STARSTATZ RACING- 15 MARCH 2013 = 4 OTHER MONICKER TIPSTERS

Singapore Racing

15 March 2013
Race 7 Merlion Trophy - Singapore Group 3
1200M Polytrack
Stakes $200,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS : *** HUKA FALLS
IIZI SELECTS : **SUPER EASY
TW ( TRACKWATCHER ) SELECTS : ***HUKA FALLS....TRACKFORM *** 9-1-7-2
VB ( VALUE BET) SELECTS; *SPEEDY CAT
BMW (BENNY;S MASTERCLASS WINS) SELECTS *** HUKA FALLS

BACKGROUND INFORMATION
If a horse like Beau Brummel ( no offence to the Owner or Trainer) who won a minor stakes race could be remembered with a namesake race I wonder if Benny Ortega could be honoured and remembered with a similar Memorial Race. I hope the STC will honour a great Man who has given a breath of fresh air with his witty insights on racing through his write ups in Racing Guide and his contribution to improve the racegoers ' education in horse racing through Talks conducted at the STC premises at Kranji.

Xiu Fang is leading the full card Challenge with 69 wins (33.01%)strike rate) from 209 races. Racing Guide ( my tip for top honours this season) is breathing down her neck with a 68 win( 32.54% strike rate) tally from maximum while Ma Hui is 3rd with 64 wins ( 30.62% strike rate ) from maximum to be the only ones above the 30% benchmark!. Meanwhile Mr X is in 4th with 62 wins 29.67 % strike rate ) and Tan Thean Loon is in 5th with 60 wins (28.71% strike rate) from maximum.

In the BIg Race Challenge by proxy I am flying Benny's Flag(BMW)...Benny;s Masterclass Wins) high with an impressive (partly by default as I am not allowed to pick 1st favourites) tally of 10 wins from 21 selections for a 47.62% strike rate.

BMW;s ROI is an amazing $270 returns from a $105 investment.for an ROI of 257.14%. As I have reiterated before I will be banking on my Flagship blog Starstatz Racing. who is 2nd on 7 wins from 21 selections for a 33.33% strike rate slightly edging Xiu Fang's strike rate despite a poor start of a single win for the month of January with a 11.11% strike rate My other Blog Singapore Nap is on joint 3rd with 6 wins 30.16% strike rate with a host of others....namely Mr X, Ma Chao and Lao Wang. These strike rates are impressive when you consider that only 4 1st favourites ( Huka Falls X 3 times and only Stepitup have found the winners' circle for a poor strike rate of 19.05 %) for 1st favourite followers. I hope Super Easy can break this vicious cycle of floundering 1st favourites with his high ratings in this Weight For Age race despite his relative inexperience on the Polytrack surface but with a fresh up record of 4 wins from 6 1st up starts I do expect Super Easy ( he is by no means a shoo-in) not to disappoint despite Huka Falls SF and sectionals losing out to Emerald Hill but he has a superior HR(handicap ratings) to Emerald Hill and the wide barrier draw for Emerald Hill will weaken Emerald Hill's chances.

PREVIEW OF RACE
Besides analysing all the handicap data and the credentials of the various contenders(actually 2 serious contenders only)we should look into the look at the off track manoeuvres of Jose Moreira. Is he taking the ride on Super Easy out of obligation, loyalty and support of the owners Joy and Happiness Stables or is it because Moreira has a choice to pick what he thinks is the better horse! I will go with the judgement of Moreira despite the possibility(favourites have been falling like 10 pins in these Big Races so far this season but we hope the stakes money of $200,000 will see a genuine race being run) he could be a " red herring "designed to push the market on Super Easy so that there will be better reward for the dividends of Huka Falls. Based on trackwatcher's report Super Easy was pushed in trial to impress and he rates Huka Falls to be in better form/With this in mind the trend of failed favourites now looks a distinct probability

The pace will will be good to fast with Emerald Hill hassling Huka Falls for the rails run. Both of them if pushed for the rails run might just compound ( and make it easy for Super Easy and the other on pace runners to pick them off) and I expect Emerald Hill to get the coveted rails run with his opening 400M sectionals of 23.95 seconds compared to Huka falls at 24.54 seconds. Valevole will jump 3rd to make the trio of front runners followed by Ghozi , Touch of Gold, Super Easy, Gingerbread Man and Spedy Cat as on pace runners!

With a HR of 119 compared to Huka Falls(running underscaled by 7.5kg ie if true handicap race he would have carried 47.5kg) of 110 the 4 YO champ should put the Prince in waiting (he is the genuine article and not a young upstart!) should be able to account for Huka Falls despite SE's ( Super Easy) relative inexperience on poly and Huka Falls impressive poly figures for SF and sectionals! However judging from the performances of all the Darci Bharna's progeny in Singapore the Polytrack will not pose a problem and he has done well (hard held) in 1000M Polytrack Trials!.There is a possibility of Super Easy missing the board if he has not recovered from his travel exertions overseas but I reckon you can't keep a good horse down and SE and Huka Falls(HF) should bag the forecast spots! THE LATEST UPDATE FROM TRACKWATCHERS REPORT INDICATES 9 TO BE IN BETTER FORM THAN 1!

I am not an expert on condition of horses but even with my untrained eye I could see that Valevole 's coat was shining and muscles looked strapping but his HR figures are weak while Emerald Hill looked off colour and this is confirmed by Andrew Frost leaving Emerald Hill out of the top 4 but the final confirmation can be verified by Emerald Hills body weight on race day and I do expect to drop his body weight in a big way. If he is at hs ideal weight then I suggest to place him on the 3rd and 4th lines.However the track report just in shows Emerald Hill to be in good form to nullify my untrained comments!

In order my selectios are 9-1-4-7-2-8-3...Ghozi has the 2nd best HR after SE but his SF is weak while Valevole has the 3rd best sectionals( but weak HR)  after Emerald Hill and Huka Falls.Use 9 as the sole banker and 1 and 4 -7  on the 2nd line and 3rd lines if on a budget and leave 4-7-2-8-3-3 on the  4th lines. Play 1#9 for forecast big bet  and use 9#4 as a medium bet for forecast and  place forecast. Please note slight change in selection order from Singapore Nap