Singapore Racing
31 March 2013
Race 9 Singapore 3 YO Sprint
1200M Long Course A
Stakes $250,000
Race 10 Better Than Ever 2010 - Open Stakes
1400M Long Course A
Stakes $125,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS ***R9-1 HUKA FALLS AND R10-2 FLAX(HEDGING BETS AND DIFFERENT SELECTION FROM SINGAPORE NAP)
IIZI SELECTS ***R9-1 HUKA FALLS (SHOO-IN NAPSHOT...SUIICIDAL TO GO AGAINST HIM WITH 22 POINTS CR ADVANTAGE!)) AND R10-4** WHAT NOW
TW SELECTS R9-1 *** HUKA FALLS AND R10-**WHAT NOW
TRACK FORM RACE 9 ....***.1-2-5-9 AND RACE 10 **4-2-1-6
VB SELECTS R9-1 ***HUKA FALLS (SHOO-IN NAPSHOT) AND R10-2 **FLAX(PLEASE NOTE AMMEDNED FROM EMAIL SENT TO STC/SPH)
BMW SELECTS RACE 9-1 *** HUKA FALLS (SHOO-IN NAPSHOT) AND
RACE ** 10 -1 ...ALWAYS CERTAIN
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
After seeing how Dubai Racing Authorities run their Dubai World Cup ( Racing ) I hope STC executives will be inspired to see what improvements they can make for Singapore Racing to make it a World Racing Centre( which they are not now.....but can aspire to) . A glaring omission of Singapore Racing which we can see in Dubai is the use of Speed Maps to analyse the races on TV as part of the race analysis.The other cute aspect I would like to see for the Singapore Airlines Festival is to see ex jockey Andrew Frost get on a horse and do immediate post- race interviews with winning jockeys on horseback!
An example of what is currently amiss wwith Singapore racing is the performance of Singapore Nap in Race 5 with the selections in order of 9-8-4-7-1-2-5 which only struck the tierce one banker and choosing 2 out of 3 key horses on the 2nd line only after weights are known when Travertime came out fat with a 6kg increase in weight (19kg more than his winning weight) while Bigdinero came out lean and mean with a 12kg drop(1kg less than his winning weight. In comparison Starstatz Racing with the selections 9-7-4-8-1-3-2vwhich had the luxury of posting after weights are known got the direct forecast of $20 and with a shortlist choice of 2 key horses on the 2nd line and with the observation that Warspirit with a 4 kg drop was only 2kg below his winning weight was included in the top 7. Starstatz Racing was right on target with a direct forecast prediction and struck both the tierce and quartet with a small budget by using One Smart Cat as the lone banker and 7-4 as 2 key horses on the 2nd line and the remaining 6 horses on the 3rd line struck the tierce of $151 with a economical budget of $20 and the quartet of $672 with a budget of only $80. I am sure most of our media Tipsters would not have overlooked Bigdinero if they had known the weights of both Travertime (bad weight ) and the favourable weight of Bigdinero and Warspirit as well. Even a true late mail after weights are out and condition in paddock is known the late mail will achieve much much better results!.If bodyweights of horses are known when Media Tipsters make their selections more winners will be created. Anyway if STC does not act on the early release of body weight information of horses than I can only chuckle as I will reap the benefits together with my followers on my SMS list and have an unfair advantage over the market with a True Late Mail Service!
Another bugbear I have is with Racing Guide when they put all (how does this help the shortlist and selection process) the horses in Racing Guide form column with a one star rating. I can understand the point that all the horses are in good form iIf this is so I think they should raise the bar and identify a shortlist of horses to cut down the field and indicate 2 or 3 stars on the better form horses in the same manner that I usually shortlist my usual top 7 selections on Singapore Nap and even a lone banker and 2 key horses most o f the time! You do not expect the investor to play the entire field for exotic bets which will be an expensive proposition!
In the BIG RACE CHALLENGE BMW is in the lead with 11 wins from 27 selections for a 40.74% strike rate Ma Chao is 2nd with 10 wins10 wins for a 37.04% strike rate and Mr X and Starstatz Racing (my Flagship blog) are in joint 3rd with 8 wins for a 33.33% strike rate. Singapore Nap,Hui Liang, Ronnie and Zheng Qiang are in joint 5th with 7 wins for a 29.62% strike rate!
PREVIEW OF RACE 9 FOR STARSTATZ RACING (PLEASE NOTE SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT FROM SINGAPORE NAP)
Huka Falls is a shoo-in with a massive 22 points advantage over his nearest rival in CR points!.I shall not dwell too much due to time constraints but my selections in order are 1-2-5-8-9-7-4. Use 1 as the lone banker and 2-5(forecast and place forecast with 1#2-5) as the 2 joint key horses on the 2nd line! and 2-5-8-9-7-4 on the 3rd and 4th lines !
PREVIEW OF RACE 10 FOR STARSTATZ RACING (PLEASE NOTE SLIGHLY DIFFERENT FROM SINGAPORE NAP)
Flax actually has a 2 HR point advantage over What Now and also has a good 1st up record of 3 wins from 4 1st up starts and will try to lead all the way with a one length further advantage as What Now will have to track behind him in the box seat or go 2 wide all the way! What Now has a better SF and sectional times compared to Flax but both will do equally well if it rains . Martin is better noted as a miler /stayer but I think he can surprise and make the top 4 cut as he has the 3rd best sectionals and a favourable handicap as well.
SELECTIONS FOR SINGAPORE NAP....PLEASE NOTE TYPO ERROR DUE REPEAT OF SELECTION OF 6 SO I HAVE REPLICATED THE CORRECT TEXT ON SINGAPORE NAP ON THIS BLOG. In order my selections for SINGAPORE NAP are 4-2-6-1-12-10-3. (drop the 3 due to budget considerations! if you use 4 and 2 as joint bankers as recommended. Use 4-2-6-1 as key horses on the 2nd line and all the top 6 selections on the 3rd and 4th lines.
MY SELECTIONS FOR STARSTATZ RACING ARE IN ORDER 2-4-1-6-12-10-3. HENCE MY MAIN SELECTION ( FLAX ) DIFFERS FROM SINGAPORE NAP AS I AM HEDGING MY BETS
USE 2 AND 4 AS JOINT BANKERS ON THE 1ST LINE AND 2-4-1-6 ON THE 2ND LINE AND DROP 3 AND PUT 2-4-1-6-12-10 ON THE 3RD AND 4TH LINES. DO A BIG BET ON FORECAST / PLACE FORECAST ON 2#4#1 BOX
31 March 2013
29 March 2013
STARSTATZ RACING 29 MARCH 2013 + 4 OTHERS
Singapore Racing
29 March 2013
Race 5 Class 3 Division 1
1200M Polytrack
Stakes $75,000
Race 8 Class3 Division 2
1200M Polytrack
Stakes $75,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS R5-9 ***ONE SMART CAT (BEST BET OF THE DAY) AND
R8-7 ** EMPIRE BAY
IIZI SELECTS ** R5-4 TRAVERTIME AND *R8 -10 GOOD LOOUKEN(GROUP 3 WINNER IN ARGENTINA)
TW SELECTS : ***R5-9 ONE SMART CAT AND *** R8-7 EMPIRE BAY ....
TRACKFORM FOR R5....***9-4-8-1 AND R8 IS ***7-1-10-2
VB SELECTS : **R5-4 TRAVERTIME AND R8 **1 ECLAIR FLYER (NOTE CHANGE FROM EMAIL SENT TO STC AND SPH EXECUTIVES)
BMW SELECTS ; R5-7 **BIGDINERO (GOOD LONGSHOT AS BODY WEIGHT AT OLD WINNING LEVEL AND HAS BEST HR AND BEST SECTIONALS IN THIS RACE ) AND R8-10 ** GOOD LOOUKEN (GOOD LONGSHOT)
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
I am very frustrated that Racing Guide for all their new innovations on their "Trial and Trackwork Table" cannot even see fit to put up their own tally and keep track of their own personal scores in their race book Publication! I know for the past couple of seasons for the full card Challenge they have been streets ahead of their arch rival race book publication Punters Way where number of wins are concerned culminating in Racing Guide getting the official contract for the STC Race Day Programme. Anyway Xiu Fang is still in the lead in the full card Challenge with 79 wins while Ma Hui the STC Mandarin Race Presenter is hot on her heels with 78 wins and I guess Racing Guide are in 3rd and Mr X is in 4th with 75 wins and Tan Thean Loon makes the top 5 with 72 wins. Kudos go to Andrew Frost in not just getting the winner on Flying Fulton right but the top 4 correct as well albeit in a slighly different order. .Singapore Nap was only a replication on Startstatz racing website due to the fact we missed the
posting dateline due to a software glitch Starstatz Racing had identical selection and we were a tad behind Andrew in accuracy but we gave the almost perfect advice with win/place play of Flying which paid a double digit dividend of $16/$9 as we had predict ed and ending up as 2nd favourite eventually. Our forecast tip play of 1#7-4 paid off with an investment of $4 for a return of $11. we mention the horses in order as 1-7-4-2-6-8 but those who have some experience would have eliminated 8 as being overweight. We mention that number 7 Deep Pockets might be disadvantaged by the slow pace despite having the n2nnd best handicap panned out as we had mentioned and the slow pace suited 6 to the tee who dropped in for 3rd eventually. We mentioned using one banker number 1 and 2 key horses 7 and 4 for the 2nd line and 7-4-2-6-8 on the 3rd and 4th lines and eventually dropping 8 for being fat we would have invested a mere $12 for 1/7-4/7-4-2-6 and a mere $24 for the combination of 1/7-4/7-4-26/7-4-2-6 the quartet investment for a return of $130 for the tierce and $386 for the quartet . Even if you had not dropped the 8 due to inexperience the investment would have been $20 for the tierce $80 for the quartet.
In the BIG RACE CHALLENGE BMW is in a slim lead with 11 wins(44% strike rate) from 25 selections while Ma Chao is 2nd with 10 wins (40% strike rate) from 25 selections. In joint 3rd are my Flagship blog Starsrastatz Racing and and Mr X with 8 wins for a 32% strike rate and Singapore nap together with Hui Liang , Ronnie and Zheng Qiang are in joint 5th with a 28% strike rate.
PREVIEW OF RACE 5
The pace will be good with 3-9-2 leading the trio of front runners and 9 has to be careful not to be caught 3 wide without cover but seek to find cover one or two of the rails. ( has a suerior HR.SF and sectionals compared to 9 and should get his revenge with the weight reversal to his advantage now. There will be slight danger fro 4 and 7 provided they both have a drop in weight and are at their best.If they remain obese than the forecast of 9 and 8 looks very good in scoring!.In order my selections are 9-7-4-8-1-3-2. ( NOTE CHANGE IN SELECTIONS FROM SINGAPORE NAP). Use 9 as the sole banker on the 1st line and 7-4 on the 2nd line with 7-4-8--1-2-5 n the remaining 3rd and 4th lines for the tierce and quartet betting and use 9#8-4-7-1-2-5and all 6 numbers in the 2nd/3rd and 4th lines if you have a big budget as a cover bet! Use 9#7=4 .. 7 has the potential to beat this field with best HR and best sectionals and his body weight is close to his winning weight!
PREVIEWOF RACE 8
The pace will be good for Race 8 with 7-1-8 leading the front runners. WIth Moreira taking the rideon Good Loouken the Group 3 winner from Argentina there will be cause for concern for Empire Bay.
In order my selections are 7-10-8-1-2-6-11.( note change in selections from Singapore Nap!)
Use 7 as the sole banker and play 7#8#10 for the forecast and place forecast and use 10--8 as key horses on the 2nd line. and 10-8-1-2-6-11 as the remaining horses on the 3rd and 4th lines
29 March 2013
Race 5 Class 3 Division 1
1200M Polytrack
Stakes $75,000
Race 8 Class3 Division 2
1200M Polytrack
Stakes $75,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS R5-9 ***ONE SMART CAT (BEST BET OF THE DAY) AND
R8-7 ** EMPIRE BAY
IIZI SELECTS ** R5-4 TRAVERTIME AND *R8 -10 GOOD LOOUKEN(GROUP 3 WINNER IN ARGENTINA)
TW SELECTS : ***R5-9 ONE SMART CAT AND *** R8-7 EMPIRE BAY ....
