SINGAPORE RACING - 06 JANUARY 2013 STARSTATZ RACING PLUS 5 MONICKER TIPSTERS

Singapore Racing
6 January 2013
Race 7 Class 3
1600M Polytrack
Stakes 75,000

SINGAPORE NAP SELECTS : *** SIR OAKLEY ( X2 )
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS : *** SIR OAKLEY ( I EXPECT VALUE WITH A DOUBLE DIGIT DIVIDEND )
IIZI SELECTS :  *** : SIR OAKLEY ( NO POINT GOING AGAINST THE FAVOURITE )
TW SELECTS : ***SIR OAKLEY ....TRACK FORM 5-1-4-6
VB (VALUE BET ) SELECTS : ** DAMO (TARGET FOR PLACE BETS ONLY WITH A PERFECT RECORD SO FAR WITH A PROFIT OF $5 FROM 2 RACES)
LS (LONGSHOT ) : *** SIR OAKLEY (NO POINT GOING AGAINST THE FAVOURITE )

BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Xiu Fang and LS(Longshot - one of the 5 monicker tipsters from the Starstatz Racing Blog) are the only 2 remaining Media Tipsters  with a perfect record in the Big Race Challenge. I will eventually include the guys who tip in the Straits Times advertorials like Craig Brennan and Michael Lee when they highlight horses in the Big Races for the day. Since they are not tipping all the time I shall analyse their performances  by using the strike rate method so they will not lose out by tipping in less races. In a similar vein the same would apply to Craig Evans when he gets back from his USA holidays. After the running of this race there will be one tipster left standing with a perfect record in big races . Even If Sir Oakley (classy type with 2 wins from 3 starts being the best strike rate performer in this race) chalks up his win as I expect him to do so LS will not hold the lead for long as he is obligated to look for longshots as in the case for Lizarre on opening day . I fully expect luminaries like Andrew Frost , Racing Guide Singapore Nap, Starstatz Racing, Ma Hui and Tan Thean Loon and Hui Liang to catch up with Xiu Fang and LS and compete for the Top 5 spots. VB (value bet)by nature of the methodology of playing place only has done its job with a perfect score for placing and a return of $15 from 2 placings so far! However he is now 2nd last with Jun Ru of Victory Trail trailing in last with his solitary placing on Bahen

PREVIEW OF RACE
The pace of the race will be slow with two notable front runners in 8 and 1 leading the way with 8 getting the rails run and Flaneur will try to lead all the way but despite having good HR figures only behind Tarankali and, Cinderella Man Flaneur's SF and sectionals are weak.. I consider Sir Oakley a safe big bet despite the fact that he is drawn wide. I consider him a classy type with 2 wins from 3 starts but I expect him to pay a double digit dividend as he does not have the best HR or even SF unlike his stablemate Huka Falls who paid the odds on dividend of $6 on Friday.Despite being a clear and overwhelming favourite among the tipsters on STC website. However the definitive point about Sir Oakley's true potential lies in the fact that his sectional times (1st 400M and last 400M) at 1700M are faster than both Damo and City Lad at 1600M. Despite a strong HR his stable mate Cinderella Man though being handled by the Champion jickey Jose Moreira he is not likely to trouble Damo and City Lad with his weak sectionals .The 3 of them look good for a direct tierce with the order being 5-4-1 and it looks like 6 and 8 will tussle for the 4th quartet spot.
In order my selections ar 5-4-1-6-8-3. I shall indicate the full details of all handicap data and the 5 monicker selections on Starstatz Racing. blogspot.com.
I recommend a big bet on forecast/place forecast on on 5#4-1 and to use as the sole banker on the 1st line and 4-1 as key horses on the 2nd line for your exotic bets and leave the remaining 5 horses ie 4-1-6-8-3 on the 3rd and 4th lines. Play a 3***big bet on 5 to win only with full confidence as he has the best sectionals in the race either at 1700M or 1600M!''

