Singapore Racing
11 February 2013
Race 10 Fortune Bowl - Group 3
2000M Short Course A
Stakes $200,000
SINGAPORE NAP SELECTS : ** MAURICE UTRILLO....MISSED POSTING DATELINE ON OFFICIAL SUTE SO WILL NOT BE COUNTED ON WEBSITE TALLY BUT WILL COUNT FOR BIG RACE CHALLENGE....VORSTER TAKING THIS RIDE IS A SIGN OF STABLE INTENTIONS COMPARED TO LIZARRE
STARSTATZ RACING: SELECTS: ** MARTIN....I AM HEDGING MY BETS AS THIS IS A WIDE OPEN RACE AS TW HAS MARTIN RATED IN GOOD FORM BEHIND LIZARRE WHO IS BADLY DRAWN....CERTAINLY HAS THE CLASS IF HE DECIDES TO HAVE A CRACK AT THIS RACE IF HIS TARGET IS TO QUALIFY FOR THE SINGAPORE AIRLINES FESTIVAL IN MAY BUT WILL PAY DEARLY IN POINTS PENALTY IF HE WINS
IIZI SELECTS :** NANDOWRA
TW ( TRACKWATCHER SELECTS : **LIZARRE...FORM 1-7-3-5,,,,BADLY DrAWN BUT IN RATTLING FORM...I RECKON HE STILL MIGHT MAKE THE TOP 4 IN SUPPORT OF HIS STABLEMATE TO FORM THE QUARTET COMBINATION
VB ( VALUE BET SELECTS ***NANDOWRA (SAFE FOR PLACE BET....2** RATING FOR WIN BUT IS A 3 ** * BET FOR PLACE BETTING
LS ( LONGSHOT SELECTS ) ** MARTIN ....GOOD VALUE AS REPORTEDLY IN GOOD FORM BY TW AS I BELIEVE LIZARRE WILL BE DISADVANTAGED BY HIS WEAK BARRIER DRAW.OVERALL I RATE HIM AS THE CLASSIEST HORSE IN THIS RACE BUT UNSURE IF HE IS IN A HURRY TO MOVE UP IN RATINGS ....CERTAINLY HAS THE ABILITY IF HIS INTENTIONS ARE THERE!
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Singapore Nap and Starstatz Racing continue on their poor run with just a placing to go on 2 wins and 5 placings from 13 selections.
Most of the Media Tipsters are on 2 wins with Huka Falls in the big race challenge but LS. Tan Thean Loon and Xiu Fang have bucked the trend with 5 wins each from 13 selections
PREVIEW OF RACE
There is a saying that goes "Fortune favours the brave although Moreira on board Nandowra with Champion jockey on board has all the ticks in the right boxes bar one......Despite his wet track sire Savabeel and Damsire Oreilly he has failed to often at 2000M and beyond despite ideal wet track conditions. He has got a good barrier. the Champion jockey and the best HR (handicap rating) in the race.I am of the opinion that Savabeel has 2000M staying ability he has never delivered and I think this is partly because his Dam Fabaz by OReilly seems to be more of a miler although he has Northern Dancer bloodline coursing to his veins. It is not an exact Science so I could still be making the wrong call. The pace is good with 3 front running types in 10-9-6 leading the way and Nandowra as an on pace runner should get a box seat on the rails.
My pick Maurice Utrillo for Singapore Nap has been overshadowed by his stablemate of late but I believe he will do better as evident by Vorster's move in taking the ride as he does have the 2nd best HR in the race followed by Mitre Peak although the top weights cannot be entirely ruled out. My pick for Starstatz Racing Martin may be in a hurry to get promoted so he can qualify for the Singapore Airlines Festival races so he may not mind the extra penalty if he wins and he does have the class to pull it off!
In order my selections are 5-7-3-1-2-6-4 for Singapore Nap and 7-5-3-1-2-6-4 for Starstatz Racing...Go for a medium bet on Mauruce Utrillo on Singapore Nap or bet on Martin on Starstaz Racing at value. For the forecast and place forecast go for a huge bet on 7#5#3 box
For the exotics go for a double banker on 5 and 7 but i am very confident Nandowra will at least run a place at least!
For the 2nd line choose 7-5-3-1 as key horses on the 2nd line. I suggest drop number 4 Fat Kid on the 3rd and 4th lines for the quartet and stick with the 6 selections.If uyou have the budget go for two bankers and the put the 6 selctions on the remaining lines.. If the goiing changes to yielding or soft it would not pse a problem for both Maurice Utrillo or Martin (Grandsire Zabeel is a mudlark) and Nandowra
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