STARSTATZ RACING 17 MARCH 2013 + 4 OTHER MONICKER TIPSTERS

Singapore Racing

17 March 2013
Race 7 - OPEN B83
1600M Polytrack
Stakes $95,000
STARSTATZ  RACING PICKS :***ILLUMINADO
IIZI; PICKS :** READY TO STRIKE
TW (TRACKWATCHER ) PICKS ***: ILLUMINADO....TRACKFORM **3-1-7-6
VB ; PICKS :** THE RUDE WARRIOR
BMW PICKS :: * GOOD LOOUKEN

BACKGROUND INFORMATION

I believe that VB (value bet was the only Media Tipster in the market who scored on Speedy Cat on Friday . Even my Flagship blogs got it wrong when the pace turn out to be hot instead of good to fast (this phenomenon took place) as all the front runners and on pace runners compounded in the straight!

This is why STC should follow the example of HKGJC website by providing a professionally done Speed Map on its website since no local race publication is having this offering....at best we have Racing Guide providing this service in an abridged version. Most Media Tipsters did not even have Speedy Cat in their top 4 and most track watchers including ours missed the

good form of Speedy Cat in track work. Although Singapore Nap and Starstatz Racing and BMW went for the top 2 favourites VB saw the possibililty of a fast pace favoring the polytrack specialist Speedy Cat who at last achieved his early promising horse rating but he will never trouble Super Easy Huka Falls or Emerald Hill on the turf suin WFA races. STC should see to it that user friendly crafted handicap data like handicap ratings and sectional times(1st 400M and last 400M) are made available to the racing public to have a fighting chance of finding the winners and let racegoers wean their dependence on timings to analyse races and follow Tipsters blindly as Media Tipsters have to tip early and are disadvantaged with last minute change in conditions like horse withdrawal , jockey change , changing weather conditions or change i running style. It is not that such expertise is not available in the market as we have duly shown. STC are not obligated to secure my services but surely there are others with similar expertise in the market.If this void and status quo is still stagnant after the next 3 years and Top Executives are still sitting pretty with no new initiatives then I believe new blood should be brought in and there should be a changing of the guard with a more positive and reformist outlook. I cant do anything to change the dogged old school mindset of business as usual but I can certainly write a book on handicapping and the ills impeding growth in the horseracing industry. Yes there have been improvements and progress in the past few years like Racing Guide breaking the stranglehold of Punters Way after all these years as the official race programme, the introduction of Advance Race Win and the appointment of a manager to look after the interests of Owners but what about the ordinary racegoer...the lifeblood of racing. There have been a few other initiatives as well but these are few and far between compared to a need for a professionally crafted Sped Map and Handicap Ratings and sectionals that can be actually be used. What is the use of Punters Way 300M , 400M (sometimes by Luck they get it right!) 500M, 600M, 700M ,800M opening sectionals. I hope a reader or even Punters way themselves can tell me how they used it to decide on the winner as we have masterfully shown in the example of Great Light having the best sectionals compared to Texan Takeover the pre-race favourite with the wide barrier draw the only negative. What is the use of having Trackus when only the elite Trainers who know (i doubt all Trainers have this knowledge) how to use it together with knowledgable Media Tipsters like myself. I doubt if any Mandarin Tipster is using sectionals in their work as there are no(to the best of my knowledge) Mandarin Publications on the use of sectionals. Trackus is now an expensive, glorified white elephant showpiece which only a minority is using right now! More can be done to promote the understanding and use of sectional times in helping to select winners! In the meantime i will revel in the advanatge i have over the average racegoer and enjoy the benefits until STC makes radical changes instead of their current complacent stance of inertia!

I have given feedback to STC months ago on a couple of initiatives but I have yet to see any positive response to my recommendations or any reaction and reasons why they are unable to make these improvements .

One of the bug bears can be seen to have a negative effect on today's race.....the publishing of body weights of horses 2 days before race day following the example of HKG or at the very least have it all ready for the full card 2-3 hours before the start of race 1. Good Loouken has been reported as outclassed as reported on Track Talk but i think they have missed his Group 3 win in Argentina but I agree he is disadvantaged by the terms of the race as he is running 1kg underscaled. He showed up in his last run underweight by 12-14 kg and will probably run unplaced if his weight remains at 500kg but with his superior HR and Group 3 win under his belt he will be a lively longshot if his body weight goes up by double digits but this information is currently not available at start of races. Is it fair for racegoers to make advance roll-win bets when this vital and crucial data is not made available at the start of Race 1.Imagine I have winners in my 1st 2 legs and I want to cancel my bet on Good Loouken when his weight comes up short. I tell the tellers I want to cancel my "live" bet but I am turned down...STC is opening itself up to a potential lawsuit when full data is not provided at time of bets being placed!

