STARSTATZ RACING 05 DECEMBER 2010

GoogleBREAKING NEWS ! STARSTATZ RACING has officially scored a record braking Tierce /Quartet of $1458($60 official investment) and $16727($240 official investment with Better Be The One as banker and Future Baby,Northern Lion and Tuxedo Moon making the top 4)in Race 5 (on 03 December 2010. My small budget of $24 and medium budget of $80 failed to score. The fact is the I officially chose to invest in a total; of 8 races and lost in all the races but still showed an overall profit. My 7 selections have stirred a lot of controversy and its fair share of detractors. Of course I have an unfair advantage over the standard 4 selection format and lazy publications still stubbornly sticking to the 3 selection format. My point is that whether you use 5 , 6 or 7 selections(according to your budget) is that playing with only 4 selections leaves the player with no room for error. With at least 5 selections you can still strike the exotics even if one of your selections fails or decides to take a day off for political long term strategic reasons. To prove it was not a fluke is that in season 2009 I set a record breaking Quartet of $25870 and included a bonus of a $3510 tierce. The only difference is that this time it was an official bet but previously it was only a claim that was struck with Big Momoko winning on 21 August 2009 using Big Momoko as banker and using a box on the remaining 6 horses that included Palmston, Sacred and Shen Wong with a budget of $240. My claim to fame was that it was in an email sent to all the senior STC officials and a representative from each official race publication and the Press before the start of Races. This time it is record on my blog at www.starstazracing.blogspot.comand can be verified through my blog archive.

My official investment for tierce(based on 1 banker box with remaining 6 selections ie 1#2-32-4-5-6-7) is $60 x 7 races plus $40 (9 was a late scratching in Race 1)for a total investment of $460. Returns : $1458 . Nett Profit is $999

My official small bet quartet(based on 1 banker box with the next 3 horses ie 1#2-3-4) at $24 per race x 8 races had nil returns for a nett loss of $192. please note if there is a late scratching on the banker than the bet is declared null and void. However if there is a late scratching for one of the remaining horses that the order would move up and the missing horse will be replaced by the next horse in order

My official medium quartet(based on 1 banker with 2 key horses on the 2nd line and the remaining 6 horses other than the banker will be placed on the 3rd and 4th lines ie 1#2-3/2-3-4-5-6-7/2-3-4-5-6-7) of $80 per race x 7 races plus $48(9 was a late scratching in Race 1) had nil returns. My nett loss is $608

My official big bet for quartet was(based on 1 banker box with remaining 6 horses ie 1#2-3-4-5-6-7) of $240 per race X 7 races plus $120(9 was a late scratching in race 1) for a total investment of $1800.Returns : $16727.nett Profit is $14927.

I got off to a flying start and had a couple of near misses that did not count officially but I hope the readers had benefited with good returns on their individual investments on tierce/trio albeit on a more modest budget. For the transparency of profit or loss I will continue to tally only the official bets in each category with a grand total of profit or loss on all bets. My official nett profit is a healthy $15126. This official score I trust will be my best answer to detractors who poured scorn and cold water on my 7 selections and and liken it to BIG SWEEP NUMBERS. I have never suggested to my readers to play 7 numbers box for an outlay of $1680 but I have always emphasised that my tally previously was based on one banker with a box on the remaining 6 selections and to play according to your budget to use 4 (not recommended) ,5 , 6 or 7 selections. Only now I am demarcating the bets officially and tracking the tally to see if I can show a profit.

