28 January 2011

STARSTATZ RACING 28 JANUARY 2011

BACKGROUND INFORMATION INCLUDING QUADRO BET SMART PLAYS WITH THE EMPHASIS ON WINNING DESPITE MAKING ONE ERROR ON THE KEY HORSES....if there are errors in calculation please highlight them to me. Anyway I shall submit an official list to the betting department for verification of bet calculations


You can call me an enigma of a pundit as I am in an intriguing position of being 1st and last in the internet/print media challenge based on my terms of comparing strike rates. First the bad news ...I have yet to break my duck on Singapore Nap with zero wins, 3 placings from 7 selections with only one win on side selection from 7 picks my strike rate is 7 % (1 win from 5 plus 7 selections for a grand total of 14 picks). On the bright side Starstatz Racing had a good outing on 21 January and shared the top performance of the day with 6 wins for a total of 13 wins from 34 races for a strike rate of 38.24 %. It is not a fair comparison using strike rates(if you make a comparison on my strike rate with the total selection my score would be 29.83 wins if I was doing the full card) but at least it is transparent and I have mentioned the barometer by which I am comparing . It is similar to STC presenters going on leave so we can't compare by winnners but by strike rates. I am in a similar position to Mike Walker with his 21.4% but with a 30 plus sting of horses he does not have the numbers to seriously challenge the old stalwarts for the Champion Trainer for season 2011 but he can(like myself) have excellent chances of having the best strike rate for the whole season! My exotic bet tally stands at a loss of $1018 with no action last week.


I shall replicate my last posting on basic Quadro Plays with today;s edition(for comparison purposes) where you can make one error(ie one key horse fails to finish in top 4.


4 box is obviously $2 , 5 box is $10, 6 box is $30 ,7 box is $70(i think this should be the maximum bet even if one has the budget as i think 8 box is extravagant) , 8 box is $140

The formulae is N x (N-1) x (N-2) x (N-3) divided by 24 = answer


One banker + 4 = $8.... + 5 = $20....+6 =$40 ...+7= $70( plus 6 shud be maximum bet even if one has the budget)

The formulae is (N-1) x (N-2) x (N-3) divided by 6 = answer


2 bankers + 3 = $6....+4 = $12....+5 = $20 ....+6 = $30

The formulae is (N-2) x (N-3) divided by 2 = answer


3 bankers + 2 = $4...+3 = $6...+ 4 =$8 .... +5 = $10

(number of extra horses other than the 3 bankers ) x 2 = answer


ADDITIONAL QUADRO BET SMART PLAYS....there are no formulas for these.

shall present 2 styles for calculation purposes


2/5/5/5 or 1-2/ 1-2-3-4-5/ 1-2-3-4-5/ 1-2-3-4-5 = $10 (it seems anything including box with 5 horses is $10 so use the box anyway)..... 2/6/6/6 or 1-2/ 1-2-3-4-5-6 / 1-2-3-4-5-6 / 1-2-3-4-5-6 = $28(anything with 6 horses is close to 6 box or $30) ....2/ 7/ 7/7

or 1-2 / 1-2-3-4-5-6-7 / 1-2-3-4-5-6-7/ 1-2-3-4-5-6-7 = $60.....2/8/8/8 or 1-2/ 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8 / 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8/ 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8 = $110......For all the patterns in this paragraph with 2 bankers you are allowed one failure to score)


3/5/5/5 = $10.... 3/6/6/6 = $30....3/7/7/7 = $68....3/8/8/8 = $130...For all the patterns in this paragraph you are allowed 2 failures from 3 banker selections except for the 5 horse selections


4/ 5/5/5 = $10....4/6/6/6 = $30....4/7/7/7 = $70....4/8/8/8 = $138...For all the patterns in this paragraph you are allowed 2 errors from 4 banker selections except for the 5 horse selection.


3/3/5/5 = $10.... 3/3/6/6 = $24....3/3/7/7 = $44....3/3/8/8 = $70....For all the patterns in this paragraph you are allowed 2 mistakes from your 3 bankers selections except for the 5 horse selection


4/4/5/ 5 = $10...4/4/6/6 = $30...4/4/7/7 = $62... 4/4/8/8 = $106...For all the patterns in this paragraph you are allowed 3 mistakes from your 4 banker selections except for the 5 horse selection.


In summary for those with “ SMALL BUDGETS” I would suggest using the 5 horse box for $10


For medium budgets I recommend using 6 horse box for $30


For big budgets ( recommend to use sparingly for lower class races ...especially Class 5 races and also in races where the pace is expected to be fast) from $40 to $70.

The recommend plays are 1/6/6/6 = $40 (single banker must be in top 4)....2/7/7/7 = $60 ...3/3/7/7 = $44...The other plays are 3/7/7/7 = $68 ....4/4/7//7 = $62 and 7 horse box at $70 .


However my top 2 Quadro bet plays are 3/3/6/6 = $24 and 2/6/6/6 = $28...On the average the payouts are approximately $100 plus with the odds double longshots in the top 4 paying $1000 plus.

My selections today are(no official exotic bets)'-

RACE 1 MEDIUM.... 5-3-8/ 1-11 -12-6

RACE 2 SMALL...4-8/ 3-9-7-6-10

RACE 3 BIG...8-8-1/ 2-5-3-4

RACE 4 medium...6-12/ 1-11-9-7-2

RACE 5 medium 10-11-4/ 8-2-5-3

RACE 6 small...8-3-2/ 11-5-12-10

RACE 7 BIG ...3-7 / 6-5/ 2-9-4...slight change from Singapore Nap

RACE 8 SMALL...8-4-2/ 6-1-10-11

RACE 9 MEDIUM...5-12/ 4-1/ 2-9-6

THERE ARE NO SAFE STAND OUTS TODAY SO BE CAUTIOUS....i WOULD SUGGEST USING THE TOP 2 OR 3 NUMBERS ON THE LEFT OF THE STROKE(/) AS YOUR MAIN BANKERS FOR THE QUADRO BETS.

i AM NOT OFFICIALLY PLAYING THE EXOTICS TODAY BUT WE SHALL POST MORTEM USING THE TOP 2 AS BANKERS AND THE REMAINING 6 BETS AS COMPARISON FOR INTEREST IE FOR TIERCE 2/6/6 AND QUARTET 2/6/6/6. i AM NOT CONFIDENT SO i SHALL NOT PUT IT AS AN OFFICIAL TALLY....GOOD LUCK FOR THE QUADRO BET PLAYS!



race 8

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