Singapore Nap selects Stepitup ( X2 )
21 April 2013
Race 10 Singapore 3YO Classic - Singapore Group 2
1400 M Long Course A
Stakes $350,000
STARSTATZ RACING SELECTS: *** STEPITUP
IZZI SELCTS : *** SUPER NINETYSEVEN
TW SELECTS : ***STEPITUP ...TRACK FORM 1-2-3-10
VB SELECTS : *** SUPER NINETYSEVEN
BMW SELECTS : ***STEPITUP
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Hui Liang of Shin Min put in a sterling top performance of the day with 5 wins on Friday from 9 races.
In the BIG RACE CHALLENGE Ma Chao remains in the lead with 12 wins from 31 selections for a 38.7% strike rate and while BMW is in 2nd with 11 wins from 31 selections for a 35.48% strike rate. Starstatz Racing is in 3rd with 10 wins from same for a 32.26% strike rate and Craig Evans is in 4th with 9 wins from 28 selections for a 32.14% strike rate and Mr X is in 5th with 9 wins from 31 selections for a 29.03% strike rate and Singa pore Nap are in jointn6th winh 8 wins from 31 selections for a 25.81% strike rate.
Today's race revisits the handicapping controversy ...which is more important....Handicap Ratings or Speed Figures(supported by best sectional times and bring STC's website to the level of information provided by HKGJC website.If not Trackus will remain a white elephant used only by a small elite band of experienced Handicappers and insiders like Trainers. It is STC's duty to commission a individual/organisation or publication to produce professional data for the Punters to educate and upgrade their better knowlwdge and understanding of the "Sport of Kings". Even I am a work in progress having recently refined my calculation of sectional times computation which I will show today in comparison of Stepitup and Super Ninetyseven.
If my feedback falls on deaf ears I guess I will reap the benefits of having an edge on the market and perhaps in future write a best seller on Handicapping in Horseracing. I observe with a sense of amusement at Punters Way's antics in producing 1st 200M /1st 300M /1st 400M (by co-incidence only) , 1st 600M/1st 800M and even 1100M sectionals . I hope they will explain to their readers one day on how to use these various sectionals in helping them achieve better successs but their relative poor win tally speaks for itself
PREVIEW OF RACE BY SINGAPORE NAP
The pace will be fast with 4 front running types in in 3-6-5-8 and I do expect an improved performance from Simple Pleasures (one win from one 2nd up start) after coming back from a spell) to cement his 3rd spot behind the 2 main protagonists ...Stepitup and Super ninetyseven.
Let's examine the HR credentials of the top 7...
1) 79.5....SF1:22.87 ...SECTIONALS 25.893/22.113 = 48.006 ( DESPITE HIS OVERALL SLOWER SECTIONALS COMPARED TO 2...HIS FINAL 400M BURST PORTENDS TO HIS ABILITY TO OVERWHELM 2 IF PUSH COMES TO SHOVE AND HE IS TESTED FULLY)....HIS SUPERIOR HR FIGURES AND HIS SUPERIOR STRIKE RATE OF 5 WINS FROM 6 STARTS IS A FURTHER POINTER TO BEAT 2 TO THE WINNING POST
2) 69.5....SF 1:21.496 SECTIONALS 24.777/22.192 = 46.969...inferior strike rate of 4 wins from 7 races hints that he is not as classy as 1
3) 71.87
4) 71.62 (disadvantaged by wide barrier draw)
7) 65.5
10) 67.87
13) 70.0.
In order my selections are 1-2-3-13-4-7-10 (drop 10 if on a tight budget).
Play a big bet on Stepitup on win only and play a big bet on forecast /place forecast box on 1#2-3(there is a possibility that 3 can upset 2 as he also has an impressive strike rate of 2 wins from 4 races). Use 1 as the sole banker on the 1st line and 2-3 as key horses on the 2nd line and at least 2-3-13-4-7 on the 3rd and 4th lines and drop 10 if desired for budget reasons
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