24 February 2013 Starstatz Racing + 4 other monicker tipsters

Singapore Racing

24 February 2013
Race 10 Kranji Stakes A
1600M Long Course E
Stakes 125,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS : *** TOM
IIZI SELECTS : *** DEEP POCKETS
TW ( TRACKWATCHER ) SELECTS : ** * DEEP POCKETS...TRACK FORM: 3-7-2-1
VB (VALUE BET ) SELECTS : ***TRUDEAU
BMW ( BENNY'S MASTERCLASS WINS RENAMED FROM LONGSHOT) SELECTS : ***TOM

BACKGROUND INFORMATION
APOLOGIES ARE IN ORDER FOR THE MANY SPELLING AND TYPO ERRORS(NOW CORRECTED ON THIS BLOG) DUE TO RUSH TO MEET POSTING DATELINES.fOR TODAY I WILL PROVIDE THE HANDICAP DATA AS A BONUS AND THE SELECTIONS FOR STARSTATZ RACING ARE IN A DIFFERENT ORDER AFTER ASSESING THE TRACK FORM REPORTS
It is with a heavy heart that I pen today;s posting on this website as I announce the passing on of one of the stalwarts of the horse racing fraternity .......Mr Benny Ortega ( Emeritus Major and Emiritus Chief Editor of Racing Guide) )He was to me......my Mentor, Grandmaster, Si-fu, Guru, ex - Boss , Guiding Light , personal Advisor and confidante friend all rolled into one. I am disappointed not a single organisation has honoured his contributions  to Racing in his former capacity as Chief Editor of Racing Guide by penning an article on my Grandmaster who was a nored longshot specialist especially with new unraced horses in their 1st starts

I owe him my standing as one of the top 2 best strike rate Media /Internet Tipsters in Singapore for the past 4 years.(the trend is continued so far as well)  Before I met Benny I was struggling with my betting (the odd win interspersed with numerous losses) and selections fumbling with best times with no regard on when the best time was posted even if it was 2 years ago!

I volunteered to work for the old Racing Guide at Genting Lane under Times Distributors for free as a proof reader in return for free lunches generously paid by Benny For the 1st 3 months I learnt what I thought was nothing much just like the Karate Kid in the movies but later I realised I was learning the ropes in a slow and gradual manner as he put me through the paces. I learnt that selecting winners was much more than best timings and that speed figures were but just a small component in the process of handicapping. Sometimes due to time constraints I even skip speed figure calculations and learnt of factors like speed maps and the pace of the race, Handicap ratings, trip handicapping, pedigree and bloodstock analysis,

Most of the people who get involved with racing end up broke and ruined as they go through the learning process. I know for a fact that Benny leaves his wife and his children with a fully paid up
terrace house in Bedok after sending some of his children overseas for further studies. I was personally present when he won a quartet of $64k (or was it $68K?) which he probably shared with the owner of the winning Hydocarbon horse and the investment involved was only $200. He lent me various books to improve my knowledge and videos, which websites to search for pedigree information on horses from USA , Japan, Argentina, Australia, Chile, Europe and even South Africa. I learnt about 1st dams, 2nd Dams and 3rd Dams and why horses who won only Sprint races could have progeny who could win further and why and look at underlying reasons like early career injury or to look at the Grandsire for clues as to his distance ability as well as looking at this subject from the perspective of the Dam's bloodlines and Damsires's bloodlines nand I dedicate today's  selection in memory of my Great Grand Master as the horse I have selected is going up in distance for the 1st time over the 1600M.He is also not in the top 4 intrack reports and I have absolutely no doubts he can handle the extra 200M.In his memory I shall rename my monicker tipster LS(longshot) to BMW (Benny,s masterclass wins). Without realising Benny's journey to Heaven I have been sending  SMSs to Benny winning tips on his handphone despite a slow start in January and I am glad to report that Benny;s winning streak continues in Heaven culminating in 5 wins last Friday including a 3 bagger in the last 3 races. One of Benny;s winning secrets was that he had the Grace of God and he generously donated a portion of his winnings to the Church for the poor and he even gave back to Society by giving free English tuition to poor school kids...It can be said he was the Servant of God and made money for the Church. In future I hope to write a book on horseracing and handicapping and dedicate it to the memory of Benny Ortega. I am by no means the complete Master( I AM A WORK IN PROGRESS AND CONSTANTLY EVOLVING with Benny;s system as the foundation stone) in Horseracing but at least I know how to go about it to learn about things I don't as yet know of to upgrade myself from an armchair Internet Media Tipster and as the results have shown so far I should easily hold my own in the top 5 among all the Media Tipsters in Singapore....at least in the Big Race Challenge and overall strike rate percentage when comparing myself with the full card challenge tipsters.

In the full card challenge Xiu Fang is striding confidently and proudly in a good lead with 52 wins from 157 selections for a 33.12% strike rate while Racing Guide and Mr X(good value as well) are in joint 2nd with 48 wins from maximum with a 30.57$ strike rate. Ma Hui , the Mandarin race presenter from STC is currently in 4th with 47 wins for a 29.94% strike rate and Tan Thean Loon from the Newpaper is in 5th spot with 46 wins for a 29.3% strike rate.

