03 March 2013 - Starstatz racing with 4 other monicker tipsters

Singapore Racing
3 March 2013
Race 9 Kranji Stakes A
1200M Polytrack
Stakes $125,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS: *** HUKA FALLS
IIZI SELECTS : **CAPTAIN OBVIOUS
TW ( TRACKWATCHER) SELECTS : *** HUKA FALLS...TRACKFORM: 4-1-8-6
VB (VALUE BET ON PLACING ONLY ) SELECTS **CAPTAIN OBVIOUS...for today only consider a 2nd place bet on Masthead as well and he should pay more than Captain Obvious but this advisory will not count in my official tally and in official reckoning Captain Obvious will be the official selection
BMW (BENNY'S MASTERCLASS WINS...BY CONDITIONS OF CHALLENGE I AM NOT ALLOWED TO PICK 1ST FAVOURITE HUKA FALLS) : ** CAPTAIN OBVIOUS

BACKGROUND INFORMATION
With feed back from my trackwatcher's report I am have changed my order of selection form Singapore Nap by upgrading 6 to 5th but I advise caution as the wide barrier draw might still cost him the 4th spot

I wonder if any Media Tipster did better than Sagacity's HS Chan's 7 wins on Friday 01 March, BMW (Benny;s Masterclass Wins) recovered from the disastrous outing on on Tom with an exciting win on Soul Commander to score 8 wins from 18 selections 44.44% and an impresive ROI of $263 from $90 investment in the Big Race Challenge with an impressive 292.22% returns.HOWEVER AS PER CONDITIONS OF THE CHALLENGE BMW CANNOT PICK MEDIA TIPSTER;S 1ST FAVOURITES AND I EXPECT BMW TO LOSE GROUND AS I DO  EXPECT HUKA FALLS TO BE A SHOO-IN ON SUNDAY! Despite the triple advantage of HR/SF and sectionals it turned  out to be only a narrow neck win over Media Tipster favourite Cavallo. However I did mention that Cavallo had a superior HR compared to Lago Bay.My official Flagship blog has pulled ahead of the field with 6 wins from 18 selections for a 33.33% respectable (despite a slow start scoring only one win in January ) strike rate. Ma Chao and Lao Wang and my other blog Singapore Nap are next with 5 wins (27.77% strike rate )with a host of others on 4 and 3 wins. For the moment I believe I have proven I can easily hold my own well to be comfortably in the top 5 among Media Tipsters as I have always affirmed.Despite starting poorly in the month of January with only one win from 9 selections (11.11%) I have since bounced back on my Flagship blog on Starstatz Racing to go toe to toe with Xiu Fang in challenging for the best strike rate performance
with a 33.33% strike rate. By comparing with Full card challenge race leader Xiu Fang is like comparing apples  and oranges but even in comparing oranges and oranges in the Big Race Challenge format I am consistently holding my own extremely well when comparing directly with my Flagship blog Starstatz Racing( never mind that BMW is currntly leading the table)

I still wish STC will revamp the current status quo of not providing body weight of horses early and how it affects the tipping process. I originally had Viva Panata as 3rd pick but after Viva Panata checked in badly overweight compared to his winning weight he was written off for a top 4 placing. Other than Lago Bay;s disappointing run the rest more or less according to their true handicap despite my slight underestimation of Cavallo.

PREVIEW OF RACE
On pure handicap ratings Huka Falls is not the best rated horse in this race but he is arguably very promising and probabaly the classiest together with Captain Obvious and Gingerbread Man. Even his SF figures are slower than Cash Dot Com and Masthead but superior than the rest of the field.

If Huka Falls performance in the trial on a hard hold was not a red herring sale than Huka Falls should win this race in a canter althought he expected fast pace is a slight concern with 4-6-1-10 leading the front runners. If the front runners follow too closely all of them might be swamped by an off pace runner or closer but I expect those who follow Huka Falls closely might compound in the straight and be disheartened and fizzle out in the last 50 M but I do expect Captain Obvious to hang on for 2nd spot to make the forecast.

In order my selections are 4-1-8-2-6-10-5.(slightly different from Singapore Nap and 5 replaces 3)

Please note that all the horses are running underscaled with the exception of Captain Obvious ranging fro 11.5 kg for Cash Dot Com to kg for Gingerbread Man and even our shoo-in Huka Falls is running at 9 kg underscaled so the handicap advantage lies with the obvious Captain although his SF is not the best and Polytrack is not his forte surface even though he has won before in lower company in the past.However I do believe Laxon is anxious to prepare him for his next assignment in 2 weeks time as a prelude to his date with the Kris Flyer Sprint in May The key horses on the 2nd line may prove elusive byt go with 1 and 8 for tierce and quartet selections and 1-8-2-10-6-3. I have include Gingerbread Man in 4th due to his affinity with doing well after a break with 2 wins and 2 placings from 5 1st up starts but do double check that his bodyweight is within his winning range or slightly higher than 493kg as he is approaching maturity as a 5YO.I suggest to put 4#1-8 for the forecast and place forecast bets in a big way and play win only on Huka Falls but if the odds prove too skinnu a place bet only on Captain Obvious looks quite safe!