27 December 2011

Starstatz Racing HKG 27 December 2011

In the recently concluded Singapore Racing Season and Best Strike Rate Challenge Singapore Nap emerged Champion with 33.0% (34 wins/31 placings from 103 selections with the advantage of early late Mail Service(without full benefits of the late mail service) . In 2nd spot was the Winner21 Challenge Winner Andrew Frost with 30.67%.(295 winners from 962 selections .The Starstatz Racing blog had a late surge in form to pip Champion Racebook Tipster Racing Guide by winning the last 2 races on the last day to decide 3rd position with 30.19%. (144 wins from 477 selections). Racing Guide's tally was 29.83 % ( 287 wins from 962 selections. Tan Thean Loon came in a valiant 5th with 29.52% (284 wins from 962 selections).

I am a little ring rusty as I have not done HKG Racing since early this season but I will challenge Racing Guide , Punters Way, Blogger HS chan and the 2 HKG Stalwarts Ma TAt and Phillip Woo and compete with them for just one day and let's see if I can keep pace with these regular tipsters. I have used all the Handicapping tools available from the HKGJC website except sectional times due to time constraints and see how I measure up.! BESIDES COMPARING WINNERS LET'S SEE HOW MANY TIERCES/QUARTETS AND QUADROS i AM ABLE TO STRIKE USING ONLY ON BANKER OR 2 BANKERS AS STIPULATED EG RACE 5 RACE 6 AND RACE 9.IN THOSE RACES WHERE 2 BANKERS ARE USED DO DROP THE 7TH PICK FROM THE EXOTICS . i SHALL LOOK FORWARD TO THE NEW SINGAPORE RACING SEASON WITH EXTENSIVE USE OF SECTIONAL TIMES...A HANDICAPPING TOOL THAT HAS PROVED IMMENSELY SUCCESSFUL FOR ME IN SEASON 2011. sEASONS GREETING TO ALL MY FOLLOWERS AND READERS!

My selections are :-

RACE 1....small ...7-6-5-3/11-14-9

RACE 2....medium....11-5--6-9/1-12-7

RACE 3.... medium...2-8-7-3/9-11-1

RACE 4.... BIG....11-3-9-10/7-8-12...value bet of the day

RACE 5.....medium....7-8-2-10/13-5-1...DUTCH BET ON 8

RACE 6....BIG....12-5-3-1/6-11-7...LONGSHOT OF THE DAY ...DUTCH BET ON 5.

RACE 7....BIG....8-7-6-1/3-2-9....BEST VALUE BET OF THE DAY

RACE 8...MEDIUM....1-8-9-2/ 3-7-5

RACE 9....BIG...14-4-10-1/8-13-3....BEST BET OF THE DAY....DUTCH BET ON 4

RACE 10....BIG .....2-13-1-5/ 6-14-8....SHOO-IN BET OF THE DAY

18 December 2011

Starstatz racing 18December 2011

Be careful as some trainers may take a day off . My selections for R1 small 8-13-3-9 R2 med 3-12-6-4 R3 med 1-10-3-4 R4 med 4-1-2-5 R5 med 9-3-8-7 R6 small open race 4-5-3-1R7 big 12-5-7-3 best longshot of the day ...sure lonhro has sired 3 grp 1 winners and is better at 1600M n above ... Best HR/SF n blocked for runs x 2 n made a 4 wide false move at turn in one run.... Slow pace will suit as he will be in box seat behind front duo despite wide draw. R8 big bet.... best bet 3-4-1-7 R 9 big 5-11-2/1-4-7-10 must cover Dutch bet on 11 see 7naps.com for reasons.... Box 5-11-2 for big bet fct/pft... R10 small 4-6-2-12 R11 best value bet 2-4-3-5