The newly renamed BMW( former LS) is the lead with both good dividends and high strike rate percentages with 7 wins from 16 selections for a astounding 43.75% strike rate and my official Flagship blog Starstatz Racing is in 2nd with 5 wins from 16 selections to be on 31.25%(to be just behind Xiu Fang in strike rate percentages) in the Big Race Challenge Singapore Nap and a host of tipsters are on 25% strike rate with 4 wins from 16 selections (except Craig Evans who is on 3 wins from 12 selections ) including Tan Thean Loon, Xiu Fang, Zheng Qiang, Ma Chao, Lao Wang and Craig Evans. If I have overlooked or miscalculated the score of any Media Tipster do drop me a line at insiders111@yahoo.com.sg to rectify any wrong scoreline. I am still appealing to STC to openly display the scores of all their tipsters so they they will try harder instead of hiding in anonymity and they should invite all Media Tipsters including Starstatz Racing (if I agree to do the full card selections), Racing Guide, Turf Guide and HS Chan to the competition including the stable of STC Tipsters instead of leaving it to the whims and fanciesof Winner21 who set their own arbitary rules. The other outstanding bug bear I have is that all body weights should be known before the start of Race 1 so racegoers can better plan for their investments decisions. I strongly believe the interests of the racegoers should take priority over the Trainers' concerns unless the Trainers have a valid and public reason why the current impasse should not be rectified! It would be ideal if Professional handicap data is provided instead of historical data which has to be recalibrated (sectional times is an example and no pub;ication is using it in a user friendly manner) on STC websites including adjusted sectional times (published for public consumption in a more user friendly manner for easy digestion and practical uasge...it is like building an expensive swimming pool but not filling it with water so it can be used effectively)and Speed Maps but I guess this is asking too much of the STC heirachy for such dramatic and costly improvements who are notoriously slow to implemet imrovements as this subject regarding Speed Maps has been bandied about for the last 3 years and still nothing has been implemented to date. The last suggestion is the i-bet betting for tierce and quartet play similar to 4D i-bet. Perhaps STC should take lessons from the Totalisator Board and employ some Singapore Pools I.T. experts to make this possible since the technology is already there and just needs some fine tweaking for STC format!. I believe I should revisit these issues and asked for a detailed feedback why these issues are so difficult to implement and their reasons for not improving the current status quo and make further progress on these various issues. If my ideas are wacky or cost prohibitive or impractical to be imlemented for the benefit of racegoers than I would like to know why?

In memory of my Dearly departed Benny (who shall be sorely missed)I shall provide the handicap data in full detail on my blog at www,starstazracing.blogspot.com.
I hope to fulfill Benny;s legacy by writing a book on the subject of horseracing one day before i kick the bucket myself one day!

