STARSTATZ RACING 20 jULY 2012 REPLICATION OF POST on Singapore Nap

My blog posting was late and may not make it to post but I shall include the results in my overall Singapore Nap Tally and strike rate.

Singapore Nap 20 July 2012

Natural Nice ( X 2)

El Milagro ( X2 )

Race 5 Shin Min Cup - Class 4

1400M Short Course D

Stakes $55,000

Race 7 The New vPaper Trophy - Class 3

1200M Short Course D

Stakes $75,000

BACKGROUND INFORMATION

Singapore Nap was one of the lucky Media publications(another was Punters Way.....we do credit when crdit is due) to have picked the correct winner in the Singapore . In view of the post race interview with Desmond Koh it was Jose Moreira who "chased" (pardon the pun) Desmond for the ride on Chase Me. This vindicates our selection strategy on letting the top jockeys give us an indication who the winners are going and in the end the weather conditions also played it part on the outcome of the race and in the end Deep Pockets (whom we described as a swimmer) whom the market sentiment preferred compared to "Chase Me" but our handicapping system actually put Chase Me 5.2 points or lengths ahead of Deep Pockets. In my post mortem with my Grand Master he pointed out to me that Hussonet progeny by Mr Prospector could stay despite the fact that Hussonet was a sprinter-miler and Mr Prospector was essentially a miler and this can be seen in Chilli the Class 5 galloper who won at 1900M. I also mistook Arrowana Dot Com's 's Dam Unveil as a sprinter mistaking his Dam an out and out stayer by Dam Sire Chief's Crown for Beautiful Crown who was a sprinter and I was not meticulous enough in my research. He actually suggested before the race to include Silveron Wings in my quartet but I stubbornly did not heed his advice thinking that Centaine mares are essentially milers. In actual fact if I had qualified them as stayers they could have come into the reckoning with their HR 94.5(ADC) and HR86.7 for Silveron Wings compared to Chase Me at HR94.6 and Deep Pockets at HR 89.7(but improved because of wet track conditions).Considering highest rated GM(Gingerbread Man ) flopped because of the wide extreme most barrier draw and as was suspected Nandowra if he could not place in his element on wet tracks that his maximum suitable distance was 1800M rather than 2000M thus getting the influence of Dam Sire OReilly who was essentially a miler. If we go on ratings than Chase Me was the 3rd highest rated horse confirms the potency of our handicap system. It showed how far I was behind my Grand Master or "Sifu" in understanding the study of bloodstock analysis

In the mean time on the tally front Singapore Nap is in an irresistable strike rate form with 30 wins/11 placings from 57 selections for a profitable strike rate of 52.63% while Andrew Frost has surged ahead in the full card challenge for 183 wins from 556 races for a 32.91% strike rate to be overall 2nd. Winner 21 SMS are in 2nd on 181 wins form maximum for a 32.55% strike rate while Startstaz Racing hesitated and changed the selection for the Emirates Derby and missed the top of the table performance with only 4 wins to go 174 wins to be on 30.76% while Racing Guide are the 4th and final publication to meet the 30% strike rate with 171 wins from maximum for a strike % of 30.76 while Brian Miller is the best of the rest below the 30% cut off figure with 166 wins from maximum for a 29.86% .

PREVIEW OF RACE 5

Due to pressing datelines I shall be brief....my selections in order are 1-7-2-3-4-5-8. Play a 3*** big each way bet on Natural Nice who is in his element under the expected wet track conditions although Spyder posted a seemingly fast ( but deceptive) 1400M in 1:22.13 but their tracks in Argentina are typically fast so the figures are misleading when compared to Singapore Speed Figures. Use 7 and 2 as key horses on the nd line if you have a limited budget and the remainder on the 3rd and 4th lines(by all means use all 6 remaining horses on the 2nd/3rd/4th lines if you do have a bigger budget with 1 as the sole banker. Use 1#7-2 on fct/pft with a big bet. I have managed to understand the secret of Moriera's success and I see his winning prospects are better in this race compared to his ride on Lady Xuan. Let's see if this pan out in the results. By reading my comments those with some experience would have got the 6#8 fct/pft although missing out on the tierce/quartet .

The expected very slow pace with Spyder as the lone front runner and Natural in the box seat behind Spyder and Whirlrunner will suit both Spyder and Natrural Nice.

PREVIEW OF RACE 7

My selections in order are 1-2--10/-3-6-8- .Play a 3 *** big bet on win/place on El Milagro and use him as the sole banker on the 1st line with 2-10 as key horses on the 2nd line for those with a limited budget ....do play a big bet on fct/pft on 1#2-10. If you have a bigger budget I suggest to use 1 as the sole banker and the remaing 6 selections on the 2nd /3rd/4th lines as appropriate for the fct/pft. On a wet track 11 will do well but even Moreira will find it hard to overcome the disadvantage of being drawn in barrier 11 but he would do well to get the fct/pft positions

Singapore Nap selects Race 5 number 1: Natural Nice (X 2)

Singapore Nap selects Race 7 number 1 El Milagro (X2)