Singapore Racing
8 March 2013
Race 7 Polytrack Mile Championship - Singapore Group 3
1600M Polytrack
Stakes 200,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS: *** FLYING FULTON
IIZI SELECTS;:**BLACK ICE
TW (TRACKWATCHER) SELECTS ***:FLYING FULTON ....TRACKFORM 1-2-4-3
VB (VALUE BET) SELECTS: **BLACK ICE ( SELECTED FOR PLACE BETTING ONLY....2 SPOTS ONLY AS 6 HORSES REMAINING DUE 7 IS SCRATCHED)
BMW (BENNY'S MASTERCLASS WINS) SELECTS : **BLACK ICE( BASED ON CONDITIONS OF CHALLENGE BMW CANNOT PICK THE 1ST FAVOURITE FLYING FULTON BEING CONSIDERED A SHOO-IN BET)
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Based on track form reportI have upgraded 2 to 2nd pick so the selection order is changed!
With the entire Media Tipster fraternity tipping Huka Falls as their 1st selection Singapore Nap and Starstatz Racing were among a couple of Media Tipsters who got the top 3 right and some were also right on Valevole coming in 4th as well. However most of us missed the direct quartet by putting Captain Obvious ahead of Masthead but the result between the two was reversed with Masthead pipping Captain Obvious for the forecast spot..
The advice we gave in 5 options for betting paid of well with minimal outlay although we did not score a direct fct./.direct tierce or direct quartet but our Trackwatcher had all the 4 horses in the mix with only the order for 2nd and 3rd in the wrong order ! We stated the obvious by recommending a win only bet on Huka Falls which required $5 investment for a return of $7. We did suggest a place only bet on Captain Obvious and Masthead only for a $5 investment each for a respective return of $8 and $10 respectively. Our forecast suggestion of 4#1-8 (investment of $4 ) paid off with a return of $13 and the similar place forecast advisory of 4#1-10 paid a return of $6 and $5 respectively. The trio was an obvious direct hit of $2 investment for a surprisingly rewarding return of $14. The tierce of $38 was only secured with an investment of $20 and the quartet of $93 was achieved with an investment of $80 achieved mediocre success for the comparatively large outlay!
In the Full Card Challenge Racing Guide has fulfilled (at least at this stage of the competition) caught up with Xiu Fang with a 7 win score on Friday and 3 wins last Sunday to be joint leaders on 62 wins(32.63%) from 190 selections .Ma Hui is on 3rd with 59 wins (31.05%) from same and Mr X is on 4th with 56 wins (29.47%) and Tan Thean Loon is on 5th with 54 wins (28.42%)
In the Big Race Challenge BMW is out in front with 8 wins (42.11%) from 19 selections while my flagship blog Starstatz Racing is on 7 wins (36.84%) to compare favourably with the full card challenge strike rates and Singapore Nap is on 6 wins (31.58%) jointly with Ma Chao and Lao Wang proving the the designated Flagship blogs of Singapore Nap are at least on par with the best on an equal comparison of oranges with all the Media Tipsters with Starstatz proving temporarily superior albeit by a soltary win. I re-iterate this point that I never claimed that I am the best on the most consisitent Media Tipster in Singapore but since I started tipping publicly I have always asserted that I am a safe bet for a top 5 spot and a pretty good bet for the top 3 spots compared to the other 27 other Internet and Media Tipsters in Singapore if you include all the Media Tipsters in the Winner21 Challenge, all the Presenter Tipsters in the STC Stable and internet/Print Media Tipsters like HS Chan from Sagacity , Turf Guide and Racing Guide and I have proven it in the past 4 seasons either with emails to all the respective Media Publications or by posting publicly on my respective blogs with blog archives available for inspections with a top 2 strike rate performance since I made my Internet debut in season 2009. Should any Media Publication, Media Tipster or reader dispute my claims do drop me a line at www.insiders111@yahoo.com.sg.