HANDICAP DATA
1) FLYING FULTON ....HR 106.5 (POLYTRACK)....SF 1:38.243 YIELDING....REPORTEDLY IN POOR CONDITION IN HIS LAST RUN ON 15 FEB SO IT IS DOUBTFUL IF HE CAN RECOVE RIN ONE WEEK...GOOD HR IF IN FORM ...BUT I DOUBT VERY MUCH!
2) ALWAYS CERTAIN ...HR 106 (1800M)....SF 1:35.953 (EXTRAPOLATED FROM 1400M)....SECTIONALS AT 1400M 25.838/21.788 = 47.626...NEEDS A FAST PACE TO DO WELL DESPITE STRONG HR...WILL PROVIDE VALUE FOR PLACE BET ONLY DUE TOP WEIGHT BUT WELL HANDICAPPED...RUNNING AT 1 KG UNDERSCALED...has a very good 50% 2nd up strike rate with 4 wins from 8 2nd up starts
3) DEEP POCKETS ...HR 99.2 ...SF 1:36.247    1400M SECTIONALS ON GOOD GOING
25.985/23.724 = 47.853...WEAKER SECTIONAL COMPARED TO 2-7-9 RUNNING AT 3.5 KG UNDERSCALED...will improve with blinkers on!
4) BLACK ICE ....HR 101.2 ...SF 1;36.276..... 24.507/23.95 = 48.457...POOR HR /SF AND SECTIONALS COMPARED TO THE REST....RUNNING AT 4.5 KG UNDERSCALED
5) 5) FIGHTER JET ...HR 112.3 SOFT ....SF 1:35.2 (1400M YIELDING) ....SECTIONALS NOT AVAILABLE DUE DONE IN MALAYSIA....BEST HR IN FIELD BUT VERY POOR FOR PAST 11 RUNS...NOT LIKELY...RUNNING AT 5.5 KG UNDERSCALED
6) SILVERON  WINGS...HR 104.33 (1800M SOFT) SF 1:36.451 YIELDING.....SECTIONALS AT 1400M YIELDING APPROXIMATELY  ONLY 49.002 ON YIELDING..BEST .LONGSHOT FOR PLACING...RUNNING AT 7 KG UNDERSCALED
7) TRUDEAU...HR 102.5 ....SF 1;35.27 ( 1:35.264 1400M YIELDING) ...1400M SECTIONALS
24.621/22.241 = 46.862 YIELDING...RUNNING AT 7,5KG UNDERSCALED....
8) DON PLATENSE ; VERY POOR IN 2 LOCAL RUNS ...NOT READY YET...STILL UNFIT  BUT CLASSY TYPE...WON 5 WINS FROM 12 STARTS IN ARGENTINA INCLUDING GROUP2 AND LISTED RACE...RUNNING AT 8 KG UNDERSCALED
9) TOM ...HR 104.9 ....SF 1-35.13 (1400M YIELDING)...1400M SECTIONALS ON YIELDING 24.873/ 21.926M = 46.979 YIELDING ...RUNNING AT 8 KG UNDERSCALED....CLASSY TYPE WITH SIRE AND DAM HAVING 1600M CAPABILITY (FORTE DISTANCE)....HIS 1400M SF IS SUPERIOR TO ALL IN FIELD AND HIS 1400M YIELDING SECTIONALS ARE SUPERIOR TO ALL ON 1400M GOOD GOING BELIES HIS POTENTIAL TO UPSET AT ODDS...IF HE RUNS A GENUINE RACE AND STICKS CLOSE TO TRUDEAU HE SHOULD BE ABLE TO TURN THE TABLE SON TRUDEAU WITH A 2KG ADJUSTMENT (2 LENGTHS ADVANTAGE)IN HIS FAVOUR . ALSO HAS A 2KG APPRENTICE JOCKEY CLAIM WHICH IS NOT YET TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT....LIKELY TO HAVE THE BEST FINISHING 400M FINAL BURST IN STRAIGHT AS ALTHOUGH ALWAYS CERTAIN'S FIGURE ARE BETTER YOU HAVE TO MAKE AN ADJUSTMENT AS ALWAYS CERTAIN'S FIGURES WERE DONE ON GOOD GOING COMPARED TO TOM;S ON YIELDING GOING. WILL WIN IF DIVIDENDS ARE HIGH ENOUGH TO COMPENSATE FOR INCREASED PENALTY IF HE WINS

PREVIEW OF RACE
The pace of this slow pace strongly favours Trudeau but the handicap ( I HAVE NOT EVEN TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT KOH'S 2KG CLAIM WHICH WILL GIVE HIM ANOTHER BOOST OF A 2 LENGTH FURTHER ADVANTAGE) and the speed figures and 1400M sectionals favour Tom. If Tom is keen to do well in this race I hope to see Koh track Trudeau in the manner Kingracer was stalked by Setitup all the way from the start to the finish line. If Koh does so then Singapore Nap readers will be rewarded with a sizeable dividend as some Media Tipsters have seen it fit to omit Tom from their top 4 and Tom is quietly in the shadows out from the top 4 favouritism among the Official Media Tipsters on STC website. In order my revised(different order from Singapore Nap as 3(blinkers will help to improve and will probably be ridden in a more forward position) is reported as a special  in top form  selections are 9-3-7-2-1-4-6.
9 is curiously not in the top 4 of trackwatcher's  list

I suggest using double bankers on 9-7 in case Trudeau gets a soft unchallenged lead and wins and use 9-7-3-2 as key horses on the 2nd line  Put a big win/place bet on 9 and cover a medium bet on 7; as well. If I was a bagman Go against all the other horses in the race and 1 especially and just avoid 9 and 7 if you are a bagman in Australia. I(with guidance from Benny highlighting Tom;s class potential) have always suggested from his early wins that Tom was destined for Class 1 glory that Tom is on his way to Class1.For those who think Darci Bharma are just sprinters let me correct this misconception as he is from Grandsire Danehill bloodline whose progeny can definitely stay. His Dam Boito Belle only had 2 wins up to 1450M but I can assure you that his Centaine(by Century) bloodline can definitely stay up to 1900M (maybe up to 2000M as well) but she has blue blood all across her bloodlines and is half sister to 3 notable females like Winning Belle the Stakes winner who produced Redoubte;s Choice and one of Boito Belle's Dams won up to 1900M and is half sister to another Encosta De Lago related Dam as well! I know Tom is doing the 1600M for the 1st time and hence the apprehension but if the intention is there not to play bridesmaid to Trudeau then he will definitely overwhelm Trudeau and stay the 1600M easily and I will add this point that 1600M is actually Tom's better distance than the Sprints! .For an abridged HR rating ( not yet included the apprentice allowance)on the top 4...is number 2 at HR 106, 3 at HR 99.2....7 at HR 102.5 and 9 at 104.9. I also like the fact that Koh has ridden Tom to a win before!.Put a big bet on forecast and place forecst 3#7#9 box . I hope Benny;s Good Luck rubs off on me as well!