH GOOD 1ST UP RECORD OF ONE PLACE FROM 2 1ST UP STARTS

01 July 2012

STARSTATZ RACING 01 JULY 2012

My research has been extensive today ...as good as any done in the last 3 months and I do expect a top of the table performance today or go closea and I do expect to put at least 4 wins on the board today. Even if you do not agree with my 1st pick then consider my 2nd pick seriously and generally the winners should be on the left of the (/) stroke today . Forecast/place forecast  and the exotics are very confident plays today and I should give a good account of myself todat...keep my fingers crossed that I am not hit by the 2nd choice syndrome where my 2nd pick scores. I have applied sectional times in most races except Race 1 and Race 2.Let's see whether a more concerted effort will pay dividends as I have not stuck with the favourites in most races and see if I can recover lost ground and close the gap on the leader.  I hope to score on the DRAW and DRAW/DRAW and hope Italy can replicate their victory in the 2006 World Cup after extra-time in tonight's Euro Championship Finals as well with a double celebration! Do focus on the 3*** and 2 ** bets today and be cautious in the races tagged with 1 *.
These are my selections today:-
RACE 1   **5-10/8-9...PACE SLOW...BEST HAS BEST HR/SF
RACE 2   ***12-1/11-7.....PACE SLOW...CLASSY TYPE BY MORE THAN READY ...THE GOLDEN SLIPPER SIRE
RACE 3   **4-1/5-9...4 HAS BEST SECT TIMES COMPARED TO 1 WHO HAS GOOD HR AND BEST SF IN THE FIELD
RACE 4   **7-1-5/8....5 HAS CLASSY CREDENTIALS BUT 1 AND 7  ARE THE TRACK WORK STARS  BUT 1  HAS NOT WON 1ST UP BEFORE...7 HAS BEST SECT. TIMES
RACE 5    ***3-7/5-6...3 IS THE TRACK WORK STAR AND HAS GREATER AMBITIONS AND NEEDS TO WIN TO QUALIFY FOR THE UP COMING CUP RACES LIKE THE EMIRATES DERBY....7 IS THE MOST CLASSY TYPE....WITH WORLD CLASS SIRE IN GALLILEO(1ST STUD HORSE PICKED BY THE CONNECTIONS OF  MAYKYBE DIVA...THE MELBOURNE CUP WINNER...GOOD FORECAST...HAS NOT WON 1600M BEFORE BUT NO PROBLEM AS SIRE CAN LAST TILL 2000M
RACE 6   *2-6-3/10
RACE 7   ***5-4-10/8-6-3-7....BEST QUARTET PLAY
RACE 8   ***9-1/10-12....BLINKERS BACK ON...DANGEROUS LONGSHOT IF BODY WEIGHT GOES UP CLOSE TO482KG
RACE 9   ***3-5/2-6-7-1....BEST TIERCE/TRIO PLAY ON TOP 4 HORSES
RACE 10   **5-2/3-7...BEST SECT TIMES
RACE 11   ***2-13/3-4.....DAM OF 2 IS HALF -SISTER TO SUNLINE...CLASSY TYPE.....CN COVER 13 WHO HAS GOOD HR/SF AND SECT TIME...GOOD FCT/PFT  PLAY