With 5 wins on the board I maintained some semblance of credibility although Racing Guide , Andrew Frost, Craig Evans and Tan Thean Loon managed to better my score with 6 wins.The leaderboard now reads as Racing Guide in 1st with 49 wins , Andrew Frost and Ma Chao are joint 2nd on 47 wins and yours truly is trailing in joint 8th with 40 wins. I am playing it safe today in my attempt to narrow the gap before it reaches double digit figures. I am not taking the risk by tipping longshots like Atomic Cannon in Race 1 and Oil Baron in Race 8 but it wouldn't surprise me if they oblige and create an upset in their respective races with valid reasons for support.. I managed to hit some direct quartets last week with the 1st 4 in the correct exact order but they paid a paltry $12 and $54 ...not too bad for a $2 investment. I also managed to have my 1st choice selections winning with the other horses making the tierce/quartet especially in the last race won by Samurai Phoenix where the quartet pay out was a $1000 plus.
Today's races are quite tricky and quite a handful of favourites will falter so do be cautious unless you are up. I have had a good pre race preparation and should score well with one of the 1st 2 choices delivering(hopefully my 1st choice but I am especially wary in Race 7 as my 2nd choice Waipapa is reportedly ion terrific form and may beat my 1st choice , Super Gold and hence my advice is to make an equal cover bet and also make it the best forecast for the day).
For a detailed analysis of Race 7 do visit the website www.7naps.com where I am a guest pundit.
My selections today are:-
RACE 1 GOLDEN JAMBHALA...SMALL...8-11/9//3-6///5-10...PACE VERY SLOW...LONGSHOT NBR 9 ATOMIC CANNON IS STABLEMATE TO POSSIBLE RACE FAVOURITE PINK CHEETAH SO WATCH HIS TOTE CLOSELY...UNLIKE OTHER TIPSTERS I AM CONFIDENT 8 CAN HANDLE THE RISE IN DISTANCE AS SIRE IS A MILER
RACE 2 MERCHANT...MEDIUM...6-3// 1-2/// 8-4...PACE GOOD TO SLOW...BEST TRIAL TIME
RACE 3 BOYLE...MEDIUM ...VALUE BET OF THE DAY...7/6-5/3 /// 12-2/ 4...PACE SLOW...THE SLOW PACE WILL HELP HIS CAUSE.BIG RED IS THE CLASSIEST HORSE IN THE FIELD BUT THE EXPECTED SLOW PACE AND BARRIER 1 WILL NOT HELP HIS CAUSE AND THE NARROW D COURSE WILL CAUSE TRAFFIC PROBLEMS IN HIS RUN IN...NOTHING MUCH TO CHOOSE BETWEEN SIR RUMBLE AND ETERNAL TRAVELLER BUT HIS LORDSHIP IS FRACTIONALLY FASTER ON TANDEM SECTIONAL TIME BY 0.01 SECONDS.eTERNAL TRAVELLER MAY BE CAUGHT WIDE WITHOUT COVER AND WILL HAVE TO TRAVEL ON THE OUTSIDE OF SIR RUMBLE ALL THE WAY
RACE 4 ZAC NIRVANA...SMALL ...MOST OPEN RACE OF THE DAY WITH MANY UNKNOWN FACTORS...8-2/10/1-3 /// 9-6...PACE VERY SLOW...SUGGEST TO SKIP THIS RACE UNLESS YOU HAVE GOOD INTEL REPORTS
RACE 5 ACE AVIDA ...BIG...2-8// 4-5 ///10-11/1....2 HORSE RACE ...VERY GOOD FORECAST...PACE SLOW SO ACE AVIDA HAS TO MAKE HIS MOVE BEFORE THE TOP OF THE STRAIGHT...ESTEEM POWER HAS THE ADVANTAGE ON HANDICAP AND THE PACE SUITS WHILE THE ACE HAS CLASS AND BETTER SPEED FIGURES
RACE 6 PINA COLARDA...SMALL...2-3// 5/// 6-4 PACE GOOD TO SLOW...BIG MINAKO HAS BEATEN PINA COLARDA BY ONE LENGTH ON 15JAN 2010 BUT IS WORST OFF IN THE WEIGHTS BY 3.5KG WHICH SHOULD ENABLE 2 TO TURN THE TABLES ON HIM ON THE BASIS THAT 3.5KG IS EQUIVALENT TO 7 LENGTHS...WATCH 5 FOR POSSIBLE UPSET AS HE HAS THE BEST HANDICAP BUT SLOW SPEED FIGURES
RACE 7 SUPER GOLD...BIG...3-8// 7-1/// 2-10-5...PACE GOOD...MUST COVER EQUAL BET ON 8 WHO IS REPORTEDLY IN GOOD FORM...8 HAS SUPERIOR HANDICAP BUT 3 IS CLASSY AND HAS BETTER SPEED FIGURES
RACE 8 INTERCEPT...SMALL...4-2/ 3-12// 8 /// 11-1...PACE GOOD TO FAST...IF 2-4-1 SET A SCORCHING PACE THEY WILL PLAY INTO THE HANDS OF 3 AND 12 WHO WILL COME FROM MIDFIELD...I EXPECT AN UPSET BUT I AM PLAYING IT SAFE IN MY SELECTION
RACE 9 BLACK ICE...BIG...6-2// 8-12/// 9-7/ 10...PACE SLOW...BEST BET OF THE NIGHT ...HAS THE RESPECT OF THE HANDICAPPER WHO PENALISED HIM A POINT MORE THAN TOTARA...HAS BETTER SPEED FIGURES AND SECTIONAL TIMES BUT TOTARA HAS BETTER HANDICAP BY ONE LENGTH
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