TRACKFORM FOR R5....***9-4-8-1 AND R8 IS ***7-1-10-2
VB SELECTS : **R5-4 TRAVERTIME AND R8 **1 ECLAIR FLYER (NOTE CHANGE FROM EMAIL SENT TO STC AND SPH EXECUTIVES)
BMW SELECTS ; R5-7 **BIGDINERO (GOOD LONGSHOT AS BODY WEIGHT AT OLD WINNING LEVEL AND HAS BEST HR AND BEST SECTIONALS IN THIS RACE ) AND R8-10 ** GOOD LOOUKEN (GOOD LONGSHOT)
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
I am very frustrated that Racing Guide for all their new innovations on their "Trial and Trackwork Table" cannot even see fit to put up their own tally and keep track of their own personal scores in their race book Publication! I know for the past couple of seasons for the full card Challenge they have been streets ahead of their arch rival race book publication Punters Way where number of wins are concerned culminating in Racing Guide getting the official contract for the STC Race Day Programme. Anyway Xiu Fang is still in the lead in the full card Challenge with 79 wins while Ma Hui the STC Mandarin Race Presenter is hot on her heels with 78 wins and I guess Racing Guide are in 3rd and Mr X is in 4th with 75 wins and Tan Thean Loon makes the top 5 with 72 wins. Kudos go to Andrew Frost in not just getting the winner on Flying Fulton right but the top 4 correct as well albeit in a slighly different order. .Singapore Nap was only a replication on Startstatz racing website due to the fact we missed the
posting dateline due to a software glitch Starstatz Racing had identical selection and we were a tad behind Andrew in accuracy but we gave the almost perfect advice with win/place play of Flying which paid a double digit dividend of $16/$9 as we had predict ed and ending up as 2nd favourite eventually. Our forecast tip play of 1#7-4 paid off with an investment of $4 for a return of $11. we mention the horses in order as 1-7-4-2-6-8 but those who have some experience would have eliminated 8 as being overweight. We mention that number 7 Deep Pockets might be disadvantaged by the slow pace despite having the n2nnd best handicap panned out as we had mentioned and the slow pace suited 6 to the tee who dropped in for 3rd eventually. We mentioned using one banker number 1 and 2 key horses 7 and 4 for the 2nd line and 7-4-2-6-8 on the 3rd and 4th lines and eventually dropping 8 for being fat we would have invested a mere $12 for 1/7-4/7-4-2-6 and a mere $24 for the combination of 1/7-4/7-4-26/7-4-2-6 the quartet investment for a return of $130 for the tierce and $386 for the quartet . Even if you had not dropped the 8 due to inexperience the investment would have been $20 for the tierce $80 for the quartet.
In the BIG RACE CHALLENGE BMW is in a slim lead with 11 wins(44% strike rate) from 25 selections while Ma Chao is 2nd with 10 wins (40% strike rate) from 25 selections. In joint 3rd are my Flagship blog Starsrastatz Racing and and Mr X with 8 wins for a 32% strike rate and Singapore nap together with Hui Liang , Ronnie and Zheng Qiang are in joint 5th with a 28% strike rate.
PREVIEW OF RACE 5
The pace will be good with 3-9-2 leading the trio of front runners and 9 has to be careful not to be caught 3 wide without cover but seek to find cover one or two of the rails. ( has a suerior HR.SF and sectionals compared to 9 and should get his revenge with the weight reversal to his advantage now. There will be slight danger fro 4 and 7 provided they both have a drop in weight and are at their best.If they remain obese than the forecast of 9 and 8 looks very good in scoring!.In order my selections are 9-7-4-8-1-3-2. ( NOTE CHANGE IN SELECTIONS FROM SINGAPORE NAP). Use 9 as the sole banker on the 1st line and 7-4 on the 2nd line with 7-4-8--1-2-5 n the remaining 3rd and 4th lines for the tierce and quartet betting and use 9#8-4-7-1-2-5and all 6 numbers in the 2nd/3rd and 4th lines if you have a big budget as a cover bet! Use 9#7=4 .. 7 has the potential to beat this field with best HR and best sectionals and his body weight is close to his winning weight!
PREVIEWOF RACE 8
The pace will be good for Race 8 with 7-1-8 leading the front runners. WIth Moreira taking the rideon Good Loouken the Group 3 winner from Argentina there will be cause for concern for Empire Bay.
In order my selections are 7-10-8-1-2-6-11.( note change in selections from Singapore Nap!)
Use 7 as the sole banker and play 7#8#10 for the forecast and place forecast and use 10--8 as key horses on the 2nd line. and 10-8-1-2-6-11 as the remaining horses on the 3rd and 4th lines
24 March 2013
Replication of Singapore Nap 24 mARCH 2013 - Starstatz Racing + 4 others
Singapore Nap
24 March 2013
Flying Fulton (x2)
Race 10 Marsiling Classic Stakes - Group 3
1800M Polytrack
Stakes $150,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS : ***FLYING FULTON
IIZI SELECTS : ** DEEP POCKETS
TW (TRACKWATCHER) SELECTS :***FLYING FULTON...TRACKFORM ...1-7-2-4
VB (VALUE BET) SELECTS **BLACK ICE
BMW (BENNY;S MASTERCLASS WINS) ***FLYING FULTON( MEDIA MARKET FAVORITE IS NUMBER 4 LIZARRE)
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
BMW still leads the Big Race Challege with 10 wins from 24 selections for a 41.67% strike rate while
Ma Chao is on 2nd with 9 wins for a 37.5% strike rate and Mr X are on joint 3rd with 7 wins for a 29.17% strike rate. Singapore Nap are with a host of others like Tan Thean Loon ,Hui Liang ,Lao Wang , Zheng Qiang and Ronnie on 6 wins for a 25% strike rate as pre - race Media favourites continue to fall like 10 pins WITH ONLY 4 1ST FAVOURITES OBLIGING SO FAR THIS SEASON! I expect pre-race favourite Lizarre to suffer the same fate.
PREVIEW OF RACE
I expect the pace to be slow with 6-8 the only 2 front runners in this race and because of this one of these 2 might break into the top 4. If the Trainers have all prepared their charges to be in their best possible condition the tierce/quartet for this race is possible with a direct hit or low budget outlay in investment.
In order of ratings they top 6 are 1 at HR 105.5....7 at HR107.125,,,,2 at HR104.27.....4 at HR 103.46....6 at 101.36....8 at HR99.97...5 at HR97 and 2 at HR88,8....The top 4 looks settled and dusted but the slow pace will help the cause of the front running duo of 6 and 8. There is a possibility of an upset if it rains as that will favour the horses in front. Moreira should have been warned for Flying Fulton's dismal performance in his last run when he took FF towards the rear when the pace was very slow and did not take advantage of his inside draw and kept FF at the rear causing FF to lose precious lengths going wide - out at the home turn!.
i SUGGEST PLAYING A BIG BET ON WIN/PLACE WITH FF and a big bet on forecast/place forecast with 1#7-4 as there are douts whether 2 can take the extra 200M as he has not won at this race distance in the past! Use 1 as the lone banker and 7-4 as key horses on the 2nd line and use the remaining and 7-4 on the 3rd and 4th lines!
Singapre Nap selects : number 1 Flying Fulton ( X2 )
Next Singapore Nap 29 March 2013
Supplied in nSingapore by Patrick Khoo
24 March 2013
Flying Fulton (x2)
Race 10 Marsiling Classic Stakes - Group 3
1800M Polytrack
Stakes $150,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS : ***FLYING FULTON
IIZI SELECTS : ** DEEP POCKETS
TW (TRACKWATCHER) SELECTS :***FLYING FULTON...TRACKFORM ...1-7-2-4
VB (VALUE BET) SELECTS **BLACK ICE
BMW (BENNY;S MASTERCLASS WINS) ***FLYING FULTON( MEDIA MARKET FAVORITE IS NUMBER 4 LIZARRE)
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
BMW still leads the Big Race Challege with 10 wins from 24 selections for a 41.67% strike rate while
Ma Chao is on 2nd with 9 wins for a 37.5% strike rate and Mr X are on joint 3rd with 7 wins for a 29.17% strike rate. Singapore Nap are with a host of others like Tan Thean Loon ,Hui Liang ,Lao Wang , Zheng Qiang and Ronnie on 6 wins for a 25% strike rate as pre - race Media favourites continue to fall like 10 pins WITH ONLY 4 1ST FAVOURITES OBLIGING SO FAR THIS SEASON! I expect pre-race favourite Lizarre to suffer the same fate.
PREVIEW OF RACE
I expect the pace to be slow with 6-8 the only 2 front runners in this race and because of this one of these 2 might break into the top 4. If the Trainers have all prepared their charges to be in their best possible condition the tierce/quartet for this race is possible with a direct hit or low budget outlay in investment.
In order of ratings they top 6 are 1 at HR 105.5....7 at HR107.125,,,,2 at HR104.27.....4 at HR 103.46....6 at 101.36....8 at HR99.97...5 at HR97 and 2 at HR88,8....The top 4 looks settled and dusted but the slow pace will help the cause of the front running duo of 6 and 8. There is a possibility of an upset if it rains as that will favour the horses in front. Moreira should have been warned for Flying Fulton's dismal performance in his last run when he took FF towards the rear when the pace was very slow and did not take advantage of his inside draw and kept FF at the rear causing FF to lose precious lengths going wide - out at the home turn!.
i SUGGEST PLAYING A BIG BET ON WIN/PLACE WITH FF and a big bet on forecast/place forecast with 1#7-4 as there are douts whether 2 can take the extra 200M as he has not won at this race distance in the past! Use 1 as the lone banker and 7-4 as key horses on the 2nd line and use the remaining and 7-4 on the 3rd and 4th lines!
Singapre Nap selects : number 1 Flying Fulton ( X2 )
Next Singapore Nap 29 March 2013
Supplied in nSingapore by Patrick Khoo
22 March 2013
SINGAPORE NAP + STARSTATZ RACING + 4 OTHERS 22 MARCH 2013
Singapore Nap
22 March 2013
Boundless Glory
Race 8 - OPEN B83
1200M Polytrack
Stakes $95,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS : **BAHEN
IIZI: SELECTS: **BOUNDLESS GLORY
TW SELECTS : **FIESTY LEO....TRACK FORM...8-5-4-1
VB SELECTS: **BAHEN
BMW SELECTS : ** BOUNDLESS GLORY
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
In the Big Race Challenge BMW is in an uncontested lead with 10 wins fron 23 selections for 43.48% strike rate while Ma Chao is 2nd with 8 wins from 23 selections for 34.78% strike rate. My Flagship blog Starstatz Racing is on 7 wins from 23 selections or a 30.43% strike rate. Tan Thean Loon , Lao Wang, Mr X and Singapore Nap are on 6 wins from 23 selections for a strike rate of 26.09% strike rate.
PREVIEW OF RACE
This is a wide open race with 4 candidates likely to be involved in a blanket finish . They are in order of merit 10-5-8-4 The pace will be good will be good to fast wth 2-3 front runners in the mix with 9 -7 leading the way followed by on pace runners 12 and 6.
The HR compaison is in order at ,10 at 83.13,5 at 82.03 , and 8 at 83.3 and 4 at 75.4.Despite his humble Malaysian background Fiesty Leo is easily the Class act in this race with a 50% strike rate and has a good 1st up record altough he has drawn wide but his off pace style means the draw will have minimal imact on his chances but there is a query on its fitness with a break of 3 months.The selections in order are 10-5-8-4-1-2-7.
I suggest a medium bet on win place on 10 but a big bet on forecast / place forecast on a 3 way box on 10#5#8. I suggest skip the other exotics but if you must be use 10 as the lone banker and 5-8 as the key horses on the 2nd line and 5-8-4 on the 3rd line and put the remaining 6 horses on the 4th line for quartet and or box all the remaining 6 horses on the 2nd, 3rd and 4th lines if you do have a big budget.
22 March 2013
Boundless Glory
Race 8 - OPEN B83
1200M Polytrack
Stakes $95,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS : **BAHEN
IIZI: SELECTS: **BOUNDLESS GLORY
TW SELECTS : **FIESTY LEO....TRACK FORM...8-5-4-1
VB SELECTS: **BAHEN
BMW SELECTS : ** BOUNDLESS GLORY
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
In the Big Race Challenge BMW is in an uncontested lead with 10 wins fron 23 selections for 43.48% strike rate while Ma Chao is 2nd with 8 wins from 23 selections for 34.78% strike rate. My Flagship blog Starstatz Racing is on 7 wins from 23 selections or a 30.43% strike rate. Tan Thean Loon , Lao Wang, Mr X and Singapore Nap are on 6 wins from 23 selections for a strike rate of 26.09% strike rate.