If it is not a hoax our blogs have now been recognised with an official invitation by the National Library Board to join the Singapore Memory Project even though Winner21 has chosen not to recognise people like HS Chan and myself( i wonder what is the difference between Larry Foley and ourselves with the weak excuse that was given) and reputable Publications like Racing Guide through chequered history are still not re-invited to the Challenge and even Ma Hui's sterling work as an STC Media Tipster is shrouded in mystery with no recognition given ( except internally and by this blogger who has to painstakingly tabulate the scores every week) even by STC itself and If I am not mistaken Victory Trail still does not tally their total scores for the season with a regular tally (do drop me an email if I am mistaken as I do not buy VictoryTrail since their error filled debut with no new innovations but giving credit when it is due they have made great strides to improve their grammar and spelling with much improved proof-reading standards!). By not publishing their total tally for the season these Media Tipsters are hiding their overall mediocrity (not every Tipster is performing badly though) .......endorsed by their respective bosses TAKING NO PRIDE IN THEIR WORK WITH ANY ATTEMPT TO ENCOURAGE BETTER PERFORMANCES BY PUBLISHING THIR RESPECTIVE SCORES (mediocre or otherwise). Where is the incentive to improve when mediocre performances are shrouded in anonymity? STC should lead by example by publishing all their Prese's scores and embrace all suitably qualified Internet and Media Tipsters including reputable Publications like Racing Guide and Turf Guide becaude of past history, jealousy and petty rivalry and that is why I recommend STC to take over this portfolio to ensure impartial treatment by the selectors provided stringent but fair standards (timing of posting and cc copies to relevant neutral authority like STC are set for pre-qualification!
PREVIEW OF RACE
Flying Fulton was seen by a condition expert to be in poor form on 15 February but if Mike Walker is the the Top Trainer that I think he is he should be able to bring Flying Fulton back to peak conditions and the favourable terms he is getting for this race is an opportunity not to be missed when he is carrying equal weight compared to the 42.5kg to 52.5 kg they should have been carrying if this was a true handicap race! On the other hand last start impressive winner Black Ice is reputed to be holding his peak for but he did beat FF over the unsuitable Turf surface with 2.5 kg less for a 2.75 length beating over an obviously unfit Flying Fulton If this was a true handicap race Black Ice should be carrying 52.5kg. I expect FF to drop slightly in weight today and turn the tables on Black Ice. Since thetop 3 saddlecloth numbers are well drawn I expect them to fill thetrio and tierce spots and if Lizarre is at his best he should be able to pip Black Ice for the 2nd spot with his superior HR figures but I do advise caution as these figures were pposted over a further distance and Black Ice may not melt so easily to give up 2nd spot!
The entire tipster market has Nandowra firmly cemented for the 4th spot and I reckon that What Now with a good 2nd up record of 1 win and 2 placings from 3 2nd up starts and with Sire having won over 1600M might have a say and by being USA bred the Polytrack should not pose serious problems even though What Now is not proven over both the 1600M and the Polytrack as well but Nandowra flew home in his last run and admittedly did look impressive! I do expect the pace to be slow and on pace runners will do well as 4-2-1-5-8 will lead the way and Lizarre will have to make his move early to secure a placing!
In order my my selections are 1-2-3-4-5 I suggest a more modest budget and omit 6 and 7 (especially 7 and do include 6 if you are looking for value but as a whole I recommend to stick with the top 5 using 1 as the sole banker and 2-3 as key horses on the 2nd line and 2-3-4-5 on the 3rd and 4th lines if on a budget but cover a single ticket with 1#2-3-4-5 for tierce/quartet just in case I am wrong! However under the terms of the race I suggest using 1#2-3 and 1 as the sole banker and 2-3 as key horses on the 2nd line and 1#2-3 for a big forecast bet as there is no place forecast in this race. Bet a big 3 *** bet on win only on Flying Fulton as the Polytrack is his speciality! Try this for a big tierce and quartet bet 1#32-3/2-3-4-5/2-3-4-5 and go for 1#2-3 big bet for the tierce main bet!
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