SINGAPORE NAP -7 APRIL 2013 = STARSTATZ RACING AND 4 OTHER TIPSTERS

Singapore Nap

07 April 2013
Better Life ( X2 )
Race 10 -JBBA Moonbeam Vase - Singapore Group 3
1800M Long Course C
Stakes $200,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS : *** BETTER LIFE
IZZI SELECTS : *LIZARRE(SLIM CHANCES OF WINNING...SO A MINOR THREAT ONLY)
TW SELECTS :*** BETTER LIFE ....TRACKFORM 4-3-5-1
VB SELECTS :*** READY TO STRIKE (PLACE BET ONLY AND VERY CONFIDENT)
BMW SELECTS  :***BETTER LIFE( I CONSIDER BETTER LIFE A SHOO-IN BECAUSE OF THE TERMS OF THE RACE SO IT IS POINTLESS GOING AGAINST HER)
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
I made a critical comment on 05 April as to why a 2000M staying Class 5 race was named after our illustrious Rocket Man when he was our International Group Champion Sprinter. I have since received an explaination from an STC executive that the races were named in chronological order so it was unfortunate that Rocket Man ended up in that particular race.
With the explaination given apologies are certainly in order for the Department in question!

In the full Card Challenge Racing Guide are out in front with a 84 wins from 283 selections for a 30.39% strike rate and 3 Media Tipsters (Xiu Fang, Ma Hui and Mr X ) are in joint 2nd with 82 wins for a 29.68% strike rate.

In the big race Challenge BMW is on 11 wins fro 28 selections for a 30.29% strike rate Ma Chao is on 2nd with 10 wins from same for a 35.71% strike rate and surprisingly Craig Evans is in 3rd with 8 wins from 23 selections for a 34.78 % strike rate. My Flagship blog Starstatz Racing is in joint 4th with Mr X on 9 wins from 28 selections for a 32.14% strike rate and my other blog Singapore Nap is on 6th with 8 wins from 28 selections for a 28.57% strike rate

PREVIEW OF RACE
i believe certain racegoers still have doubts and bias against horses winning when coming back from a break and Better Life has not raced for especially after 147 days but Better Life has a good 1st up record of 3 wins from 4 1st up starts.For this particular reason I strongly believe that Better Life will pay more than the proverbial $6 for a win and pay a figure close to $9 for a win. If this was normal handicap race Better Life would be carrying 60.5kg compared to Nandowra(remains the same) at 57kg Silveron Wings at 45.5kg instead of Better Life at 54.5kg today and Silveron Wings at 51.5kg

Better Life is a shoo-in at the current HR of 107 compared to Lizarre(expected very slow pace will cause him to take the home turn wide thus losing a few lengths in the process) at 104.1 and Ready To Strike at 100 .79 and Black Ice (drawn wider than Nandowra will put him at a disadvantage for 4th spot) at 100.4 and Nandowra at HR 99.87. WIth a likely bonus for being Japanese bred I believe Better Life will get a win bonus if she wins this race and his Sire Smarty Jones if  I remember correctly has won 2 legs of the Triple Crown and her breeding will prove too classy for this average field and humble and affable Takaoka would have primed the Lady to do well 1st up and take the boys to the cleaners.

This race gives our readers a fantastic chance to hit a direct tierce or quartet and my selections in order are 4-5-3-1-2-6.

I recommend a very large bet on 4#3-5 for forecast/place forecast.
and a big bet on tierce with 4#3-5 as cover with a direct larger bet on 4/3/5 direct for the direct tierce and I do expect value as I expect Lizarre ( number 3 to be 2nd favourite).i HAVE SINCE CHANGED MY MIND FROM THE EMAIL i ORIGINALLY SENT TO SPH For the quartet try 4/3-5/3-5/1-2 for multiple tickets and go for an ambitious direct quartet on 4/5/3/1 and hope to hit the jackpot for a mere $2 ticket.
The slow pace will help the cause of Ready To Strike to stave off the the late challenge of Lizarre but the  long Course will give Better Life and Lizarre (3 has 4.83 lengths advanatage on 5 to compensate for travelling wide at the home turn )enough time to rein in Ready To Strike!