PREVIEW OF RACE
This is a wide open race with 4 candidates likely to be involved in a blanket finish . They are in order of merit 10-5-8-4 The pace will be good will be good to fast wth 2-3 front runners in the mix with 9 -7 leading the way followed by on pace runners 12 and 6.
The HR compaison is in order at ,10 at 83.13,5 at 82.03 , and 8 at 83.3 and 4 at 75.4.Despite his humble Malaysian background Fiesty Leo is easily the Class act in this race with a 50% strike rate and has a good 1st up record altough he has drawn wide but his off pace style means the draw will have minimal imact on his chances but there is a query on its fitness with a break of 3 months.The selections in order are 10-5-8-4-1-2-7.
I suggest a medium bet on win place on 10 but a big bet on forecast / place forecast on a 3 way box on 10#5#8. I suggest skip the other exotics but if you must be use 10 as the lone banker and 5-8 as the key horses on the 2nd line and 5-8-4 on the 3rd line and put the remaining 6 horses on the 4th line for quartet and or box all the remaining 6 horses on the 2nd, 3rd and 4th lines if you do have a big budget.
17 March 2013
STARSTATZ RACING 17 MARCH 2013 + 4 OTHER MONICKER TIPSTERS
Singapore Racing
17 March 2013
Race 7 - OPEN B83
1600M Polytrack
Stakes $95,000
STARSTATZ RACING PICKS :***ILLUMINADO
IIZI; PICKS :** READY TO STRIKE
TW (TRACKWATCHER ) PICKS ***: ILLUMINADO....TRACKFORM **3-1-7-6
VB ; PICKS :** THE RUDE WARRIOR
BMW PICKS :: * GOOD LOOUKEN
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
I believe that VB (value bet was the only Media Tipster in the market who scored on Speedy Cat on Friday . Even my Flagship blogs got it wrong when the pace turn out to be hot instead of good to fast (this phenomenon took place) as all the front runners and on pace runners compounded in the straight!
This is why STC should follow the example of HKGJC website by providing a professionally done Speed Map on its website since no local race publication is having this offering....at best we have Racing Guide providing this service in an abridged version. Most Media Tipsters did not even have Speedy Cat in their top 4 and most track watchers including ours missed the
good form of Speedy Cat in track work. Although Singapore Nap and Starstatz Racing and BMW went for the top 2 favourites VB saw the possibililty of a fast pace favoring the polytrack specialist Speedy Cat who at last achieved his early promising horse rating but he will never trouble Super Easy Huka Falls or Emerald Hill on the turf suin WFA races. STC should see to it that user friendly crafted handicap data like handicap ratings and sectional times(1st 400M and last 400M) are made available to the racing public to have a fighting chance of finding the winners and let racegoers wean their dependence on timings to analyse races and follow Tipsters blindly as Media Tipsters have to tip early and are disadvantaged with last minute change in conditions like horse withdrawal , jockey change , changing weather conditions or change i running style. It is not that such expertise is not available in the market as we have duly shown. STC are not obligated to secure my services but surely there are others with similar expertise in the market.If this void and status quo is still stagnant after the next 3 years and Top Executives are still sitting pretty with no new initiatives then I believe new blood should be brought in and there should be a changing of the guard with a more positive and reformist outlook. I cant do anything to change the dogged old school mindset of business as usual but I can certainly write a book on handicapping and the ills impeding growth in the horseracing industry. Yes there have been improvements and progress in the past few years like Racing Guide breaking the stranglehold of Punters Way after all these years as the official race programme, the introduction of Advance Race Win and the appointment of a manager to look after the interests of Owners but what about the ordinary racegoer...the lifeblood of racing. There have been a few other initiatives as well but these are few and far between compared to a need for a professionally crafted Sped Map and Handicap Ratings and sectionals that can be actually be used. What is the use of Punters Way 300M , 400M (sometimes by Luck they get it right!) 500M, 600M, 700M ,800M opening sectionals. I hope a reader or even Punters way themselves can tell me how they used it to decide on the winner as we have masterfully shown in the example of Great Light having the best sectionals compared to Texan Takeover the pre-race favourite with the wide barrier draw the only negative. What is the use of having Trackus when only the elite Trainers who know (i doubt all Trainers have this knowledge) how to use it together with knowledgable Media Tipsters like myself. I doubt if any Mandarin Tipster is using sectionals in their work as there are no(to the best of my knowledge) Mandarin Publications on the use of sectionals. Trackus is now an expensive, glorified white elephant showpiece which only a minority is using right now! More can be done to promote the understanding and use of sectional times in helping to select winners! In the meantime i will revel in the advanatge i have over the average racegoer and enjoy the benefits until STC makes radical changes instead of their current complacent stance of inertia!
I have given feedback to STC months ago on a couple of initiatives but I have yet to see any positive response to my recommendations or any reaction and reasons why they are unable to make these improvements .
One of the bug bears can be seen to have a negative effect on today's race.....the publishing of body weights of horses 2 days before race day following the example of HKG or at the very least have it all ready for the full card 2-3 hours before the start of race 1. Good Loouken has been reported as outclassed as reported on Track Talk but i think they have missed his Group 3 win in Argentina but I agree he is disadvantaged by the terms of the race as he is running 1kg underscaled. He showed up in his last run underweight by 12-14 kg and will probably run unplaced if his weight remains at 500kg but with his superior HR and Group 3 win under his belt he will be a lively longshot if his body weight goes up by double digits but this information is currently not available at start of races. Is it fair for racegoers to make advance roll-win bets when this vital and crucial data is not made available at the start of Race 1.Imagine I have winners in my 1st 2 legs and I want to cancel my bet on Good Loouken when his weight comes up short. I tell the tellers I want to cancel my "live" bet but I am turned down...STC is opening itself up to a potential lawsuit when full data is not provided at time of bets being placed!
STC should introduce a proper Late Mail Service after weights and conditions of horses in paddock are known and somebody like Andrew Frost could helm this service and change his selections after this information is known under the monicker of Late Mail Service instead of being stuck with his Newpaper selection. A good recent example of this anomaly is the posting of Super Shadow coming in at double digit underweight! I strongly urge STC to review this weighty problem and at least have it available before start of races by a good 2-3 hours if possible!
We can never call ourselves a premier Racing Centre if most of these initiatives are not put into place to close the gap on HKGJC standards as I do believe a more knowledgable race goer will lead to more winners leading to a greater turnover in betting !
In the BIG RACE CHALLENGE BMW is still in the lead with 10 wins from 22 selections for a 45.45% strike rate and Starstatz Racing is on 7 wins from 22 selections for a 31.82% strike rate with a host of tipsters including Singapore Nap on joint 3rd with 6 wins from 22 selections 27.27 % strike rate. The tipsters are Mr X , Ma Chao and Lao Wang. If my tally for any of the Media Tipsters is incorrect do drop me a line at www.insiders111@yahoo.com.sg
PREVIEW OF RACE
With an expected fast pace with 4 front runners fighting for the rails run the only threat to The Rude Warrior
winning this race is the unknown body weight factor of Good Loouken . If his body weight goes up by 10 to 14 kg he will be a clear and present danger to The Rude Warrior (TRW)bagging this race as Good Loouken (GL) has the best HR in this race and The Rude Warrior has the 2nd best HR figures. Do note that Good Loouken won at CR 67 carrying 53.5kg albeit at the shorter 1100M Polytrack distance which puts him at HR 88 compared to TRW at 87.31. Moreover GL has a Group 3 win under his belt and has 5 wins from 25 races for a 20% strike rte compared to TRW at 4 wins from 21 races for a 19.05% strike rate. Although GL has not won at 1600M previously his pedigree suggest that the mile is not a problem at all and the expected fast pace will work in his favour and the booking of 50kg Vorster means that GL will
not run overweight. Let us examine his pedigree to assess his suitability over the mile. His USA Sire Easing Along has won from 1400M - 1600M and his progeny have won Group 1 races and his Sire Storm Cat is a World Class Champion Sire of Group 1 winners. Easing Along himself is by an Alydar (2000M stayer) dam and one of his dams Relaxing through his bloodline is by Champion stayer Buckpasser and another Dam Terulinga is by Triple Crown Winner Secretariat. Take note that GL has been doing a lot of canters on trackwork culminating in the best workout of 35,8 seconds last week and typical of the wily Leticia Dragon his trackwork is rather low key and off the radar for this week. The decisive factor will be his body weight on race day and I will upgrade him to 1st pick in a heartbeat if he is within his prime bodyweight!
Lacking this vital piece of information I will not hesitate to pick TRW as a special as the expected fast pace will suit him to a Tee. He has lost to horses like Illiminado and Ready To Strike but the HR figures are in his favour today and he had excuses with blocked runs and he was queried for his last performance where he changed his racing style to jump last in a closer style and only got going at the 300M when Illiminado was home and dusted.Looking at the HR statistics 3.5 kg adjustment is not enough to compensate for a $ length loss but I believe TRW has a lot more to offer to offer as I saw in the race video that TRW was full of running despite Santana sitting quietly at the 1st trun and even Matt Jones commented that Santana was not riding aggresively as he normally does in a more forward position. The HR of 3 is is HR 80 and 1 ia st 79.35 so TRW should have the edge. There is some doubt about TRW's ability to handle the shorter mile as his wins wins have all come over longer distances as his Sire Kempinsky by Danehill shows stamina and his Dam Tristalove carry carries the Sir Tristram Damsire bloodlines but his Damsire is by Encosta De Lago has enough speed to compensate for his stamina influence and with barrier 5 today he is in an ideal position to run an on pace race to overwhelm the 4 front runners(1-4-6-5) in the home straight with 7 tracking them closely.
In order my selections are 3-7-1-8-6-5-2 However be prepared to upgrade 8 to 1st and 2nd in the exotic bets if his body weight comes up right! In the meantime use 7 as the sole banker (with a proviso to upgrade 8) and 3-1 as key horses on the 2nd line and use the remaining 3-1-2-6-8 on the 3rd and 4th lines. Use 7#3-1 but be prepared to replaced with 7#8#3 if 8 turns up with double digit increase in weight , Play a big bet on 7 each way and be prepared to drop place betting and do a Dutch cover bet on 8 if his body weight comes up right!
17 March 2013
Race 7 - OPEN B83
1600M Polytrack
Stakes $95,000
STARSTATZ RACING PICKS :***ILLUMINADO
IIZI; PICKS :** READY TO STRIKE
TW (TRACKWATCHER ) PICKS ***: ILLUMINADO....TRACKFORM **3-1-7-6
VB ; PICKS :** THE RUDE WARRIOR
BMW PICKS :: * GOOD LOOUKEN
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
I believe that VB (value bet was the only Media Tipster in the market who scored on Speedy Cat on Friday . Even my Flagship blogs got it wrong when the pace turn out to be hot instead of good to fast (this phenomenon took place) as all the front runners and on pace runners compounded in the straight!
This is why STC should follow the example of HKGJC website by providing a professionally done Speed Map on its website since no local race publication is having this offering....at best we have Racing Guide providing this service in an abridged version. Most Media Tipsters did not even have Speedy Cat in their top 4 and most track watchers including ours missed the
good form of Speedy Cat in track work. Although Singapore Nap and Starstatz Racing and BMW went for the top 2 favourites VB saw the possibililty of a fast pace favoring the polytrack specialist Speedy Cat who at last achieved his early promising horse rating but he will never trouble Super Easy Huka Falls or Emerald Hill on the turf suin WFA races. STC should see to it that user friendly crafted handicap data like handicap ratings and sectional times(1st 400M and last 400M) are made available to the racing public to have a fighting chance of finding the winners and let racegoers wean their dependence on timings to analyse races and follow Tipsters blindly as Media Tipsters have to tip early and are disadvantaged with last minute change in conditions like horse withdrawal , jockey change , changing weather conditions or change i running style. It is not that such expertise is not available in the market as we have duly shown. STC are not obligated to secure my services but surely there are others with similar expertise in the market.If this void and status quo is still stagnant after the next 3 years and Top Executives are still sitting pretty with no new initiatives then I believe new blood should be brought in and there should be a changing of the guard with a more positive and reformist outlook. I cant do anything to change the dogged old school mindset of business as usual but I can certainly write a book on handicapping and the ills impeding growth in the horseracing industry. Yes there have been improvements and progress in the past few years like Racing Guide breaking the stranglehold of Punters Way after all these years as the official race programme, the introduction of Advance Race Win and the appointment of a manager to look after the interests of Owners but what about the ordinary racegoer...the lifeblood of racing. There have been a few other initiatives as well but these are few and far between compared to a need for a professionally crafted Sped Map and Handicap Ratings and sectionals that can be actually be used. What is the use of Punters Way 300M , 400M (sometimes by Luck they get it right!) 500M, 600M, 700M ,800M opening sectionals. I hope a reader or even Punters way themselves can tell me how they used it to decide on the winner as we have masterfully shown in the example of Great Light having the best sectionals compared to Texan Takeover the pre-race favourite with the wide barrier draw the only negative. What is the use of having Trackus when only the elite Trainers who know (i doubt all Trainers have this knowledge) how to use it together with knowledgable Media Tipsters like myself. I doubt if any Mandarin Tipster is using sectionals in their work as there are no(to the best of my knowledge) Mandarin Publications on the use of sectionals. Trackus is now an expensive, glorified white elephant showpiece which only a minority is using right now! More can be done to promote the understanding and use of sectional times in helping to select winners! In the meantime i will revel in the advanatge i have over the average racegoer and enjoy the benefits until STC makes radical changes instead of their current complacent stance of inertia!