16 December 2011

Starstatz Racing 16 December 2011

We are nown the final stretch in the strike rate Challenge and Singapore Nap is in a strong commanding 3% lead at 33 66% with Frosty in 2nd and Racing Guide is in 3rd . For percentages detailed percentages please check out my other blog on www.7naps.com. Starstatz Racing at 29.82% has a marginal lead over Tan Thean Loon and it will be a thrilling drive to the finish line and I wouldn't be surprised if lose my current as I highly respect the Monsieur from Penang who knows his horses well but win or lose I will try my best ! I have already mentioned in detail why I have an unfair advantage but have also explained that I am not working under ideal conditions. I am proud of my work this season as I was a long last after 10 selections with 30 % placinge but not q single win for the month of January but faithfully recorded n announced my last position dutifully even though it was embarrassing to say the least. I managed to break through the to break through the Top 5 by mid year and improved with the advent of sectional times in early September. I believe the dominance by Top 5 is linked to the introduction of sectional times and by a strange phenomenon they are all from the English Media. I suspect that there are hardly any publications on this subject in Mandarin . Today should good for betting due to thorough research ...play NBR s on the left of the stroke..... My selections are R1 12-2-1/3-4-9-7 small bet R2 med 2-1-11/4-3-10-2 best longshot R3 med 2-5-4-3/12-7-8 suggest Dutch bet equal on 5 .R4 small 9-1-2-4/5-7-11 R5 big 7-6-1/5-12-10-8 best bet R6 big best vale bet 3-1-7/9-10-6-8 R7 small 4-5-3/8-2-1R8 3-2-4-11/7-1-12 R9 big 4-2-6-8/9-7-1 not upgrade of 2 can consider small cover bet due good track reports on 2 fct box n pft box 4-2-6-8. R10 big shop-in bet 1-12/ 7-3-5-4-2

11 December 2011

STARSTATZ RACING 11 DECEMBER 2011

Although I have not done thorough research I have done a quick form assessment and felt confident that my 1st pick along with the other contendors should have a high scoring day with bountiful winners today. With the input from the track watcher I have changed my selection from Captain Obvious on Singapore Nap to Merchant whose Damsire is by the Champion Australian Sire Luskin Star and the Dam of merchant had one win over 1100M. I have also changed the order of selections as he suspects Captain Obvious withdrawal indicated more serious problems that that for Merchant and Powerful Tree.Today will be a good betting day for win play and forecast but due to skimpy research do go slow on the other exotics. I have used a slash to separate the likely winners from the place chances so forecast bets would be good coupled with place forecasts. sINGAPORE NAP IS 1ST WITH 33.0% IN THE STRIKE RATE CHALLENGE AND STARSTATZ RACING IS CURRENTLY 5TH WITH 29.44%

These are my selections:-

RACE 1 MEDIUM (UPGRADED NOW THAT MAIN THREAT ZINLY IS A SCRATCHING)....5-11/6-1-2-7-9

RACE 2 MEDIUM.....11-7 / 10-8-2-9-3

RACE 3 BIG....2-12/5-9-7-1-10....LONE FRONT RUNNER ADVANTAGE SO PACE WILL BE VERY SLOW...SHOULD BE ABLE TO LEAD ALL THE WAY

RACE 4 MEDIUM....12-4/11-7-6-3-1

race 5 SMALL...8-7-2/1-3-5-4....BEST LONGSHOT OF THE DAY...HE HAS BEEN OVERLOOKED BY THE MARKET AND HAS THE BEST HR IN THIS RACE BUT GOING UP IN DISTANCE FOR THE 1ST TIME....HIS SIRE MADE OF GOLD IS A SPRINTER MILER TYPE...HENCE THE DOUBT BUT WE RECKON THAT HE CAN STAY THROUGH DAMSIRE BLOODLINES AS TATE GALLERY IS A FULL BROTHER TO SADLER WELLS WHO CAN STAY ALL DAY AND ALL NIGHT.....SUGGEST A 3 WAY BOX ON TOP 3 SELECTIONS FOR FORECAST/PLACE FORECAST AS 2 IS THE TRACKWATCHER PICK

RACE 6 SMALL....4-2-7/ 1-9-5-6...HAS BEST HR BUT BADLY DRAWN

RACE 7 BIG....3-2/6-5-4-8-9...BEST BET OF THE DAY...BETTER SECTIONAL TIMES THAN MAIN THREAT TROPICAL FOREST...ALTHOUGH HE IS A MILER/STAYER TYPE HE IS GOOD ENOUGH TO TAKE THIS AVERAGE LOT AND HE IS BY A CLASSY GROUP 1 WINNING DAM

RACE 8 MEDIUM...3-5-1-7/2-6....FORECAST /PLACE FORECAST THE TOP 4 BOX FOR VALUE

RACE 9 MEDIUM....6-8/1-4-7-12-3...USED SECTIONAL TIMES TO SEPARATE 6 AND 8 ALTHOUGH 6 HAS THE BETTER HANDICAP BUT WINLESS

