STARSTATZ RACING + 4 OTHER MONICKER TIPSTERS

Singapore   Racing

22 February 2013
Race 8 Canada Cup 2013
1400M Long Course D
Stakes $75,000
STARSTATZ RACING PICKS : ***SETITUP
IIZI PICKS : **KINGRACER
TW (TRACKWATCHER ) PICKS : ***SETITUP.....FORM GUIDE 8-9-4-1
VB ( VALUE BET - for placings target only) PICKS * SACRED PINS
LS (LONGSHOT) PICKS : **KINGRACER

BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Officials at STC usually do their work quietly behind the scenes and are often unheralded. Their work is much like soccer referees.... if you don't notice them then they are considered to have done a good job.This week we pay tribute to the Chief Handicapper and his handicapping team and the Official Race Starter. For this week the top accolades go to Mr Mike Wanklin , Steven Tan and the  team of Handicappers for achieving the equivalent of a golf hole in one. a perfect game in bowling or a drect quartet in the exact order for Race Media Tipsters. This feat was achieved in Race 6 on last Sunday when Christmas beat Flying Ahead, Luxurious Choice, Tiger Master by margins of a a short head. short head, short head.

On the tipping front when Singapore Nap scored the best strike rate performance of the season (2012) based on the BIG RACE OF THE DAY FORMAT we scored 48 wins/26 placings from 102 selections for a 47.06% strike rate there emerged murmurs from the racing media fraternity that I had an unfair advantage over the tipsters who did the full card challenge like Andrew Frost. it was like comparing apples vs oranges but it was the only means of direct comarison on the strike rate .For this reason  I set the BIG RACE CHALLENGE for this season by having a direct comparison and despite a slow start wth a solitary win on Huka Falls in January together with a host of Top Media TipstersI can now report that I am at least on par with the best (at least so far at this stage) as my official FLAGSHIP monicker tip on Starstatz Racing with 4 wins sharing this position with Tan Thean Loon , Xiu Fang and Zheng Qiang separated only by placings from 15 selections. Singapore Nap is on 3 wins / 5 placings from 15 selections while Starstatz Racing ( with the added advantage of deciding later after analysing the track watch report) while Iizi ( 2nd pick ) TW (trackwatcher) and VB (value bet...place bet only) are all on on 2 wins with a couple of placings . Singapore Nap is on a 20% strike rate return of $39 from 15 selections ($75) for a 48% loss Starstatz Racing is on a 26.67% strike rate on $59 returns for a 21.33% loss and VB on place bets only has a return of $55 ( 7 placings including 2 wins which are not counted)or a 26.67% loss while LS (longshot embarrasingly by default) is in an amazing 7 wins from 15 selections for an amazing strike rate of 46.67% for an astonishing $252 returns for a 336% ROI (from investment of $75 on 15 win bets) . Assuming I am playing 2 horses dutch betting per race on Starstatz Racing and LS  I would still have an impressive ROI of 20.74%. I am proud to list my LS wins for this season so far. .......Lizarre (01 Jan at $33), Huka Falls ( 04 Jan at $6), , Speedy Cat (13 Jan at $19) , Always Certain (27 Jan at $29) , Martin (11 Feb at $20) , Captain Obvious at $22 and my best longshot for this season Totality at $68.

I now fully understand the meaning of overlay bets that my HKG friends have been expounding about. Take for example the SQ Cup race between Rocket Man vs Sacred Kingdom. Back then I had officially tipped Rocket Man for patriotiand nationalistic reasons but I did say that both had a 50%/50% chance of winning. With Rocket Man showing odds on of $7 return then Sacred Kingdom was the overlay bet at double digits and hence value for money for his 50% rated chance of winning! With hindsight Touch of Gold was the 4th highest rated horse on Handicap Ratings(on hindsight I had hastily and summarily dismissed his chances for a placing after thinking that his win was on the alternate Polytrack surface but did not mull over whether he would do well on turf) and I mentioned Speedy Cat had the best handicap followed by Savannah Dancer and Totality in order of ratings but I did mention that Totality had the best SF and best sectionals ( by a clear 1 second plus). Munro should be congragulated on a patient but astute ride by bidding his time and taking the inside rails run as the leaders drifted outwards( like Moses and the parting of the Red Sea) after the home turn while Speedy Cat and Savannah Dancer took the home turn wide out thus losing precious lengths.

One thing we can conclude is that Speedy Cat despite his obvious tardy start is better on Polytrack compared to Turf despite winning on Turf in lower company before!

Starstatz Racing and Singapore Nap will be my Flagship and official flag bearers and I still reckon reckon they will both eventually outgun LS as LS is by conditions of this challenge not able( so far for the better as only 2 favourites have obliged from 15 races so far!) to select an obvious favourite like like Setitup who is likely to win.

To promote Horse racing further I strongly urge STC to enhance the experience of racegoers for events like Canada Night Japan Night and the SQ Festival, The Emirates Derby and the Longines Gold Cupby supplying one of the reputable Media Tipsters ( currently in the Top 5 including myself ...Mr X with his value bets should also be in this esteemed company) ) to guide the newbie racegoers on race days in selected events like those mentioned above and win or lose a more exciting and hopefully profitable experience.(even if they lose they will lose less and a zero profits means the the excitement and thrills of racing were enjoyed with no loss in the pockets!

PREVIEW OF RACE

Setitup and Kingracer are the 2 class acts in the race and have he best and 2nd best strike races in the race respectively and seemed destined to rise to the higher classes. Kingracer actually has the best HR in the race but with trip handicapping Setitup despite having the 3rd highest HR should be able to improve by at least 6 lengths due to the fact that he ran a genuinne race in his penultimate run by jumping in his usual on pace style despite being drawn wide out and Santana should have been penalised or at least cautioned for his ill judged ride in his last run where he had a tardy jump when he was seen to check or restrain the horse to 2nd last and Setitup travelled 4 wide at the 1st turn and 7-8 wide at the home turn ( average 6 length compensation). The Trainer should be pre-warned about any change in riding style and Santana should be penalised this time if if his antics of the previous race are repeated.
The pace will be good with 2 -5-6 vying for the lead and Kingracer may even run in the top 3 and or win if he can jump well and find cover despite his wide draw in an on pace position as he he did in his last win jumping from barrier 9 as Kingracer has the best extrapolated SF at 1200M on yielding (1:22.647 yielding)and his SF is even better than Setitup's win on 1200M (1: 23.627 ) in good going. The superior SF exposes a hint that Kingracer has possibilities of beating Setitup but we reckon that the manner of Setitup's previous victories underlines his true potential and HR is a stronger assessment of ability. Of the rest Farrand has the 2nd best handicap and has only been in poor to moderate form in his last 5 starts but shoudl figure in the top 3 if his body weight is at his optimum best and the underfoot conditions are wet! Of the rest i figure that 6-1-4 will do well and make the minor placings.
In order my selections are 8-9-6-1-4-3-5......put a 3 *** big bet on 8 .PLEASE NOTE CHANGE IN ORDER FROM SINGAPORE NAP
on win only and go for 8#9-6 and a medium cover bet on 8#9#6.
For the tierce/quartet us 8 as the sole banker and the rest on the remaining lines. If you are on a budget use 9 and 6 as key horses on the 2nd line and the remaining lines (including 9 and 6).