I have given feedback to STC months ago on a couple of initiatives but I have yet to see any positive response to my recommendations or any reaction and reasons why they are unable to make these improvements .
One of the bug bears can be seen to have a negative effect on today's race.....the publishing of body weights of horses 2 days before race day following the example of HKG or at the very least have it all ready for the full card 2-3 hours before the start of race 1. Good Loouken has been reported as outclassed as reported on Track Talk but i think they have missed his Group 3 win in Argentina but I agree he is disadvantaged by the terms of the race as he is running 1kg underscaled. He showed up in his last run underweight by 12-14 kg and will probably run unplaced if his weight remains at 500kg but with his superior HR and Group 3 win under his belt he will be a lively longshot if his body weight goes up by double digits but this information is currently not available at start of races. Is it fair for racegoers to make advance roll-win bets when this vital and crucial data is not made available at the start of Race 1.Imagine I have winners in my 1st 2 legs and I want to cancel my bet on Good Loouken when his weight comes up short. I tell the tellers I want to cancel my "live" bet but I am turned down...STC is opening itself up to a potential lawsuit when full data is not provided at time of bets being placed!
STC should introduce a proper Late Mail Service after weights and conditions of horses in paddock are known and somebody like Andrew Frost could helm this service and change his selections after this information is known under the monicker of Late Mail Service instead of being stuck with his Newpaper selection. A good recent example of this anomaly is the posting of Super Shadow coming in at double digit underweight! I strongly urge STC to review this weighty problem and at least have it available before start of races by a good 2-3 hours if possible!
We can never call ourselves a premier Racing Centre if most of these initiatives are not put into place to close the gap on HKGJC standards as I do believe a more knowledgable race goer will lead to more winners leading to a greater turnover in betting !
In the BIG RACE CHALLENGE BMW is still in the lead with 10 wins from 22 selections for a 45.45% strike rate and Starstatz Racing is on 7 wins from 22 selections for a 31.82% strike rate with a host of tipsters including Singapore Nap on joint 3rd with 6 wins from 22 selections 27.27 % strike rate. The tipsters are Mr X , Ma Chao and Lao Wang. If my tally for any of the Media Tipsters is incorrect do drop me a line at www.insiders111@yahoo.com.sg
PREVIEW OF RACE
With an expected fast pace with 4 front runners fighting for the rails run the only threat to The Rude Warrior
winning this race is the unknown body weight factor of Good Loouken . If his body weight goes up by 10 to 14 kg he will be a clear and present danger to The Rude Warrior (TRW)bagging this race as Good Loouken (GL) has the best HR in this race and The Rude Warrior has the 2nd best HR figures. Do note that Good Loouken won at CR 67 carrying 53.5kg albeit at the shorter 1100M Polytrack distance which puts him at HR 88 compared to TRW at 87.31. Moreover GL has a Group 3 win under his belt and has 5 wins from 25 races for a 20% strike rte compared to TRW at 4 wins from 21 races for a 19.05% strike rate. Although GL has not won at 1600M previously his pedigree suggest that the mile is not a problem at all and the expected fast pace will work in his favour and the booking of 50kg Vorster means that GL will
not run overweight. Let us examine his pedigree to assess his suitability over the mile. His USA Sire Easing Along has won from 1400M - 1600M and his progeny have won Group 1 races and his Sire Storm Cat is a World Class Champion Sire of Group 1 winners. Easing Along himself is by an Alydar (2000M stayer) dam and one of his dams Relaxing through his bloodline is by Champion stayer Buckpasser and another Dam Terulinga is by Triple Crown Winner Secretariat. Take note that GL has been doing a lot of canters on trackwork culminating in the best workout of 35,8 seconds last week and typical of the wily Leticia Dragon his trackwork is rather low key and off the radar for this week. The decisive factor will be his body weight on race day and I will upgrade him to 1st pick in a heartbeat if he is within his prime bodyweight!
Lacking this vital piece of information I will not hesitate to pick TRW as a special as the expected fast pace will suit him to a Tee. He has lost to horses like Illiminado and Ready To Strike but the HR figures are in his favour today and he had excuses with blocked runs and he was queried for his last performance where he changed his racing style to jump last in a closer style and only got going at the 300M when Illiminado was home and dusted.Looking at the HR statistics 3.5 kg adjustment is not enough to compensate for a $ length loss but I believe TRW has a lot more to offer to offer as I saw in the race video that TRW was full of running despite Santana sitting quietly at the 1st trun and even Matt Jones commented that Santana was not riding aggresively as he normally does in a more forward position. The HR of 3 is is HR 80 and 1 ia st 79.35 so TRW should have the edge. There is some doubt about TRW's ability to handle the shorter mile as his wins wins have all come over longer distances as his Sire Kempinsky by Danehill shows stamina and his Dam Tristalove carry carries the Sir Tristram Damsire bloodlines but his Damsire is by Encosta De Lago has enough speed to compensate for his stamina influence and with barrier 5 today he is in an ideal position to run an on pace race to overwhelm the 4 front runners(1-4-6-5) in the home straight with 7 tracking them closely.
In order my selections are 3-7-1-8-6-5-2 However be prepared to upgrade 8 to 1st and 2nd in the exotic bets if his body weight comes up right! In the meantime use 7 as the sole banker (with a proviso to upgrade 8) and 3-1 as key horses on the 2nd line and use the remaining 3-1-2-6-8 on the 3rd and 4th lines. Use 7#3-1 but be prepared to replaced with 7#8#3 if 8 turns up with double digit increase in weight , Play a big bet on 7 each way and be prepared to drop place betting and do a Dutch cover bet on 8 if his body weight comes up right!
15 March 2013
STARSTATZ RACING- 15 MARCH 2013 = 4 OTHER MONICKER TIPSTERS
Singapore Racing
15 March 2013
Race 7 Merlion Trophy - Singapore Group 3
1200M Polytrack
Stakes $200,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS : *** HUKA FALLS
IIZI SELECTS : **SUPER EASY
TW ( TRACKWATCHER ) SELECTS : ***HUKA FALLS....TRACKFORM *** 9-1-7-2
VB ( VALUE BET) SELECTS; *SPEEDY CAT
BMW (BENNY;S MASTERCLASS WINS) SELECTS *** HUKA FALLS
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
If a horse like Beau Brummel ( no offence to the Owner or Trainer) who won a minor stakes race could be remembered with a namesake race I wonder if Benny Ortega could be honoured and remembered with a similar Memorial Race. I hope the STC will honour a great Man who has given a breath of fresh air with his witty insights on racing through his write ups in Racing Guide and his contribution to improve the racegoers ' education in horse racing through Talks conducted at the STC premises at Kranji.
Xiu Fang is leading the full card Challenge with 69 wins (33.01%)strike rate) from 209 races. Racing Guide ( my tip for top honours this season) is breathing down her neck with a 68 win( 32.54% strike rate) tally from maximum while Ma Hui is 3rd with 64 wins ( 30.62% strike rate ) from maximum to be the only ones above the 30% benchmark!. Meanwhile Mr X is in 4th with 62 wins 29.67 % strike rate ) and Tan Thean Loon is in 5th with 60 wins (28.71% strike rate) from maximum.
In the BIg Race Challenge by proxy I am flying Benny's Flag(BMW)...Benny;s Masterclass Wins) high with an impressive (partly by default as I am not allowed to pick 1st favourites) tally of 10 wins from 21 selections for a 47.62% strike rate.
BMW;s ROI is an amazing $270 returns from a $105 investment.for an ROI of 257.14%. As I have reiterated before I will be banking on my Flagship blog Starstatz Racing. who is 2nd on 7 wins from 21 selections for a 33.33% strike rate slightly edging Xiu Fang's strike rate despite a poor start of a single win for the month of January with a 11.11% strike rate My other Blog Singapore Nap is on joint 3rd with 6 wins 30.16% strike rate with a host of others....namely Mr X, Ma Chao and Lao Wang. These strike rates are impressive when you consider that only 4 1st favourites ( Huka Falls X 3 times and only Stepitup have found the winners' circle for a poor strike rate of 19.05 %) for 1st favourite followers. I hope Super Easy can break this vicious cycle of floundering 1st favourites with his high ratings in this Weight For Age race despite his relative inexperience on the Polytrack surface but with a fresh up record of 4 wins from 6 1st up starts I do expect Super Easy ( he is by no means a shoo-in) not to disappoint despite Huka Falls SF and sectionals losing out to Emerald Hill but he has a superior HR(handicap ratings) to Emerald Hill and the wide barrier draw for Emerald Hill will weaken Emerald Hill's chances.
PREVIEW OF RACE
Besides analysing all the handicap data and the credentials of the various contenders(actually 2 serious contenders only)we should look into the look at the off track manoeuvres of Jose Moreira. Is he taking the ride on Super Easy out of obligation, loyalty and support of the owners Joy and Happiness Stables or is it because Moreira has a choice to pick what he thinks is the better horse! I will go with the judgement of Moreira despite the possibility(favourites have been falling like 10 pins in these Big Races so far this season but we hope the stakes money of $200,000 will see a genuine race being run) he could be a " red herring "designed to push the market on Super Easy so that there will be better reward for the dividends of Huka Falls. Based on trackwatcher's report Super Easy was pushed in trial to impress and he rates Huka Falls to be in better form/With this in mind the trend of failed favourites now looks a distinct probability
The pace will will be good to fast with Emerald Hill hassling Huka Falls for the rails run. Both of them if pushed for the rails run might just compound ( and make it easy for Super Easy and the other on pace runners to pick them off) and I expect Emerald Hill to get the coveted rails run with his opening 400M sectionals of 23.95 seconds compared to Huka falls at 24.54 seconds. Valevole will jump 3rd to make the trio of front runners followed by Ghozi , Touch of Gold, Super Easy, Gingerbread Man and Spedy Cat as on pace runners!
With a HR of 119 compared to Huka Falls(running underscaled by 7.5kg ie if true handicap race he would have carried 47.5kg) of 110 the 4 YO champ should put the Prince in waiting (he is the genuine article and not a young upstart!) should be able to account for Huka Falls despite SE's ( Super Easy) relative inexperience on poly and Huka Falls impressive poly figures for SF and sectionals! However judging from the performances of all the Darci Bharna's progeny in Singapore the Polytrack will not pose a problem and he has done well (hard held) in 1000M Polytrack Trials!.There is a possibility of Super Easy missing the board if he has not recovered from his travel exertions overseas but I reckon you can't keep a good horse down and SE and Huka Falls(HF) should bag the forecast spots! THE LATEST UPDATE FROM TRACKWATCHERS REPORT INDICATES 9 TO BE IN BETTER FORM THAN 1!
I am not an expert on condition of horses but even with my untrained eye I could see that Valevole 's coat was shining and muscles looked strapping but his HR figures are weak while Emerald Hill looked off colour and this is confirmed by Andrew Frost leaving Emerald Hill out of the top 4 but the final confirmation can be verified by Emerald Hills body weight on race day and I do expect to drop his body weight in a big way. If he is at hs ideal weight then I suggest to place him on the 3rd and 4th lines.However the track report just in shows Emerald Hill to be in good form to nullify my untrained comments!
