STARSTATZ RACING 22APRIL 2011

This is a replica of my post on Singapore Nap but I suggest a big bet on Waikato (1)after receiving confirmation that 1 is in form. Suggest a cover bet on Mr Raffles(8) of 40% and a strong fct /pft on 1 #8-9 and a smaller cover on 8#1-9 .This shall not count in my Starstatz tally as I did not tip the whole race card.Singapore Nap
22 Apr 2011

Mr Raffles





RACE 10 KRANJI STAKES A

1400M SHORT COURSE D

STAKES $125,000

BACKGROUND INFORMATION

With 5 placings in the last 5 outings Singapore Nap has dropped to 9th in the Winner 21 Strike Rate Challenge with 8 wins/11placings from 31 selections. Starstatz Racing is still in the lead by default with the best strike rate of 19 wins from 64 selections at 29.69% . Andrew Frost might yet prove me wrong by edging in 1st place with 89 from 307 races at 28.99% but is slighltly behind Starstatz in overall Internet/Print Media Challenge . Hui Liang is in overall 3rd on 88 from 37 selections at 28.66% . Tan Thean Loon with 87 from 307 selections is 4th at 28.34% and Punters Way is overall 5th with 86 from 307 selections.

Instead of making today’s selection I have opted to be cautious (after 4 successive specials running a place instead of winning) despite my confidence on a strong each way bet on Mr Raffles who is 4th in the favourite line

I am still taking a break (for another week at least) on my blog on www.starstatzracing.blogspot.com as I am preparing the legwork for my re-entry into Travel Agency operations complete with a Premium Concierge Service for CIP passengers and will also include Singapore’s 1st travel agency franchise if the project takes off!



OVERVIEW

This race is a 3 way battle with an ageing favourite Waikato who will certainly make a strong attempt at a double because as a 7 year old he can’t take a breather to fight another days as he does not have too many race days left. The 2nd contender is Mr Raffles who flopped badly into a 7th place 3 length defeat at a unfavourable race distance of 1200M but has the best recent HR and best recent SF drawn wide but should either get the rails run or have Waikato alongside him 2 off the rails and the 3rd is an off pace runner with the 2nd best old HR and top 3 SF credentials. The best HR horse is 10 who last showed up on 15 November 2009 and has been poor over the last 9 runs.

The good to slow(more likely) pace with have 8 trying to get the lead from 1 with no hoper 4 pressing them as the 3rd front runner. On pace runners 6-2 will jump next and off pace runners 7-3-9 following and 10 and 5 will bring up the rear. If we consider his last win HR of 97.9 and SF of 1:23.44 .Waikato does not have the superior figures even with 4 kg apprentice claim and I believe this is where is form at However if you consider his HR of 101.2 when won and SF of 1:22.76 he looks a strong each way chance. If you think the jockey has the skills to take advantage of his 4kg claim you should improve his HR by 2.67 lengths and his SF by 0.532 seconds. 8 has the HR of 110.8 and SF of 1:22.37 and Locus Standi has the best old HR 107.2 at 1200M but a recent HR of 108.47 and SF of !;23.15. In the unlikely the front fight it out for the lead then the Lady Locus Standi might punish them for their arrogance in going fast to ensure a rails run. Mr Raffles will be a good value bet as his likely place dividend will be higher than Waikato’s likely odds on favouritism.

In order my selections are 8-1-9-6-3-7. I am confident I should capture the exotics with just 6 selections instead of the usual 7. The Quadro could be struck with 8-1-9/8-1-9/8-1-9-6-3-7/8-1-9-6-3-7 and I suggest using the same lines for the Tierce and Quartet as well. Go confidently and big on 8#1-9 and an extra bet on 1#8-9 for the forecast and place forecast. I suspect my track watcher would recommend 1 as the main winning chance in this race so go ahead and bet or cover bet if you desire to do so. I should return on Sunday with a confident special 2 and we should add a spice of ginger with our breakfast



Singapore Nap Selection : number 8 Mr Raffles