STC should introduce a proper Late Mail Service after weights and conditions of horses in paddock are known and somebody like Andrew Frost could helm this service and change his selections after this information is known under the monicker of Late Mail Service instead of being stuck with his Newpaper selection. A good recent example of this anomaly is the posting of Super Shadow coming in at double digit underweight! I strongly urge STC to review this weighty problem and at least have it available before start of races by a good 2-3 hours if possible!

We can never call ourselves a premier Racing Centre if most of these initiatives are not put into place to close the gap on HKGJC standards as I do believe a more knowledgable race goer will lead to more winners leading to a greater turnover in betting !

In the BIG RACE CHALLENGE BMW is still in the lead with 10 wins from 22 selections for a 45.45% strike rate and Starstatz Racing is on 7 wins from 22 selections for a 31.82% strike rate with a host of tipsters including Singapore Nap on joint 3rd with 6 wins from 22 selections 27.27 % strike rate. The tipsters are Mr X , Ma Chao and Lao Wang. If my tally for any of the Media Tipsters is incorrect do drop me a line at www.insiders111@yahoo.com.sg

PREVIEW OF RACE
With an expected fast pace with 4 front runners fighting for the rails run the only threat to The Rude Warrior
winning this race is the unknown body weight factor of Good Loouken . If his body weight goes up by 10 to 14 kg he will be a clear and present danger to The Rude Warrior (TRW)bagging this race as Good Loouken (GL) has the best HR in this race and The Rude Warrior has the 2nd best HR figures. Do note that Good Loouken won at CR 67 carrying 53.5kg albeit at the shorter 1100M Polytrack distance which puts him at HR 88 compared to TRW at 87.31. Moreover GL has a Group 3 win under his belt and has 5 wins from 25 races for a 20% strike rte compared to TRW at 4 wins from 21 races for a 19.05% strike rate. Although GL has not won at 1600M previously his pedigree suggest that the mile is not a problem at all and the expected fast pace will work in his favour and the booking of 50kg Vorster means that GL will
not run overweight. Let us examine his pedigree to assess his suitability over the mile. His USA Sire Easing Along has won from 1400M - 1600M and his progeny have won Group 1 races and his Sire Storm Cat is a World Class Champion Sire of Group 1 winners. Easing Along himself is by an Alydar (2000M stayer) dam and one of his dams Relaxing through his bloodline is by Champion stayer Buckpasser and another Dam Terulinga is by Triple Crown Winner Secretariat. Take note that GL has been doing a lot of canters on trackwork culminating in the best workout of 35,8 seconds last week and typical of the wily Leticia Dragon his trackwork is rather low key and off the radar for this week. The decisive factor will be his body weight on race day and I will upgrade him to 1st pick in a heartbeat if he is within his prime bodyweight!

Lacking this vital piece of information I will not hesitate to pick TRW as a special as the expected fast pace will suit him to a Tee. He has lost to horses like Illiminado and Ready To Strike but the HR figures are in his favour today and he had excuses with blocked runs and he was queried for his last performance where he changed his racing style to jump last in a closer style and only got going at the 300M when Illiminado was home and dusted.Looking at the HR statistics 3.5 kg adjustment is not enough to compensate for a $ length loss but I believe TRW has a lot more to offer to offer as I saw in the race video that TRW was full of running despite Santana sitting quietly at the 1st trun and even Matt Jones commented that Santana was not riding aggresively as he normally does in a more forward position. The HR of 3 is is HR 80 and 1 ia st 79.35 so TRW should have the edge. There is some doubt about TRW's ability to handle the shorter mile as his wins wins have all come over longer distances as his Sire Kempinsky by Danehill shows stamina and his Dam Tristalove carry carries the Sir Tristram Damsire bloodlines but his Damsire is by Encosta De Lago has enough speed to compensate for his stamina influence and with barrier 5 today he is in an ideal position to run an on pace race to overwhelm the 4 front runners(1-4-6-5) in the home straight with 7 tracking them closely.

In order my selections are 3-7-1-8-6-5-2 However be prepared to upgrade 8 to 1st and 2nd in the exotic bets if his body weight comes up right! In the meantime use 7 as the sole banker (with a proviso to upgrade 8) and 3-1 as key horses on the 2nd line and use the remaining 3-1-2-6-8 on the 3rd and 4th lines. Use 7#3-1 but be prepared to replaced with 7#8#3 if 8 turns up with double digit increase in weight , Play a big bet on 7 each way and be prepared to drop place betting and do a Dutch cover bet on 8 if his body weight comes up right!