In order my selectios are 9-1-4-7-2-8-3...Ghozi has the 2nd best HR after SE but his SF is weak while Valevole has the 3rd best sectionals( but weak HR) after Emerald Hill and Huka Falls.Use 9 as the sole banker and 1 and 4 -7 on the 2nd line and 3rd lines if on a budget and leave 4-7-2-8-3-3 on the 4th lines. Play 1#9 for forecast big bet and use 9#4 as a medium bet for forecast and place forecast. Please note slight change in selection order from Singapore Nap
15 March 2013
Race 7 Merlion Trophy - Singapore Group 3
1200M Polytrack
Stakes $200,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS : *** HUKA FALLS
IIZI SELECTS : **SUPER EASY
TW ( TRACKWATCHER ) SELECTS : ***HUKA FALLS....TRACKFORM *** 9-1-7-2
VB ( VALUE BET) SELECTS; *SPEEDY CAT
BMW (BENNY;S MASTERCLASS WINS) SELECTS *** HUKA FALLS
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
If a horse like Beau Brummel ( no offence to the Owner or Trainer) who won a minor stakes race could be remembered with a namesake race I wonder if Benny Ortega could be honoured and remembered with a similar Memorial Race. I hope the STC will honour a great Man who has given a breath of fresh air with his witty insights on racing through his write ups in Racing Guide and his contribution to improve the racegoers ' education in horse racing through Talks conducted at the STC premises at Kranji.
Xiu Fang is leading the full card Challenge with 69 wins (33.01%)strike rate) from 209 races. Racing Guide ( my tip for top honours this season) is breathing down her neck with a 68 win( 32.54% strike rate) tally from maximum while Ma Hui is 3rd with 64 wins ( 30.62% strike rate ) from maximum to be the only ones above the 30% benchmark!. Meanwhile Mr X is in 4th with 62 wins 29.67 % strike rate ) and Tan Thean Loon is in 5th with 60 wins (28.71% strike rate) from maximum.
In the BIg Race Challenge by proxy I am flying Benny's Flag(BMW)...Benny;s Masterclass Wins) high with an impressive (partly by default as I am not allowed to pick 1st favourites) tally of 10 wins from 21 selections for a 47.62% strike rate.
BMW;s ROI is an amazing $270 returns from a $105 investment.for an ROI of 257.14%. As I have reiterated before I will be banking on my Flagship blog Starstatz Racing. who is 2nd on 7 wins from 21 selections for a 33.33% strike rate slightly edging Xiu Fang's strike rate despite a poor start of a single win for the month of January with a 11.11% strike rate My other Blog Singapore Nap is on joint 3rd with 6 wins 30.16% strike rate with a host of others....namely Mr X, Ma Chao and Lao Wang. These strike rates are impressive when you consider that only 4 1st favourites ( Huka Falls X 3 times and only Stepitup have found the winners' circle for a poor strike rate of 19.05 %) for 1st favourite followers. I hope Super Easy can break this vicious cycle of floundering 1st favourites with his high ratings in this Weight For Age race despite his relative inexperience on the Polytrack surface but with a fresh up record of 4 wins from 6 1st up starts I do expect Super Easy ( he is by no means a shoo-in) not to disappoint despite Huka Falls SF and sectionals losing out to Emerald Hill but he has a superior HR(handicap ratings) to Emerald Hill and the wide barrier draw for Emerald Hill will weaken Emerald Hill's chances.
PREVIEW OF RACE
Besides analysing all the handicap data and the credentials of the various contenders(actually 2 serious contenders only)we should look into the look at the off track manoeuvres of Jose Moreira. Is he taking the ride on Super Easy out of obligation, loyalty and support of the owners Joy and Happiness Stables or is it because Moreira has a choice to pick what he thinks is the better horse! I will go with the judgement of Moreira despite the possibility(favourites have been falling like 10 pins in these Big Races so far this season but we hope the stakes money of $200,000 will see a genuine race being run) he could be a " red herring "designed to push the market on Super Easy so that there will be better reward for the dividends of Huka Falls. Based on trackwatcher's report Super Easy was pushed in trial to impress and he rates Huka Falls to be in better form/With this in mind the trend of failed favourites now looks a distinct probability
The pace will will be good to fast with Emerald Hill hassling Huka Falls for the rails run. Both of them if pushed for the rails run might just compound ( and make it easy for Super Easy and the other on pace runners to pick them off) and I expect Emerald Hill to get the coveted rails run with his opening 400M sectionals of 23.95 seconds compared to Huka falls at 24.54 seconds. Valevole will jump 3rd to make the trio of front runners followed by Ghozi , Touch of Gold, Super Easy, Gingerbread Man and Spedy Cat as on pace runners!
With a HR of 119 compared to Huka Falls(running underscaled by 7.5kg ie if true handicap race he would have carried 47.5kg) of 110 the 4 YO champ should put the Prince in waiting (he is the genuine article and not a young upstart!) should be able to account for Huka Falls despite SE's ( Super Easy) relative inexperience on poly and Huka Falls impressive poly figures for SF and sectionals! However judging from the performances of all the Darci Bharna's progeny in Singapore the Polytrack will not pose a problem and he has done well (hard held) in 1000M Polytrack Trials!.There is a possibility of Super Easy missing the board if he has not recovered from his travel exertions overseas but I reckon you can't keep a good horse down and SE and Huka Falls(HF) should bag the forecast spots! THE LATEST UPDATE FROM TRACKWATCHERS REPORT INDICATES 9 TO BE IN BETTER FORM THAN 1!
I am not an expert on condition of horses but even with my untrained eye I could see that Valevole 's coat was shining and muscles looked strapping but his HR figures are weak while Emerald Hill looked off colour and this is confirmed by Andrew Frost leaving Emerald Hill out of the top 4 but the final confirmation can be verified by Emerald Hills body weight on race day and I do expect to drop his body weight in a big way. If he is at hs ideal weight then I suggest to place him on the 3rd and 4th lines.However the track report just in shows Emerald Hill to be in good form to nullify my untrained comments!
In order my selectios are 9-1-4-7-2-8-3...Ghozi has the 2nd best HR after SE but his SF is weak while Valevole has the 3rd best sectionals( but weak HR) after Emerald Hill and Huka Falls.Use 9 as the sole banker and 1 and 4 -7 on the 2nd line and 3rd lines if on a budget and leave 4-7-2-8-3-3 on the 4th lines. Play 1#9 for forecast big bet and use 9#4 as a medium bet for forecast and place forecast. Please note slight change in selection order from Singapore Nap
10 March 2013
STARSTATZ RACING 10 MARCH 2013 + 4 OTHER MONICKER TIPSTERS
Singapore Racing
10 March 2013
Race 8 Open Benchmark 89
1100M Polytrack
Stakes $95,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS : *** TEXAN TAKEOVER
IIZI SELECTS *** GREAT LIGHT
TW SELECTS * RAPIDO STAR
VB SELECTS *RAPIDO STAR
BMW SELECTS : *** GREAT LIGHT
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
MY 3 LEG RECOMMENDATION FOR ROLL WIN BET IS RACE 3 NUMBER 4 SUPER SHADOW....RACE 8 NUMBER 5 TEXAN TAKEOVER AND RACE 10 NUMBER 1 GLOWNIGHT RACER
With 5 wins on the board Hui Liang was the top Media Tipster on Friday. Xiu Fang proved she is not yet ready to give up her lead with 4 wins and regained her 1 point lead over Racing Guide who only managed 3 wins. Xiu Fang leads the full card challenge with 66 wins(33.17%) from 199 selections and Racing Guide is probably 2nd with 65 wins for a 32.66% strike rate and Ma Hui is probably 3rd followed by Mr X or Tan Thean Loon.
I stand corrected on my tally for the Big Race Challenge with BMW leading the way with 9 wins from 20 selections for an impressive 45% strike rate and an amazing $270 returns from an investment of $100 for an astonishing 270% ROI.My official Flagship blog Starstatz Racing is on 7 wins (35% strike to compare favourably with Xiu Fang's strike rate) from 20 selections. Singapore Nap is on joint 3rd with Ma Chao and Lao Wang on 6 wins. (30% strike rate) The statisitics do show a direct and fair comparison of oranges and our various Flagship blogs are more than capable of holding their own (at least in big races at this juncture of the season anyway) against the cream of Media/Internet Tipsters in Singapore . If my tally on the leading tipsters in the Big Race Challenge is incorrect do drop me a line on www.insiders111@yahoo.co.sg
PREVIEW OF RACE
Texan Takeover may not be a shoo-in like Super Shadow in Race 3 today but Super Shadow was the last Promising horse tipped and earmarked by late Mentor Benny Ortega and he hinted at Super Shadow"s class in breeding as being better than Super Easy and predicted that Super Shadow will win a Cup race eventually at a forte distance of 1600M to 2000M ,He is merely toying with his opposition at Sprint distances and he will follow the path of Big Easy (Freedman will probably use the same tactics as Laxon as he goes up the grades) and probably do better than Big Easy as he goes up in distance. Super Shadow is not a sprinter type like Super Easy and I will always have a special affinity for him as it is Benny's last legacy to me on horse racing bloodstock analysis.
Let's go back to the business at hand and analyse the winning chances of Texan .Takeover .He is classy with the best win strike rate and does not have the best HR Ratings but he does have the 4th best SF after Bionic Boy (badly drawn) , Birthday Gift (poor form in last 3 runs but training well) and Niceone (poor form in last 4 runs).However a pointer to his chances may be in his sectional which are inferior marginally only to Great Light who has been drawn wide and I assess that Great Light will not get the rails run with 7-8-11-5-3 to contend with and will be caught at least 3 wide if running on pace and more likely will be caught at the rear which may not be a bad move if the pace proves to be fast but if the pace is good or slow it would make it easier for TT(Texan Takeover ) to overcome the maestro Moreira and they should both fight out the finish!/Great Light has sectionals of 23.595/23.346 = 46.941compared to TT at 23.513/23.57 = 47.083 but this is compensated bt TT;s superior barrier draw and will prove decisive in the final equation!.
In order my selections are 5-9-4-3-10-6 (note change in selection order from Singapore Nap with 8 a course scratching) even though there are doubts on the form of horses like 10 and 3 but the bodyweight will be decisive in review before making a final decision on the exotics and be prepared to upgrade or down grade accordingly but the horses drawn wide will have a problem struggling to make the top 4. Use 5 as the sole banker and 9-10 as key horses on the 2nd line with the remaining 9-10-3-8-4-6 on the 3rd and 4th lines. I do expect the tierce/quartet dividend to pay well with a few nasty surprises for punters.Use as cover 5 as lone banker and the remaining 6 selections on the remaining 2nd /3rd and 4th lines in case my prediction of a big payout does blossom as expected!. Use 5#9 as a big bet for forecast/place forecast and cover a medium bet on 5#10 as 5 and 10 both belong to the Freedman Stables and they might do a tag team result to make the dividends go wild and hit the roof!
10 March 2013
Race 8 Open Benchmark 89
1100M Polytrack
Stakes $95,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS : *** TEXAN TAKEOVER
IIZI SELECTS *** GREAT LIGHT
TW SELECTS * RAPIDO STAR
VB SELECTS *RAPIDO STAR
BMW SELECTS : *** GREAT LIGHT
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
MY 3 LEG RECOMMENDATION FOR ROLL WIN BET IS RACE 3 NUMBER 4 SUPER SHADOW....RACE 8 NUMBER 5 TEXAN TAKEOVER AND RACE 10 NUMBER 1 GLOWNIGHT RACER
With 5 wins on the board Hui Liang was the top Media Tipster on Friday. Xiu Fang proved she is not yet ready to give up her lead with 4 wins and regained her 1 point lead over Racing Guide who only managed 3 wins. Xiu Fang leads the full card challenge with 66 wins(33.17%) from 199 selections and Racing Guide is probably 2nd with 65 wins for a 32.66% strike rate and Ma Hui is probably 3rd followed by Mr X or Tan Thean Loon.