RACE 10 BIG...1-8/4-10-9-3-2...BEST FORECAST OF THE DAY

RACE 11....BIG...2///8-1-3-10-11-6....SHOO-IN BET OF THE DAY...BEST QUARTET PLAY

HIGH SCORING DAY ...DO BET MORE ON BETS TAGGED BIG AND INCREASE BETS BY 20% IF YOU ARE UP AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...DO PLAY THE HORSES ON THE LEFT OF THE SLASHES IN A BIG WAY FOR FORECASTS AND PLACE FORECASTS

09 December 2011

STARSTATZ RACING LATE MAIL SERVICE TRIAL 09 DEC 2011

THE WIN FOR LAGO BAY WAS ONLY $11. WHEN I MENTIONED I FOLLOWED THE TRACKWATCHER'S REPORT THIS INFORMATION WAS FROM AN ADVANCE TRACK REPORT AND i DO NOT HAVE AN ASSESSMENT OF CONDITION IN PADDOCK BY THE KEEN EYE OF A PREOFFESIONAL TRACKWATCHER.
THE FORECAST WAS A WHOPPING $30 AND THE TIERCE SHOWED A MODEST PROFIT WITH A RETURN OF $255.

PRACTICALLY EVERY TRACK WATCHER HAS MENTIONED 7 TO WIN WITH 1 AND 4 AS 2ND PICKS AND 3RD PICKS. i SHALL USE MY EXPERIMENTAL HANDICAPPING TOOL ONE LAST TIME AND CHANGE MY SELECTIONS FROM 7#1-4-3-2-6 TO 7#1-3-4-2-6-8. BY UPGRADING 3 TO A KEY HORSE IN PLACE OF OF 4 WOULD INDICATE SLIGHTLY THE WEAK IMPUT ON THE OUTCOME OF RACES. iF 3 DOES NOT MAKE IT ON BOARD I WILL DISCARD IT INTO THE DUSTBIN.

i SUGGEST A BIG BET ON WIN ONLY ON 7 WITH A BIG BET FORECAST/PLACE FORECAST ON 7#1-3 INSTEAD OF 7#1-4 ON SINGAPORE NAP...FOR REASONS SUGGESTE ON SINGAPORE NAP 7 HAS SUPERIOR HR/SF AND SECTIONAL TIMES...3 ACTUALLY HAS THE BEST hr BUT SF IS POOR IN COMPARISON TO 7. COVER 731-3/FIELD AND 7#1-3/1-3-4/ FIELD FOR QUARTET...USE THE 2ND BET TO COVER THE MENTIONED HORSES INSTEAD OF FIELD FOR AN EXTRA BET FOR TIERCE/QUARTET....IF YOU $7 OR MORE ON THE WIN DIVIDEND IT IS A GOOD DEAL BUT THE EXOTICS SHOULD GIVE U A BETTER RETURN USING 7 AS THE LONE BANKER AND SHOULD PROVIDE VALUE IF 3 MAKES THE TOP 3 TO DISPLACE 4.

A PROFESSIONAL DONE RESEARCH ON DATA THAT WE POSSESS SHOULD PROVE A BOON OF HANDICAP DATA TO BENEFIT THE AVERAGE RACEGOER...THIS INFORMATION COULD BE RELEASED ON STC WEBSITE FOR THE BENEFIT OF HORSE PLAYERS LIKE SPEED MAP HR/SF AND SECTIONAL TIMES

STARSTATZ RACING LATE MAIL SERVICE 2011

THE WRITING WAS ON THE WALL WHEN SILENT FAITH DID NOT TAKE THE LEAD AND WITHOUT PROPER RESEARCH ON HANDICAPS I PAID THE PRICE.. wITH THE FAILIURE IN THIS RACE MY EXPERIMENT WITH A NEW HANDICAP TOOL HAS FAILED MISERABLY. AS I HAD MENTIONED BEFORE I ONLY DID RESEARCH ON RACE 6 AND RACE 9 FOR TODAY AND THAT HAS BEEN THE FOUNDATION OF MY SUCCESS THIS PAST SEASON AND SO IT HAS PROVEN IN RACE 6 AND HOPEFULLY CONFORMED WHEN IP MAN WINS IN RACE 9 AS WELL.

i SHALL DROP BACK TO MEDIUM BET IN RACE 8 WITH A PICK ON TRACK WATCHERS SPECIAL RECOMMENDATION NUMBER 4 LAGO BAY AS I DID NOT DO HANDICAP RESEARCH ON THIS RACE.
FORECAST / PFT 4 WITH 3--2-5 AND CONCENTRATE 4 BOX -3-2-5-1 FOR TIERCE OR PLAY ANOTHER BET ON 4#3-2-5/FIELD FOR TIERCE. i SUGGEST TO SKIP QUARTET UNLESS YOU HAVE A BIG BUDGET TO PLAY 4#3-3-5/3-2-5/ FIELD