HANDICAP DATA
1) CITY LAD : FORM ***
HR 71.2....SF 1:36.7 (2ND FASTEST SF IN THIS FIELD....IF HE DOES NOT WIN IT CONFIRMS THE THEORY THAT TIMING IS NOT THE MOST IMPORTANT FACTOR IN HANDICAPPING RACES) ....SECTIONALS 25.742/24.402 = 50.145
2) SUPERCZAR :FORM *
HR 72.5....SF 1: 40.116 (1700M EXTRAPOLATED SF = 1:39.097)....SECTIONALS 27.289/23.939
= 51.228 (1700M SECTIONALS 26.267/23.669 = 49.936 (1600M SECTIONALS SHOULD BE COMPARED DIRECTLY WITH OTHER HORSES AT 1600M AND LIKEWISE FOR 1700M COMPARISON BUT IF SECTIONALS COMPILED AT 1700M ARE SUPERIOR TO HIS RIVAL AT 1600M IT MEANS HE CAN RUN FASTER FOR THE 1ST400M AND LAST 400M DESPITE RUNNING 100M FURTHER
3) GETREEL : FORM *
HR 66.5....SF 1:39.691 (EXTRAPOLATED FROM 1700M  RUN).....SECTIONALS
25.674/24.076 = 49.75 (1700M RUN )
4) DAMO : FORM :  ***
HR 72.0  (SAME HR AS 5) ....SF 1:38.257 ....SECTIONALS 26.231/23.78 = 50.012...
REPORTEDLY IN TERRIFIC FORM AND SUPPOSEDLY BETTER FORM THAN SIR OAKLEY AS REPORTED IN SHIN MIN AND WAN BAO BUT BOTH MY TRACKWATCHERS RATE SIR OAKLEY TO BE BETTER....HAS SLIGHTLY SUPERIOR SF THAN SIR OAKLEY BUT HIS SECTIONAL AT 1600M PALE IN COMPARISON TO SIR OAKLEY. MOREOVER HIS STRIKE RATE OF 5 WINS FROM 21 RUNS AT 23.81% ARE MUCH WORSE THAN SIR OAKLEY AT 2 WINS FROM 3 STARTS AT 66.67%.....HAS DRAWN SLIGHTLY BETTER THAN SIR OAKLEY THOUGH WHICH MIGHT BE A FACTOR IN HIS FAVOUR BUT I BELIEVE SIR OAKLEY WILL RISE UP THE GRADES AND IMPROVE FURTHER
5) SIR OAKLEY : FORM ***
HR 72.0 (EXTRAPOLATED FROM 1700M )...SF 1:38.628 ( EXTRAPOLATED FROM 1700M)
SECTIONALS 25.133/23.627 = 48.76 (EXTRAPOLATED FROM 1700M) ...IN A RACE HE WON BY 4 LENGTHS AND EASING UP HE SHOWS IN HIS SECTIONALS THAT DESPITE RUNNING A 100M FURTHER HIS LAST 400M EXTRAPOLATED FROM HIS 1700M RUN IS STILL SUPERIOR THAN DAMO OVER 1600M.....SOME MEDIA TIPSTERS HAVE SELECTED HIM AS 1ST PICK BUT ARE NOT VERY CONFIDENT THAT HE IS A SPECIAL OR BEST BET OF THE DAY.. I SHARE THE SAME OPINION AS FROSTY THAT HE IS MY BEST BET OF THE DAY......HIS SIRE COAT'S CHOICE HAS ONLY PLACED TWICE FROM 2 STARTS AND IS NOT THAT GLAMOUROUSAS LODE AND ELUSIVE CITY BUT HIS PROGENY HAVE ALREADY WON ONE GROUP RACE AND HIS GRANDSIRE IS BY THE CHAMPION REDOUBTE'S CHOICE/DANEHILL BLOODLINE AND HE HAS KRIS S STAYING BLOOD THROUGH HIS DAM....THE ONLY NEGATIVE BEING THE WIDEST BARRIER DRAW BUT IN A SMALL FIELD WITH HIS CLASS AND CONSISTENCY TRAFFIC WILL NOT POSE A PROBLEM
6) CINDERELLA MAN : FROM **
HR 76.5 (EXTRAPOLATED FROM 1700M )...SF 1:38.603....SECTIONALS
26.136/24.443 = 50.579 HAS SUPERIOR HR COMPARED TO THE 3 MAIN CHANCES BUT HAS BEEN POOR IN LAST 3 RUNS.....DESPITE THE SERVICES OF CHAMPION JOCKEY ON BOARD HIS SECTIONALS ARE WEAKER THAN 5-4-1....WILL CARRY SOME SUPPORT TO MAKE SIR OAKLEY A DOUBLE DIGIT DIVIDEND...QUARTET SPOT AT BEST...LIKELY RED HERRING FOR RACEGOERS! HAS SUPERIOR 1700M SECTIONALS COMPARED TO FLANEUR AND MIGHT JUST MAKE IT FOR 4TH SPOT
7) TARANKALI : FORM *
HR 80.92 ( EXTRAPOLATED FROM 1700M - BEST HR IN RACE BUT TERRIBLY INCONSISTENT WITH ONLY 3 WINS FROM 38 STARTS AND ALSO IN  POOR FORM IN LAST 3 RUNS).....SECTIONALS 26.358/23.504 = 49.862 (EXTRAPOLATED FROM 1700M)....WILD CARD FOR TOP 4 SPOTS IF IN FORM BUT WILL NOT POSE A PROBLEM FOR 5 WITH HIS BETTER SECTIONALS
8) FLANEUR : FORM **
HR 76.01 (EXTRAPOLATED FROM 1700M ) ....SF 1:39.8 (SF AT 1700M IS 1:39.308)
SECTIONALS 25.953/24.502 = 50.455 (1700M SECTIONALS ARE 25.59/24.384 = 49.974)
WILL GET TE RAILS RUN AND LEAD IN SLOW PACE RACE....CAN GET 4TH SPOT IF ALLOWED TO DICTATE THE PACE AND  IF FELLOW FRONT RUNNER CITY LAD DOES NOT PRESS HIM HARD....WILL BATTLE WITH 6 FOR QUARTET SPOT....POOR IN LAST 2 RUNS