I stand corrected on my tally for the Big Race Challenge with BMW leading the way with 9 wins from 20 selections for an impressive 45% strike rate and an amazing $270 returns from an investment of $100 for an astonishing 270% ROI.My official Flagship blog Starstatz Racing is on 7 wins (35% strike to compare favourably with Xiu Fang's strike rate) from 20 selections. Singapore Nap is on joint 3rd with Ma Chao and Lao Wang on 6 wins. (30% strike rate) The statisitics do show a direct and fair comparison of oranges and our various Flagship blogs are more than capable of holding their own (at least in big races at this juncture of the season anyway) against the cream of Media/Internet Tipsters in Singapore . If my tally on the leading tipsters in the Big Race Challenge is incorrect do drop me a line on www.insiders111@yahoo.co.sg
PREVIEW OF RACE
Texan Takeover may not be a shoo-in like Super Shadow in Race 3 today but Super Shadow was the last Promising horse tipped and earmarked by late Mentor Benny Ortega and he hinted at Super Shadow"s class in breeding as being better than Super Easy and predicted that Super Shadow will win a Cup race eventually at a forte distance of 1600M to 2000M ,He is merely toying with his opposition at Sprint distances and he will follow the path of Big Easy (Freedman will probably use the same tactics as Laxon as he goes up the grades) and probably do better than Big Easy as he goes up in distance. Super Shadow is not a sprinter type like Super Easy and I will always have a special affinity for him as it is Benny's last legacy to me on horse racing bloodstock analysis.
Let's go back to the business at hand and analyse the winning chances of Texan .Takeover .He is classy with the best win strike rate and does not have the best HR Ratings but he does have the 4th best SF after Bionic Boy (badly drawn) , Birthday Gift (poor form in last 3 runs but training well) and Niceone (poor form in last 4 runs).However a pointer to his chances may be in his sectional which are inferior marginally only to Great Light who has been drawn wide and I assess that Great Light will not get the rails run with 7-8-11-5-3 to contend with and will be caught at least 3 wide if running on pace and more likely will be caught at the rear which may not be a bad move if the pace proves to be fast but if the pace is good or slow it would make it easier for TT(Texan Takeover ) to overcome the maestro Moreira and they should both fight out the finish!/Great Light has sectionals of 23.595/23.346 = 46.941compared to TT at 23.513/23.57 = 47.083 but this is compensated bt TT;s superior barrier draw and will prove decisive in the final equation!.
In order my selections are 5-9-4-3-10-6 (note change in selection order from Singapore Nap with 8 a course scratching) even though there are doubts on the form of horses like 10 and 3 but the bodyweight will be decisive in review before making a final decision on the exotics and be prepared to upgrade or down grade accordingly but the horses drawn wide will have a problem struggling to make the top 4. Use 5 as the sole banker and 9-10 as key horses on the 2nd line with the remaining 9-10-3-8-4-6 on the 3rd and 4th lines. I do expect the tierce/quartet dividend to pay well with a few nasty surprises for punters.Use as cover 5 as lone banker and the remaining 6 selections on the remaining 2nd /3rd and 4th lines in case my prediction of a big payout does blossom as expected!. Use 5#9 as a big bet for forecast/place forecast and cover a medium bet on 5#10 as 5 and 10 both belong to the Freedman Stables and they might do a tag team result to make the dividends go wild and hit the roof!
08 March 2013
STARSTATZ RACING -08 MARCH 2013 + 4 OTHER MONICKER TIPSTERS
Singapore Racing
8 March 2013
Race 7 Polytrack Mile Championship - Singapore Group 3
1600M Polytrack
Stakes 200,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS: *** FLYING FULTON
IIZI SELECTS;:**BLACK ICE
TW (TRACKWATCHER) SELECTS ***:FLYING FULTON ....TRACKFORM 1-2-4-3
VB (VALUE BET) SELECTS: **BLACK ICE ( SELECTED FOR PLACE BETTING ONLY....2 SPOTS ONLY AS 6 HORSES REMAINING DUE 7 IS SCRATCHED)
BMW (BENNY'S MASTERCLASS WINS) SELECTS : **BLACK ICE( BASED ON CONDITIONS OF CHALLENGE BMW CANNOT PICK THE 1ST FAVOURITE FLYING FULTON BEING CONSIDERED A SHOO-IN BET)
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Based on track form reportI have upgraded 2 to 2nd pick so the selection order is changed!
With the entire Media Tipster fraternity tipping Huka Falls as their 1st selection Singapore Nap and Starstatz Racing were among a couple of Media Tipsters who got the top 3 right and some were also right on Valevole coming in 4th as well. However most of us missed the direct quartet by putting Captain Obvious ahead of Masthead but the result between the two was reversed with Masthead pipping Captain Obvious for the forecast spot..
The advice we gave in 5 options for betting paid of well with minimal outlay although we did not score a direct fct./.direct tierce or direct quartet but our Trackwatcher had all the 4 horses in the mix with only the order for 2nd and 3rd in the wrong order ! We stated the obvious by recommending a win only bet on Huka Falls which required $5 investment for a return of $7. We did suggest a place only bet on Captain Obvious and Masthead only for a $5 investment each for a respective return of $8 and $10 respectively. Our forecast suggestion of 4#1-8 (investment of $4 ) paid off with a return of $13 and the similar place forecast advisory of 4#1-10 paid a return of $6 and $5 respectively. The trio was an obvious direct hit of $2 investment for a surprisingly rewarding return of $14. The tierce of $38 was only secured with an investment of $20 and the quartet of $93 was achieved with an investment of $80 achieved mediocre success for the comparatively large outlay!
In the Full Card Challenge Racing Guide has fulfilled (at least at this stage of the competition) caught up with Xiu Fang with a 7 win score on Friday and 3 wins last Sunday to be joint leaders on 62 wins(32.63%) from 190 selections .Ma Hui is on 3rd with 59 wins (31.05%) from same and Mr X is on 4th with 56 wins (29.47%) and Tan Thean Loon is on 5th with 54 wins (28.42%)
In the Big Race Challenge BMW is out in front with 8 wins (42.11%) from 19 selections while my flagship blog Starstatz Racing is on 7 wins (36.84%) to compare favourably with the full card challenge strike rates and Singapore Nap is on 6 wins (31.58%) jointly with Ma Chao and Lao Wang proving the the designated Flagship blogs of Singapore Nap are at least on par with the best on an equal comparison of oranges with all the Media Tipsters with Starstatz proving temporarily superior albeit by a soltary win. I re-iterate this point that I never claimed that I am the best on the most consisitent Media Tipster in Singapore but since I started tipping publicly I have always asserted that I am a safe bet for a top 5 spot and a pretty good bet for the top 3 spots compared to the other 27 other Internet and Media Tipsters in Singapore if you include all the Media Tipsters in the Winner21 Challenge, all the Presenter Tipsters in the STC Stable and internet/Print Media Tipsters like HS Chan from Sagacity , Turf Guide and Racing Guide and I have proven it in the past 4 seasons either with emails to all the respective Media Publications or by posting publicly on my respective blogs with blog archives available for inspections with a top 2 strike rate performance since I made my Internet debut in season 2009. Should any Media Publication, Media Tipster or reader dispute my claims do drop me a line at www.insiders111@yahoo.com.sg.
If it is not a hoax our blogs have now been recognised with an official invitation by the National Library Board to join the Singapore Memory Project even though Winner21 has chosen not to recognise people like HS Chan and myself( i wonder what is the difference between Larry Foley and ourselves with the weak excuse that was given) and reputable Publications like Racing Guide through chequered history are still not re-invited to the Challenge and even Ma Hui's sterling work as an STC Media Tipster is shrouded in mystery with no recognition given ( except internally and by this blogger who has to painstakingly tabulate the scores every week) even by STC itself and If I am not mistaken Victory Trail still does not tally their total scores for the season with a regular tally (do drop me an email if I am mistaken as I do not buy VictoryTrail since their error filled debut with no new innovations but giving credit when it is due they have made great strides to improve their grammar and spelling with much improved proof-reading standards!). By not publishing their total tally for the season these Media Tipsters are hiding their overall mediocrity (not every Tipster is performing badly though) .......endorsed by their respective bosses TAKING NO PRIDE IN THEIR WORK WITH ANY ATTEMPT TO ENCOURAGE BETTER PERFORMANCES BY PUBLISHING THIR RESPECTIVE SCORES (mediocre or otherwise). Where is the incentive to improve when mediocre performances are shrouded in anonymity? STC should lead by example by publishing all their Prese's scores and embrace all suitably qualified Internet and Media Tipsters including reputable Publications like Racing Guide and Turf Guide becaude of past history, jealousy and petty rivalry and that is why I recommend STC to take over this portfolio to ensure impartial treatment by the selectors provided stringent but fair standards (timing of posting and cc copies to relevant neutral authority like STC are set for pre-qualification!
PREVIEW OF RACE
Flying Fulton was seen by a condition expert to be in poor form on 15 February but if Mike Walker is the the Top Trainer that I think he is he should be able to bring Flying Fulton back to peak conditions and the favourable terms he is getting for this race is an opportunity not to be missed when he is carrying equal weight compared to the 42.5kg to 52.5 kg they should have been carrying if this was a true handicap race! On the other hand last start impressive winner Black Ice is reputed to be holding his peak for but he did beat FF over the unsuitable Turf surface with 2.5 kg less for a 2.75 length beating over an obviously unfit Flying Fulton If this was a true handicap race Black Ice should be carrying 52.5kg. I expect FF to drop slightly in weight today and turn the tables on Black Ice. Since thetop 3 saddlecloth numbers are well drawn I expect them to fill thetrio and tierce spots and if Lizarre is at his best he should be able to pip Black Ice for the 2nd spot with his superior HR figures but I do advise caution as these figures were pposted over a further distance and Black Ice may not melt so easily to give up 2nd spot!
The entire tipster market has Nandowra firmly cemented for the 4th spot and I reckon that What Now with a good 2nd up record of 1 win and 2 placings from 3 2nd up starts and with Sire having won over 1600M might have a say and by being USA bred the Polytrack should not pose serious problems even though What Now is not proven over both the 1600M and the Polytrack as well but Nandowra flew home in his last run and admittedly did look impressive! I do expect the pace to be slow and on pace runners will do well as 4-2-1-5-8 will lead the way and Lizarre will have to make his move early to secure a placing!
In order my my selections are 1-2-3-4-5 I suggest a more modest budget and omit 6 and 7 (especially 7 and do include 6 if you are looking for value but as a whole I recommend to stick with the top 5 using 1 as the sole banker and 2-3 as key horses on the 2nd line and 2-3-4-5 on the 3rd and 4th lines if on a budget but cover a single ticket with 1#2-3-4-5 for tierce/quartet just in case I am wrong! However under the terms of the race I suggest using 1#2-3 and 1 as the sole banker and 2-3 as key horses on the 2nd line and 1#2-3 for a big forecast bet as there is no place forecast in this race. Bet a big 3 *** bet on win only on Flying Fulton as the Polytrack is his speciality! Try this for a big tierce and quartet bet 1#32-3/2-3-4-5/2-3-4-5 and go for 1#2-3 big bet for the tierce main bet!
8 March 2013
Race 7 Polytrack Mile Championship - Singapore Group 3
1600M Polytrack
Stakes 200,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS: *** FLYING FULTON
IIZI SELECTS;:**BLACK ICE
TW (TRACKWATCHER) SELECTS ***:FLYING FULTON ....TRACKFORM 1-2-4-3
VB (VALUE BET) SELECTS: **BLACK ICE ( SELECTED FOR PLACE BETTING ONLY....2 SPOTS ONLY AS 6 HORSES REMAINING DUE 7 IS SCRATCHED)
BMW (BENNY'S MASTERCLASS WINS) SELECTS : **BLACK ICE( BASED ON CONDITIONS OF CHALLENGE BMW CANNOT PICK THE 1ST FAVOURITE FLYING FULTON BEING CONSIDERED A SHOO-IN BET)
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Based on track form reportI have upgraded 2 to 2nd pick so the selection order is changed!
With the entire Media Tipster fraternity tipping Huka Falls as their 1st selection Singapore Nap and Starstatz Racing were among a couple of Media Tipsters who got the top 3 right and some were also right on Valevole coming in 4th as well. However most of us missed the direct quartet by putting Captain Obvious ahead of Masthead but the result between the two was reversed with Masthead pipping Captain Obvious for the forecast spot..
The advice we gave in 5 options for betting paid of well with minimal outlay although we did not score a direct fct./.direct tierce or direct quartet but our Trackwatcher had all the 4 horses in the mix with only the order for 2nd and 3rd in the wrong order ! We stated the obvious by recommending a win only bet on Huka Falls which required $5 investment for a return of $7. We did suggest a place only bet on Captain Obvious and Masthead only for a $5 investment each for a respective return of $8 and $10 respectively. Our forecast suggestion of 4#1-8 (investment of $4 ) paid off with a return of $13 and the similar place forecast advisory of 4#1-10 paid a return of $6 and $5 respectively. The trio was an obvious direct hit of $2 investment for a surprisingly rewarding return of $14. The tierce of $38 was only secured with an investment of $20 and the quartet of $93 was achieved with an investment of $80 achieved mediocre success for the comparatively large outlay!