STARSTATZ RACING 09 DEC 2011 LATEMAIL SERVICE

IN MY BLOG ON 7NAPS LAST NIGHT I RECOMMENDED DUTCH BETTING ON JOHN OF ARCH AND LOCKDOWN IN RACE 6 BUT CHANGED MY 1ST PICK TO 3 BUT DID SUGGEST EQUAL COVER BET ON JOHN OF ARCH AND MENTIONED THAT DESPITE TAKING INTO ACCOUNT JOCKEY CLAIM I MENTIONED THAT 5 STILL HAD 01.LENGTH ADVANTAGE AND THE BEST SECTIONAL TIMES . AS PREDICTED 1 FLOPPED BADLY BUT MISSED 8 FOR THE EXOTICS. AT A DIVIDEND OF $36 FOR THIS RACE I EXPANDED $5 X 2 SO THE ROI FOR THIS RACE IS $36 DIVIDED BY 10 EQUALS 3.6 PONYS AND SHOULD MAKE UP FOR THE 3 LOSSES IN RACE 2 RACE 3 AND RACE 4.

IN RACE 7 I RECOMMEND A BIG BET ON LONE FRONT RUNNER NBR 7 SILENT FAITH...SAIMEE DID NOT GIVE HIM A GOOD RUN AND TOOK AN UNNECESSARY BIG LEAD. TODAY HE SHOULD TAKE A SMALL LEAD AND HAVE A FULL FINISHING BURST LEFT FOR THE FINAL STRETCH. NORMALLY IT IS NOT WISE TO PUT A BIG BET IN CLASS 5 RACE BUT DOWNGRADE TO MEDIUM BIG BET IF DESIRED. I WILL PUT JOKER BET ON THIS RACE ON 7.....SUGGEST FCT/PFT WITH 7#1-3-8 AND TIERCE 7/1-3-8/FIELD AND ADD QUARTET 7/1-3-8/1-3-8/FIELD IF YOU HAVE A BIG BUDGET

STARSTATZ LATE MAIL SERVICE 09 DEC 2011

iT IS NOT FAIR AS i MENTIONED IT AFTER THE RACE ...ANY BIG BET SHOULD BE A JOKER BET IE THE JOKER BET IS NOT ON EVERY RQACE BUT ONLY SELECTED RACES BUT I SHOULD BE MEASURED ON ROI IE THE WIN DIVIDEND IS $10....THAT WOULD MEAN $10 DIVIDED BY $5 IE 2-1 RETURNS.FOR AN INVESTMENT OF $72 FOR TIERCE WE LOST MONEY WITH A RETURN OF $54. BUT THE QUARTET INVESTMENT JUST PAID OFF WITH AN INVESTMENT OF &192 FOR A RETURN OF $1176....THE FORECAST PAID OFF WITH $8 INVESTMENT FOR RETURN OF $14 AND THE PFT PAID $6, $6 FOR A RETURN OF $8

IN RACE 6 I WOULD RECOMMEND THAT 1 WILL NOT DO WELL DESPITE THE GLOWING REPORT FROM THE TRACKWATCHER ...HIS STABLEMATE 3 WILL FARE BETTER WITH A APPRENTICE JOCKEY WITH DECENT STRIKE RATE... i WILL PLAY IT SAFE AND RECOMMEND 3 AS A MEDIUM BET WITH AN EQUAL COVER BET ON 5 JOHN OF ARCH WHO HAS THE BEST SECTIONALS BUT 3 HAS THE BETTER CLOSING SECTIONAL. TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE JOCKEY CLAIM 5 ONLY HAS A HANDICAP ADVANTAGE OF 0.1. FOR FCT PLAY 3#5-2 AND TIERCE PLAY 3/2-5/FIELD AND 5-2/3/FIELD N SKIP THE QUARTET UNLESS U HAVE A BIG BUDGET BUT COVER ONLY ON 3 TO WIN

STARSTATZ RACING LATE MAIL SERVICE 09 DEC 2011

iN RACE 5 I SUGGEST A BIG BET ON 1. I WILL RECOMMEND A TIERCE ON 1#4-6-8-10/FIELD FOR TIERCE AND 1#4-6-8-10/4-6-8-10/FIELD FOR QUARTET AND SEE WHETHER WE CAN RECOVER OUR LOSSES IN EARLIER RACES ON FRCT/PFT. bIG BET ON FCT/PFT ON 1#4-6-8-10...FORECASRT DIVIDENDS SHOULD BE HIGH!

