One of Australian readers has pointed out to me that Eagle Farm Tace track is in Brisbane and not Canberra...my apologies for the mix up. With depleted fields the exotics will be much easier to strike but will not represent much value. Get the winner right and use the right banker horse even if 1st favourite it;s OK as it will be of value if value priced horses fill the minor placings.
My selections today are:-
RACE 1 SINTHREE...MEDIUM...6-1/5-10// 3/// 4-11...PACE GOOD...VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT AS JOCKEY TRIALLED WELL WOTH SINTHREE...WHILE MAIN RIVAL IN HANDICAP AND SUPERIOR SPEED FIGURE MY PAPPARICH DOES BETTER WITH BLINKERS WHILE PACIFIC GIFT IS STILL A THREAT ON HIS OVERSEAS FORM BUT HAS INFERIOR HR/SF TO SINTHREE IN HIS LOCAL RUN
RACE 2 TWIN ACE...MEDIUM...1/2-4...PACE GOOD...HAS OBVIOUS KNOWN FORM AND BEST HR(HANDICAP RATING)/SF (SPEED FIGURE) AND LOST TO A USEFUL TYPE IN MAPLE STAR
RACE 3 DORADO JOY ...SMALL...8-4/9-5// 3/// 1-6...PACE SLOW...LONGSHOT OF THE DAY...HAS ADVANTAGE IN HANDICAP AND SPEED FIGURE BUT WILL NOT BE SUITED BY THE PACE AND WILL HAVE TO MAKE HIS MOVE BEFORE THE HOME TURN..CONSIDER A COVER BET ON 4 IF 8 IS TOO HIGH IN PRICE FOR YOUR LIKING...sTANZOUT DOES NOT LOOK A STRONG FAVOURITE.
RACE 4 FAMOUS THAN U...MEDIUM...2-8/1-6///3-4...PACE VERY SLOW...HAS PROVEN RACE EXPERIENCE OVER THE DISTANCE
RACE 5 MAPLE STAR...MEDIUM...6-8/// 7-10/ 2/// 1...PACE SLOW...6 HAS THE BETTER SPEED FIGURE BUT 8 HAS THE BETTER HANDICAP AND PROVEN ON TURF....MUST COVER 8
RACE 6 CASINO ROYALE...MEDIUM...5-11/6-4/10///3-8...PACE VERY SLOW...5 HAS CLEAR CREDENTIALS ON HR/SF
RACE 7 HIGH NOON...BIG...4-3/ 7// 8/// 2-1/ 5...PACE VERY SLOW...4 HAS THE CLASS BUT 3 HAS THE BETTER SPEED FIGURE WHILE 7 IS THE DARK HORSE
RACE 8 ZAC BEAT IT...MEDIUM...3-1/ 5// 4...PACE VERY SLOW...1 WILL LEAD AND PACE WILL SUIT BUT 3 HAS BETTER HR/SF AND 5 HAS BEST HR/SF BUT OVER 1400M
RACE 9 TUMBULGUM...BIG...BEST BET OF THE DAY...6/ 4-9/ 2/// 3-1/7...PACE GOOD TO FAST...USE 6 AS A CONFIDENT BANKER AND YOU SHOULD STRIKE THE EXOTICS
RACE 10 ZESTFULGO...SMALL... 8-7/ 1-5///2 / 11-12...PACE GOOD....SUGGEST A COVER BET ON 7 WHO HAS POOR RECENT FORM ON TURF BUT BEST SF DONE ON 16 OCTOBER 09. 8 HAS TOP CLASS SIRE SPEED INFLUENCE FOR THIS DISTANCE AND A TOP JOCKEY ON BOARD AND MAY SURPRISE AT GOOD ODDS...A USEFUL VALUE BET
RACE 11 SAMURAI PHOENIX...MEDIUM...1-3/ 2-10// 5/// 4-6...PACE GOOD...SUGGEST BOX THE TOP 4 FOR GOOD VALUE ON ALL THE EXOTICS...2 AND 10 WILL ADD VALUE TO THE EXOTICS AND 1 HAS A BETTER SF COMPARED TO 3.
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