REPLICATION OF POST ON SINGAPORE NAP - 19 AUGUST 2012

 I missed the posting dateline on Singapore Nap but I shall count the selection for the Strike Rate Challenge. If it is not posted on the 7naps blog it shall not count in the blog tally but will count if posted.
Singapore Nap 19 Aug 2012

Mr Big

Race 10 Woodlands Handicap - Singapore Group 3

1200M Polytrack

Stakes $200,000

BACKGROUND INFORMATION

Singapore Nap had another 2nd to go 33 wins/16 placings from 70 selections to be on 47.14% strike rate while Starstatz Racing kept pace with Andrew Frost who had the same score of 2 wins to remain 3rd in the full card challenge with 199 wins from 649 selections (30.66%) to be adrift of Andrew Frost by a large margin of 14 wins with 213 wins from maximum for a 32.82% strike rate

PREVIEW OF RACE

This race is a rematch between Yin Xin (YX) and Mr Big(MB) for a difference of a half length loss offset by a 1.5 kg(roughly a one length difference in handicap) compensation in weight carry. I am wary of the "Magic of Moreira" factor and the fact that this time MB is drawn outside of YX but the pace will be good with 3 front runners in 2-3-5 to lead the way. A handicapping maxim to consider is that the beaten horse has tried his best while the winner can still improve. With this in mind I have not made MB a special (X2) bet although I reckon the 2 protagonists will fight it out again but this time it is MB who will now stalk YX.!

The best handicap in this race belongs to Better Be The One at HR 115.5 but it was done at 1000M and BBTO does not have the other factors ike SF and sectionals to support his credentials. Next in handicap is Speedy Cat at HR114.5 but he seems to prefer a longer distance and does not seem as classy as the leading duo but nevertheless is still a threat especially if the pace is fast and furious early with a superior HR/SF and sectionals compared to my pick MB at SF 1:10.21 and sectionals at 47.346 compared to MB at HR 104.12.....SF 1:10.723 and sectionals at 47.369. YX is now at HR111.5....SF 1:10.87 sectionals at 48.056..

In order my selections are 3-2-8-1-5-6-7. I suggest a large forecast bet on 3#2-8 and to use 3#2-8/2-8-1-5-6-7/2-8-1-5-6-7. If cautious you can do a single cover bet on 2-8#3/2-8-1-5-6-7/2-8-1-5-6-7. Play a medium bet on MB on win/place. I suggest a $2 multiple bet on direct trio for 2-3-8 should ensure a value return despite the small returns