Singapore Racing
10 March 2013
Race 8 Open Benchmark 89
1100M Polytrack
Stakes $95,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS : *** TEXAN TAKEOVER
IIZI SELECTS *** GREAT LIGHT
TW SELECTS * RAPIDO STAR
VB SELECTS *RAPIDO STAR
BMW SELECTS : *** GREAT LIGHT
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
MY 3 LEG RECOMMENDATION FOR ROLL WIN BET IS RACE 3 NUMBER 4 SUPER SHADOW....RACE 8 NUMBER 5 TEXAN TAKEOVER AND RACE 10 NUMBER 1 GLOWNIGHT RACER
With 5 wins on the board Hui Liang was the top Media Tipster on Friday. Xiu Fang proved she is not yet ready to give up her lead with 4 wins and regained her 1 point lead over Racing Guide who only managed 3 wins. Xiu Fang leads the full card challenge with 66 wins(33.17%) from 199 selections and Racing Guide is probably 2nd with 65 wins for a 32.66% strike rate and Ma Hui is probably 3rd followed by Mr X or Tan Thean Loon.
I stand corrected on my tally for the Big Race Challenge with BMW leading the way with 9 wins from 20 selections for an impressive 45% strike rate and an amazing $270 returns from an investment of $100 for an astonishing 270% ROI.My official Flagship blog Starstatz Racing is on 7 wins (35% strike to compare favourably with Xiu Fang's strike rate) from 20 selections. Singapore Nap is on joint 3rd with Ma Chao and Lao Wang on 6 wins. (30% strike rate) The statisitics do show a direct and fair comparison of oranges and our various Flagship blogs are more than capable of holding their own (at least in big races at this juncture of the season anyway) against the cream of Media/Internet Tipsters in Singapore . If my tally on the leading tipsters in the Big Race Challenge is incorrect do drop me a line on www.insiders111@yahoo.co.sg
PREVIEW OF RACE
Texan Takeover may not be a shoo-in like Super Shadow in Race 3 today but Super Shadow was the last Promising horse tipped and earmarked by late Mentor Benny Ortega and he hinted at Super Shadow"s class in breeding as being better than Super Easy and predicted that Super Shadow will win a Cup race eventually at a forte distance of 1600M to 2000M ,He is merely toying with his opposition at Sprint distances and he will follow the path of Big Easy (Freedman will probably use the same tactics as Laxon as he goes up the grades) and probably do better than Big Easy as he goes up in distance. Super Shadow is not a sprinter type like Super Easy and I will always have a special affinity for him as it is Benny's last legacy to me on horse racing bloodstock analysis.
Let's go back to the business at hand and analyse the winning chances of Texan .Takeover .He is classy with the best win strike rate and does not have the best HR Ratings but he does have the 4th best SF after Bionic Boy (badly drawn) , Birthday Gift (poor form in last 3 runs but training well) and Niceone (poor form in last 4 runs).However a pointer to his chances may be in his sectional which are inferior marginally only to Great Light who has been drawn wide and I assess that Great Light will not get the rails run with 7-8-11-5-3 to contend with and will be caught at least 3 wide if running on pace and more likely will be caught at the rear which may not be a bad move if the pace proves to be fast but if the pace is good or slow it would make it easier for TT(Texan Takeover ) to overcome the maestro Moreira and they should both fight out the finish!/Great Light has sectionals of 23.595/23.346 = 46.941compared to TT at 23.513/23.57 = 47.083 but this is compensated bt TT;s superior barrier draw and will prove decisive in the final equation!.
In order my selections are 5-9-4-3-10-6 (note change in selection order from Singapore Nap with 8 a course scratching) even though there are doubts on the form of horses like 10 and 3 but the bodyweight will be decisive in review before making a final decision on the exotics and be prepared to upgrade or down grade accordingly but the horses drawn wide will have a problem struggling to make the top 4. Use 5 as the sole banker and 9-10 as key horses on the 2nd line with the remaining 9-10-3-8-4-6 on the 3rd and 4th lines. I do expect the tierce/quartet dividend to pay well with a few nasty surprises for punters.Use as cover 5 as lone banker and the remaining 6 selections on the remaining 2nd /3rd and 4th lines in case my prediction of a big payout does blossom as expected!. Use 5#9 as a big bet for forecast/place forecast and cover a medium bet on 5#10 as 5 and 10 both belong to the Freedman Stables and they might do a tag team result to make the dividends go wild and hit the roof!
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