STARSTATZ RACING LATE MAIL SERVICE 09 DEC 2011

RACE 4 ...MEDIUM BET ON 4 WITH BIG DROP IN BODYWEIGHT AND RUNNING AT FORTE DISTANCE FOR 1ST TIME...GOOD EXAMPLE OF WHAT LATE MAIL SERVICE SHOULD BE ABOUT...FORCAST WITH 9...ADD 2-3-5-6 FOR TIERCE

starstatz racing 09 december 2011 experiment with late mail service

My 1st try flopped badly with a 3rd and 4th. This is done on an experimental basis. I have not done the handicap except for Race 6 and race 9 today. The scores today shall not count in the strike rate challenge. The result would be better with a paddock assessment condition report and full handicap analysis. I am experimenting with a new handicap tool feature today and see how it works out....so be cautious.

RACE 3 PLAY MEDIUM BET ON 3 AND SMALL FORECAST WITH 8

starstatz racing experiment on late mail service 09 Dec

this is done with no paddock form assessment. In race 2 Dutch betting recommended..1st pick is 10 to win and smaller cover bet...Dutch betting on 2...forecast place fct bet recommeended

04 December 2011

Starstatz racing 04 December 2011

My selections today are :- R1 medium 2-3/7-9-11-6-8 R2 Small 5-2-4-1-6 .....can cover 2 R3 medium 3-1 -8-11/ 1-9-10-2 can cover 1....R4 big 12-11-8/3-2-5-10. R5 medium 7-11-12-8/1-9-6 longshot of the day R6 medium 1-2-4-12/8-3-7 value bet of the day. R7 BIG 5-9/ 7-6-8-4-1 must cover 9 small bet R8 small 11-7-9-12-1-3-5.....can cover 7 small bet. R9 BIG 2-5-6-1/4-3-7 R10 BIG 2/4-9-11-10-5-7 best bet of the day.... I suggest using one or 2 bankers Ie. the top 2 choices and use the remaining horses on the 2nd, 3rd n 4th lines

02 December 2011

starstatz Racing 02 December 2011

My selections today are very well researched making good use if sectional times.my selections are R 1.....small 8-5-9-1/3-12-7 strong Har with best in form SF. R 2 .....BIG 8/9-5-3-7-2 lone front runner advantage. R3 BIG 8-6-1/5-4-9-3 best longshot of the night with best sectionals ... A full second better than rivals in closing 400m sect times... Must cover 6 as .very slow pace with weak one pacer 5 taking the lead... 6 should take the box seat behind 5.... Best value fct of the night n add pft too. If have good budget try 8-6/8-6/field .... Based on HR /SF / sect times both should give classy 1 a good fight n the weight difference should work in favor of 8 n 6. R4 medium 5-6/2-1-7-4.... 5 n 6 should have the race between themselves .... Good fct.... ..6 has better HR n lost to useful Magic DIva in race 3 . If Magic confirms the form by winning or running 2nd I would suggest you cover token bet on 6. R5 small ... Open race 2-5-8-9-7-3-1 very slow pace with 8 the lone front runner... Look for on pace runners to do well or take a coffee break. R6 medium 5-6/ 1-3-7-2 must cover 6 who is underrated. Good to fast pace will suit 5 better. Interesting fact 5's sectional times over 1200m are better than 6 over 1100m.... Value bet. R7 small .... Most open race of the night... Time to visit the loo...4-2-5-8-7-9-11 ... Interesting battle between 4 who has good HR n favourite 5 who has best SF . With the fast pace set by 5 front runners off pace runners like 4 n 2 will do well at value.... Favorite not likely to win but place R8 big 4-1-5/ 3-7-10-9 note slight change in order for minor placings ... Late news of danger from classy 5 who had a blocked run in Gold Cup ... Suggest big fct/pft on 4#1-5 Race 9 big bet ....shoo-in bet of the night..... Best SF n sect time with clean cut genuine lovers of horse racing.... Same connections as Super Easy .....play win bet only n safe fct on 2#6 ......2///6 -9 1-5 -8-10. try tierce 2/6/ field or 5 selections n cover with 2/field or 5 selections. Try multiple tickets on 2/6/ 5 selections . In all it shud be a high scoring night for win place for races tagged medium or big n exotics using 1st choice only as bankers or using top 2 n box the top 6 on remaining lines. Good Luck!!!$$$$$