I had a lack lustre outing with only 1 win on the board with 4 2nd choices making it to the winners's circle. This will be my last week experimenting with value bets which has not proved as successful a formula in the media tipster full card challenge. If my score is still below par I will change my selection strategy from next week onwards and follow my last season's winning strategy. With a score of 30 wins I am now trailing in 8th place with Racing Guide in the lead with 38 wins, Xiu Fang in 2nd on 35 wins and Andrew Frost in 3rd on 34 wins. To maintain my credibility that last season was not a fluke I have to rein in the leaders and make it back to the top 5 or top 3 by the end of February with a few top of the table performances. Today does not look like a day for favourites so be cautious with win/place betting and the exotics. I shall be doing only 4 selections for the exotics today due to time constraints as I am posting from overseas this week. So use these selections as key horses and add your own horses to make up the 3rd line. My other selections are meant for the 2nd and 3rd line unless I recommend a cover bet. In this case I would suggest you use the 2nd horse as a double banker in the exotics. I have tried to provide value today and my score might be affected(hopefully I can deliver value and the an above par performance on number of winners as well
For a detailed analysis of Race 7 do check out the website http://www.7naps.com/ where I am a guest pundit and I offered an analysis of the A short course and it natural bias for off pace runners and closers
My selections for today are:-
RACE 1 PINK CHEETAH...SMALL...6-9/4// 2....PACE SLOW
RACE 2 BIG FORTUNE..MEDIUM....5-1/ 4-7//....PACE SLOW
RACE 3 KYOTO...BIG 6-3/5-4//...LONGSHOT OF THE DAY WITH CONFIDENCE IN A STRONG EACH WAY BET...CAN COVER 3...PACE SLOW
RACE 4 SURE LIMIT...MEDIUM....4-8// 6-11...MUST COVER 8 AS AN ALTERNATE...PACE VERY FAST...FRONT RUNNERS(ESPECIALLY DRAWN OUTSIDE AS THEY WILL BE CAUGHT WIDE OUT WITHOUT COVER) AT A DISADVANTAGE IF PACE IS HOT
RACE 5 POWERFUL LEADER....MEDIUM...1-4// 2/11...CAN COVER 4 AS AN ALTERNATE COVER BET...PACE GOOD
RACE 6 WIND CHASER...MEDIUM...2-3/4// 1...WILD LONGSHOT OF THE DAY...PACE VERY SLOW
RACE 7 DAY OF EMPIRE...MEDIUM...5-7/ 11 // 4....MY VALUE BET OF THE DAY ...CAN COVER 7 AN AN ALTERNATE...PACE GOOD
RACE 8 DROVETTI...BIG ....1-4/ 5 // 2...2ND BEST BET OF THE DAY...PACE VERY SLOW
RACE 9 GOLDSCHATZ...BIG...3/ 4-//1- 8 /// 5-7/ 2...BEST BET OF THE DAY...PLEASE NOTE CHANGE IN SELECTION ORDER FROM 7NAPS POSTING DUE TRACKWATCHER'S REPORT INDICATING AN IMPROVEMENT IN FORM FOR NBR 4 ...ESCAMONDA...PACE SLOW
RACE 10 RALEIGH...MEDIUM...7/6// 8-11//...PACE VERY SLOW
RACE 11 BIG RED...BIG....1-5/ 6-12//...PACE SLOW
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