In the Full Card Challenge Racing Guide has fulfilled (at least at this stage of the competition) caught up with Xiu Fang with a 7 win score on Friday and 3 wins last Sunday to be joint leaders on 62 wins(32.63%) from 190 selections .Ma Hui is on 3rd with 59 wins (31.05%) from same and Mr X is on 4th with 56 wins (29.47%) and Tan Thean Loon is on 5th with 54 wins (28.42%)
In the Big Race Challenge BMW is out in front with 8 wins (42.11%) from 19 selections while my flagship blog Starstatz Racing is on 7 wins (36.84%) to compare favourably with the full card challenge strike rates and Singapore Nap is on 6 wins (31.58%) jointly with Ma Chao and Lao Wang proving the the designated Flagship blogs of Singapore Nap are at least on par with the best on an equal comparison of oranges with all the Media Tipsters with Starstatz proving temporarily superior albeit by a soltary win. I re-iterate this point that I never claimed that I am the best on the most consisitent Media Tipster in Singapore but since I started tipping publicly I have always asserted that I am a safe bet for a top 5 spot and a pretty good bet for the top 3 spots compared to the other 27 other Internet and Media Tipsters in Singapore if you include all the Media Tipsters in the Winner21 Challenge, all the Presenter Tipsters in the STC Stable and internet/Print Media Tipsters like HS Chan from Sagacity , Turf Guide and Racing Guide and I have proven it in the past 4 seasons either with emails to all the respective Media Publications or by posting publicly on my respective blogs with blog archives available for inspections with a top 2 strike rate performance since I made my Internet debut in season 2009. Should any Media Publication, Media Tipster or reader dispute my claims do drop me a line at www.insiders111@yahoo.com.sg.
If it is not a hoax our blogs have now been recognised with an official invitation by the National Library Board to join the Singapore Memory Project even though Winner21 has chosen not to recognise people like HS Chan and myself( i wonder what is the difference between Larry Foley and ourselves with the weak excuse that was given) and reputable Publications like Racing Guide through chequered history are still not re-invited to the Challenge and even Ma Hui's sterling work as an STC Media Tipster is shrouded in mystery with no recognition given ( except internally and by this blogger who has to painstakingly tabulate the scores every week) even by STC itself and If I am not mistaken Victory Trail still does not tally their total scores for the season with a regular tally (do drop me an email if I am mistaken as I do not buy VictoryTrail since their error filled debut with no new innovations but giving credit when it is due they have made great strides to improve their grammar and spelling with much improved proof-reading standards!). By not publishing their total tally for the season these Media Tipsters are hiding their overall mediocrity (not every Tipster is performing badly though) .......endorsed by their respective bosses TAKING NO PRIDE IN THEIR WORK WITH ANY ATTEMPT TO ENCOURAGE BETTER PERFORMANCES BY PUBLISHING THIR RESPECTIVE SCORES (mediocre or otherwise). Where is the incentive to improve when mediocre performances are shrouded in anonymity? STC should lead by example by publishing all their Prese's scores and embrace all suitably qualified Internet and Media Tipsters including reputable Publications like Racing Guide and Turf Guide becaude of past history, jealousy and petty rivalry and that is why I recommend STC to take over this portfolio to ensure impartial treatment by the selectors provided stringent but fair standards (timing of posting and cc copies to relevant neutral authority like STC are set for pre-qualification!
PREVIEW OF RACE
Flying Fulton was seen by a condition expert to be in poor form on 15 February but if Mike Walker is the the Top Trainer that I think he is he should be able to bring Flying Fulton back to peak conditions and the favourable terms he is getting for this race is an opportunity not to be missed when he is carrying equal weight compared to the 42.5kg to 52.5 kg they should have been carrying if this was a true handicap race! On the other hand last start impressive winner Black Ice is reputed to be holding his peak for but he did beat FF over the unsuitable Turf surface with 2.5 kg less for a 2.75 length beating over an obviously unfit Flying Fulton If this was a true handicap race Black Ice should be carrying 52.5kg. I expect FF to drop slightly in weight today and turn the tables on Black Ice. Since thetop 3 saddlecloth numbers are well drawn I expect them to fill thetrio and tierce spots and if Lizarre is at his best he should be able to pip Black Ice for the 2nd spot with his superior HR figures but I do advise caution as these figures were pposted over a further distance and Black Ice may not melt so easily to give up 2nd spot!
The entire tipster market has Nandowra firmly cemented for the 4th spot and I reckon that What Now with a good 2nd up record of 1 win and 2 placings from 3 2nd up starts and with Sire having won over 1600M might have a say and by being USA bred the Polytrack should not pose serious problems even though What Now is not proven over both the 1600M and the Polytrack as well but Nandowra flew home in his last run and admittedly did look impressive! I do expect the pace to be slow and on pace runners will do well as 4-2-1-5-8 will lead the way and Lizarre will have to make his move early to secure a placing!
In order my my selections are 1-2-3-4-5 I suggest a more modest budget and omit 6 and 7 (especially 7 and do include 6 if you are looking for value but as a whole I recommend to stick with the top 5 using 1 as the sole banker and 2-3 as key horses on the 2nd line and 2-3-4-5 on the 3rd and 4th lines if on a budget but cover a single ticket with 1#2-3-4-5 for tierce/quartet just in case I am wrong! However under the terms of the race I suggest using 1#2-3 and 1 as the sole banker and 2-3 as key horses on the 2nd line and 1#2-3 for a big forecast bet as there is no place forecast in this race. Bet a big 3 *** bet on win only on Flying Fulton as the Polytrack is his speciality! Try this for a big tierce and quartet bet 1#32-3/2-3-4-5/2-3-4-5 and go for 1#2-3 big bet for the tierce main bet!
03 March 2013
03 March 2013 - Starstatz racing with 4 other monicker tipsters
Singapore Racing
3 March 2013
Race 9 Kranji Stakes A
1200M Polytrack
Stakes $125,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS: *** HUKA FALLS
IIZI SELECTS : **CAPTAIN OBVIOUS
TW ( TRACKWATCHER) SELECTS : *** HUKA FALLS...TRACKFORM: 4-1-8-6
VB (VALUE BET ON PLACING ONLY ) SELECTS **CAPTAIN OBVIOUS...for today only consider a 2nd place bet on Masthead as well and he should pay more than Captain Obvious but this advisory will not count in my official tally and in official reckoning Captain Obvious will be the official selection
BMW (BENNY'S MASTERCLASS WINS...BY CONDITIONS OF CHALLENGE I AM NOT ALLOWED TO PICK 1ST FAVOURITE HUKA FALLS) : ** CAPTAIN OBVIOUS
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
With feed back from my trackwatcher's report I am have changed my order of selection form Singapore Nap by upgrading 6 to 5th but I advise caution as the wide barrier draw might still cost him the 4th spot
I wonder if any Media Tipster did better than Sagacity's HS Chan's 7 wins on Friday 01 March, BMW (Benny;s Masterclass Wins) recovered from the disastrous outing on on Tom with an exciting win on Soul Commander to score 8 wins from 18 selections 44.44% and an impresive ROI of $263 from $90 investment in the Big Race Challenge with an impressive 292.22% returns.HOWEVER AS PER CONDITIONS OF THE CHALLENGE BMW CANNOT PICK MEDIA TIPSTER;S 1ST FAVOURITES AND I EXPECT BMW TO LOSE GROUND AS I DO EXPECT HUKA FALLS TO BE A SHOO-IN ON SUNDAY! Despite the triple advantage of HR/SF and sectionals it turned out to be only a narrow neck win over Media Tipster favourite Cavallo. However I did mention that Cavallo had a superior HR compared to Lago Bay.My official Flagship blog has pulled ahead of the field with 6 wins from 18 selections for a 33.33% respectable (despite a slow start scoring only one win in January ) strike rate. Ma Chao and Lao Wang and my other blog Singapore Nap are next with 5 wins (27.77% strike rate )with a host of others on 4 and 3 wins. For the moment I believe I have proven I can easily hold my own well to be comfortably in the top 5 among Media Tipsters as I have always affirmed.Despite starting poorly in the month of January with only one win from 9 selections (11.11%) I have since bounced back on my Flagship blog on Starstatz Racing to go toe to toe with Xiu Fang in challenging for the best strike rate performance
with a 33.33% strike rate. By comparing with Full card challenge race leader Xiu Fang is like comparing apples and oranges but even in comparing oranges and oranges in the Big Race Challenge format I am consistently holding my own extremely well when comparing directly with my Flagship blog Starstatz Racing( never mind that BMW is currntly leading the table)
I still wish STC will revamp the current status quo of not providing body weight of horses early and how it affects the tipping process. I originally had Viva Panata as 3rd pick but after Viva Panata checked in badly overweight compared to his winning weight he was written off for a top 4 placing. Other than Lago Bay;s disappointing run the rest more or less according to their true handicap despite my slight underestimation of Cavallo.
PREVIEW OF RACE
On pure handicap ratings Huka Falls is not the best rated horse in this race but he is arguably very promising and probabaly the classiest together with Captain Obvious and Gingerbread Man. Even his SF figures are slower than Cash Dot Com and Masthead but superior than the rest of the field.
If Huka Falls performance in the trial on a hard hold was not a red herring sale than Huka Falls should win this race in a canter althought he expected fast pace is a slight concern with 4-6-1-10 leading the front runners. If the front runners follow too closely all of them might be swamped by an off pace runner or closer but I expect those who follow Huka Falls closely might compound in the straight and be disheartened and fizzle out in the last 50 M but I do expect Captain Obvious to hang on for 2nd spot to make the forecast.
In order my selections are 4-1-8-2-6-10-5.(slightly different from Singapore Nap and 5 replaces 3)
Please note that all the horses are running underscaled with the exception of Captain Obvious ranging fro 11.5 kg for Cash Dot Com to kg for Gingerbread Man and even our shoo-in Huka Falls is running at 9 kg underscaled so the handicap advantage lies with the obvious Captain although his SF is not the best and Polytrack is not his forte surface even though he has won before in lower company in the past.However I do believe Laxon is anxious to prepare him for his next assignment in 2 weeks time as a prelude to his date with the Kris Flyer Sprint in May The key horses on the 2nd line may prove elusive byt go with 1 and 8 for tierce and quartet selections and 1-8-2-10-6-3. I have include Gingerbread Man in 4th due to his affinity with doing well after a break with 2 wins and 2 placings from 5 1st up starts but do double check that his bodyweight is within his winning range or slightly higher than 493kg as he is approaching maturity as a 5YO.I suggest to put 4#1-8 for the forecast and place forecast bets in a big way and play win only on Huka Falls but if the odds prove too skinnu a place bet only on Captain Obvious looks quite safe!
3 March 2013
Race 9 Kranji Stakes A
1200M Polytrack
Stakes $125,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS: *** HUKA FALLS
IIZI SELECTS : **CAPTAIN OBVIOUS
TW ( TRACKWATCHER) SELECTS : *** HUKA FALLS...TRACKFORM: 4-1-8-6
VB (VALUE BET ON PLACING ONLY ) SELECTS **CAPTAIN OBVIOUS...for today only consider a 2nd place bet on Masthead as well and he should pay more than Captain Obvious but this advisory will not count in my official tally and in official reckoning Captain Obvious will be the official selection
BMW (BENNY'S MASTERCLASS WINS...BY CONDITIONS OF CHALLENGE I AM NOT ALLOWED TO PICK 1ST FAVOURITE HUKA FALLS) : ** CAPTAIN OBVIOUS
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
With feed back from my trackwatcher's report I am have changed my order of selection form Singapore Nap by upgrading 6 to 5th but I advise caution as the wide barrier draw might still cost him the 4th spot
I wonder if any Media Tipster did better than Sagacity's HS Chan's 7 wins on Friday 01 March, BMW (Benny;s Masterclass Wins) recovered from the disastrous outing on on Tom with an exciting win on Soul Commander to score 8 wins from 18 selections 44.44% and an impresive ROI of $263 from $90 investment in the Big Race Challenge with an impressive 292.22% returns.HOWEVER AS PER CONDITIONS OF THE CHALLENGE BMW CANNOT PICK MEDIA TIPSTER;S 1ST FAVOURITES AND I EXPECT BMW TO LOSE GROUND AS I DO EXPECT HUKA FALLS TO BE A SHOO-IN ON SUNDAY! Despite the triple advantage of HR/SF and sectionals it turned out to be only a narrow neck win over Media Tipster favourite Cavallo. However I did mention that Cavallo had a superior HR compared to Lago Bay.My official Flagship blog has pulled ahead of the field with 6 wins from 18 selections for a 33.33% respectable (despite a slow start scoring only one win in January ) strike rate. Ma Chao and Lao Wang and my other blog Singapore Nap are next with 5 wins (27.77% strike rate )with a host of others on 4 and 3 wins. For the moment I believe I have proven I can easily hold my own well to be comfortably in the top 5 among Media Tipsters as I have always affirmed.Despite starting poorly in the month of January with only one win from 9 selections (11.11%) I have since bounced back on my Flagship blog on Starstatz Racing to go toe to toe with Xiu Fang in challenging for the best strike rate performance
with a 33.33% strike rate. By comparing with Full card challenge race leader Xiu Fang is like comparing apples and oranges but even in comparing oranges and oranges in the Big Race Challenge format I am consistently holding my own extremely well when comparing directly with my Flagship blog Starstatz Racing( never mind that BMW is currntly leading the table)
I still wish STC will revamp the current status quo of not providing body weight of horses early and how it affects the tipping process. I originally had Viva Panata as 3rd pick but after Viva Panata checked in badly overweight compared to his winning weight he was written off for a top 4 placing. Other than Lago Bay;s disappointing run the rest more or less according to their true handicap despite my slight underestimation of Cavallo.
PREVIEW OF RACE
On pure handicap ratings Huka Falls is not the best rated horse in this race but he is arguably very promising and probabaly the classiest together with Captain Obvious and Gingerbread Man. Even his SF figures are slower than Cash Dot Com and Masthead but superior than the rest of the field.
If Huka Falls performance in the trial on a hard hold was not a red herring sale than Huka Falls should win this race in a canter althought he expected fast pace is a slight concern with 4-6-1-10 leading the front runners. If the front runners follow too closely all of them might be swamped by an off pace runner or closer but I expect those who follow Huka Falls closely might compound in the straight and be disheartened and fizzle out in the last 50 M but I do expect Captain Obvious to hang on for 2nd spot to make the forecast.
In order my selections are 4-1-8-2-6-10-5.(slightly different from Singapore Nap and 5 replaces 3)
Please note that all the horses are running underscaled with the exception of Captain Obvious ranging fro 11.5 kg for Cash Dot Com to kg for Gingerbread Man and even our shoo-in Huka Falls is running at 9 kg underscaled so the handicap advantage lies with the obvious Captain although his SF is not the best and Polytrack is not his forte surface even though he has won before in lower company in the past.However I do believe Laxon is anxious to prepare him for his next assignment in 2 weeks time as a prelude to his date with the Kris Flyer Sprint in May The key horses on the 2nd line may prove elusive byt go with 1 and 8 for tierce and quartet selections and 1-8-2-10-6-3. I have include Gingerbread Man in 4th due to his affinity with doing well after a break with 2 wins and 2 placings from 5 1st up starts but do double check that his bodyweight is within his winning range or slightly higher than 493kg as he is approaching maturity as a 5YO.I suggest to put 4#1-8 for the forecast and place forecast bets in a big way and play win only on Huka Falls but if the odds prove too skinnu a place bet only on Captain Obvious looks quite safe!
01 March 2013
01 MARCH 2013 - STARSTATZ RACING + 4 OTHER MONICKER TIPS
Singapore Nap
1 March 2013
Race 3 - B 74
1000M Polytrack
Stakes 75,000
STARSTATZ RACING PICKS :*** SOUL COMMANDER
IIZI PICKS ; LAGO BAY
TW (TRACKWATCHER ) PICKS : SOUL COMMANDER ......TRACK FORM 6-1-2-4
VB (VALUE BET) PICKS LAGO BAY (DUE NO 3RD PLACING)
BMW ( Benny's Masterclass Wins formerly called longshot) PICKS : SOUL COMMANDER DUE CAVALLO IS MEDIA TIPSTER'S RACE FAVOURITE
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
In my rush to meet posting datelines I did a couple of typo errors (since corrected on this blog) and still got the dates wrong. After receiving the trackwatcher/s report I have ammended the order of selections slightly
I am astonished that the passing of my guru Benny Ortega has not been honoured by STC or any of the ex- staff whose lives he has touched with any article on STC wbsite or any of the other publications to honour his contributions to horse-racing in general.
Benny had made many contibutions to promote horse racing with hosting of events at STC premises in his capacity as Chief Editor of The old Racing Guide and dispensing of personal advice to the Senior VPs and Racing Stewards and other STC officials and the current Directors of Racing Guide in the lawsuit sought by Punters Way where the original ruling in favour of Punters Way was overturned on Appeal. I propose STC should name a race in honour of the dearly departed Mr Benny Ortega to honour his contributions to horse racing in general...how about calling it "Benny Ortega Memorial Stakes." I suggest making the race a 2400M event but STC should pick the race distance at its discretion if the 2400M distance is deemed unsuitable.
This week Media Tipsters' top performance of the day fr last Sunday goes to Ma Hui one of the STC Mandarin Race Presenters who did a 6 win feat to go 2nd with 53 wins from 169 races for a 31.36% strike rate. Xiu Fang leads the full card Challenge with 56 wins from 169 races for a creditable 33.14% strike rate. Racing Guide slipped back to 3rd on 52 wins from maximum to go 30.77% while stablemates Tan Thean Loon from the Newpaper are tied in joint 4th with 50 wins for a 29.59% strike rate.
In the Big Race Challenge no Media Tipster scored on Black Ice and I did spot his opening odds of $22 on Advance Race Win (useful handicapping tool) as 2nd favourite to Deep Pockets whose handicap was inferior to Black Ice but my HR system did not notice Black Ice so I did not give him a 2nd thought except to upgrade him to top 4 status behind 9-3-7 when Always Certain came out slightly overweight. After the race my peers told me Black Ice coat was shining and he looked in top condition (assessment of condition in paddock is a skill I have yet to master so Black Ice eluded me!
In the Big Race Challenge my flagship blog STARSTATZ RACING continues to lead with 5 wins from 17 selections for a 29.41% strike rate ahead of Tan Thean Loon , Xiu Fang, Zheng Qiang and Lao Wang. Surprisingly BMW ( just renamed Benny;s Masterclass Wins) is in top form with 7 wins for an amazing 41.18% strike rate.and a $252 return for an investment of $85 for an amazing ROI of 296.47%
PREVIEW OF RACE
There are 3-4 decent chances in todays races but my HANDICAP RATINGS. SPEED FIGURES AND SECTIONALS POINT ME SOLIDLY TO SOUL COMMANDER with very few negatives to worry about. If the pace is fast (i expect good to fast) then Soul Commander or Viva Panata ( has the worst HR figure among the 4 )will be able to pick off the front trio of 5-1-4.
Lago Bay is a classy 1000M specialist with an experienced 3kg claiming apprentice on board and despite his 3 inferior handicap figures he might be able to trap 6 on his inside and get the jump on 6 if Moreira is not at his best or if the odds on Soul Commander are deemed too skinny by their connections. Lago Bay;s figures are a shade weaker than Soul Commander and it will be close if the apprentice is equal in skill to his 3kg claim! Classy Cavallo has the best strike rate among this group of horses but he has weak HR/SF and sectional at this distance which should be good enough to betray his weak Achilles heel against this lot and I feel the 1000M may be too short for his liking!
In order my selections are 6-1-3-2-4-5.
Use 6 as the lone banker for exotics and 1-3 as key horses on the 2nd line and 1-3-4-2-5(if budget is tight leave out 5).
Play a direct forecast on 6#1 as a big bet and do increase bet if 4 remains 1st favourite! Bet a big 3*** big bet on 6 on win only.
1 March 2013
Race 3 - B 74
1000M Polytrack
Stakes 75,000
STARSTATZ RACING PICKS :*** SOUL COMMANDER
IIZI PICKS ; LAGO BAY
TW (TRACKWATCHER ) PICKS : SOUL COMMANDER ......TRACK FORM 6-1-2-4
VB (VALUE BET) PICKS LAGO BAY (DUE NO 3RD PLACING)
BMW ( Benny's Masterclass Wins formerly called longshot) PICKS : SOUL COMMANDER DUE CAVALLO IS MEDIA TIPSTER'S RACE FAVOURITE
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
In my rush to meet posting datelines I did a couple of typo errors (since corrected on this blog) and still got the dates wrong. After receiving the trackwatcher/s report I have ammended the order of selections slightly
I am astonished that the passing of my guru Benny Ortega has not been honoured by STC or any of the ex- staff whose lives he has touched with any article on STC wbsite or any of the other publications to honour his contributions to horse-racing in general.
Benny had made many contibutions to promote horse racing with hosting of events at STC premises in his capacity as Chief Editor of The old Racing Guide and dispensing of personal advice to the Senior VPs and Racing Stewards and other STC officials and the current Directors of Racing Guide in the lawsuit sought by Punters Way where the original ruling in favour of Punters Way was overturned on Appeal. I propose STC should name a race in honour of the dearly departed Mr Benny Ortega to honour his contributions to horse racing in general...how about calling it "Benny Ortega Memorial Stakes." I suggest making the race a 2400M event but STC should pick the race distance at its discretion if the 2400M distance is deemed unsuitable.
This week Media Tipsters' top performance of the day fr last Sunday goes to Ma Hui one of the STC Mandarin Race Presenters who did a 6 win feat to go 2nd with 53 wins from 169 races for a 31.36% strike rate. Xiu Fang leads the full card Challenge with 56 wins from 169 races for a creditable 33.14% strike rate. Racing Guide slipped back to 3rd on 52 wins from maximum to go 30.77% while stablemates Tan Thean Loon from the Newpaper are tied in joint 4th with 50 wins for a 29.59% strike rate.
In the Big Race Challenge no Media Tipster scored on Black Ice and I did spot his opening odds of $22 on Advance Race Win (useful handicapping tool) as 2nd favourite to Deep Pockets whose handicap was inferior to Black Ice but my HR system did not notice Black Ice so I did not give him a 2nd thought except to upgrade him to top 4 status behind 9-3-7 when Always Certain came out slightly overweight. After the race my peers told me Black Ice coat was shining and he looked in top condition (assessment of condition in paddock is a skill I have yet to master so Black Ice eluded me!
In the Big Race Challenge my flagship blog STARSTATZ RACING continues to lead with 5 wins from 17 selections for a 29.41% strike rate ahead of Tan Thean Loon , Xiu Fang, Zheng Qiang and Lao Wang. Surprisingly BMW ( just renamed Benny;s Masterclass Wins) is in top form with 7 wins for an amazing 41.18% strike rate.and a $252 return for an investment of $85 for an amazing ROI of 296.47%
PREVIEW OF RACE
There are 3-4 decent chances in todays races but my HANDICAP RATINGS. SPEED FIGURES AND SECTIONALS POINT ME SOLIDLY TO SOUL COMMANDER with very few negatives to worry about. If the pace is fast (i expect good to fast) then Soul Commander or Viva Panata ( has the worst HR figure among the 4 )will be able to pick off the front trio of 5-1-4.
Lago Bay is a classy 1000M specialist with an experienced 3kg claiming apprentice on board and despite his 3 inferior handicap figures he might be able to trap 6 on his inside and get the jump on 6 if Moreira is not at his best or if the odds on Soul Commander are deemed too skinny by their connections. Lago Bay;s figures are a shade weaker than Soul Commander and it will be close if the apprentice is equal in skill to his 3kg claim! Classy Cavallo has the best strike rate among this group of horses but he has weak HR/SF and sectional at this distance which should be good enough to betray his weak Achilles heel against this lot and I feel the 1000M may be too short for his liking!
In order my selections are 6-1-3-2-4-5.
Use 6 as the lone banker for exotics and 1-3 as key horses on the 2nd line and 1-3-4-2-5(if budget is tight leave out 5).
Play a direct forecast on 6#1 as a big bet and do increase bet if 4 remains 1st favourite! Bet a big 3*** big bet on 6 on win only.
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