The purpose of this exercise is to show that our smart investments with diligent research and superior methodologies is a much better way to invest than lucky numbers which seem lucky only after results are known or based on favourite colour of jockey silks. In time when the racing market matures I hope the Government will allow the introduction of licensed Horse Racing Reit or Horse Racing Investment Club for members only to make investments guided by a Mentor or Guru or experienced Horse racing Consultant much like the Property Reit in the Housing Market. Of course strict s=conditions have to be applied with high paid up capital and certain trading limits per race and per day basis

Just a note on close misses that did not count...in Race 1 my 1^st selection flopped but my 2^nd selection won...if I had put my 2^nd selectionas as my 1^st pick I would have bagged the tierce of $153 and quartet of $5176 and in Race 8 My top 3 made the tierce of $1143 but it did not score as it was in the wrong order(a $12 box tierce would have made the order irrelevant) as it is only counted if my banker wins. Although these are misses I am trying to make a point... a selection made by a exotic bet specialist backed by good research and sound methodoolgies like use of handicap data, pace of race analysis, bloodstock analysis and to a lesser extent speed figure analysis is much better than picking lucky numbers of favourite colours of jockey silks

Some publications are still stubbornly sticking to the practice of 3 horse selection per race for all their tipsters and providing Quartet advice of 4 selections from only one tipster. Are they suffering from space constraints? I think not! The New Paper used to do 3 selections but revamped and improved it to a 4 horse selection this year. I hope the rest of the publications follow this example and move on instead of dwelling on out of date practices to cater for the greater good and interests of their readers! How on earth are you going to strike a Quartet with only 3 selection? Are these publications catering to the whims and idiosyncrasies and fancies of the individual editors despite feedback from the public and this column in particular?. Are these publications not supposed to help the reader towards a winning day at the races. Since STC has offered the quartet bet shouldn't they are least offer a minimum of 4 selections?. How is the standard of local racing going to improve if this state of affairs continues unchecked. The Vice Presidents in charge of these editors are just as culpable for allowing these editors so much power that they continue running it like a fiefdom.

With 5 race days to go , Racing Guide scored 2 wins and Starstatz Racing scored 1 win and the battle for top internet/print media tipster is all over bar the shouting. Only the winner21 challenge will go to the wire. The leader board now reads Racing Guide on 244 wins, Starstatz Racing on 228 wins and Xiu Fang is 3^rd on 216 wins...the current leader in the Winner21 Challenge.

I had 5 invest bets that failed for a nett loss of $25 My total invest bet loss is now at $131 ($534 from $665 investment) or R.O.I of 0.80. I had one win from my single VAL-bet at $23 for a nett profit of $18 . It was the 2^st time my VAL -bets showed a profit My return is $72 from 45 bets or investment of $225 or R.O.I. of 0.32

There was an invest bet on Singapore Nap that failed and the tally is now at minus 2.4 or $103 returns from an outlay of $115 and the . Singapore Nap VAL-BET remains at nil returns from 3 bets.or minus 3.

In previous posts up to November the clock on this blog was set on minus 8 hours G.M.T time. From 03 December I have reset the computer clock based on Plus 8 hours GMT time. My basic computer knowledge is poor so I hope the readers will forgive me for this oversight and I do apologize for any inconvenience caused.

For a consultancy fee I am willing to teach my members the theories on compilation of handicap data and will be willing to share this data and provide advice on race days for a fee to be agreed upon. Other subjects include how to do a simple Speed Map, how to compile speed figures, where to research for bloodstock analysis, Where to get information on how to see condition of horses in the paddock, the compilation of sectional times based on the 1st 400M and the last 400M, how to compile form reports without hiring a professional track watcher. Trainer patterns eg Marcus Basil to date has not prepared any of his horses to win 1st up while Freedman has done it quite often as seen in the Race 5 example on 03 December with "Better Be The One " who I believe will win a Cup race soon provided he does not meet Better Than Ever and Rocket Man on WFA terms. He can win a Cup race if the handicap terms are favourable or when these 2 are overseas and not earmarked for the same races. He is by the Golden Slipper Sire" More Than Ready"(whose progeny have continued to dominate the Golden Slipper races in recent years) and will adapt easily to the turf as well and should be useful as a Sprinter over the short sprints and he has the speedy Snippets(sire of Pins and Grandsire of Waikato). His personal record has not reflected it but given time he may extend up to 1400M and possibly 1600M given his Southern Halo Grandsire bloodline. As a 4 Year Old he may eventually grow to give Rocket Man a run for his money in the Kris Flyer Sprint next year and vie with Rocket Man for best local horse in this event.

Only the races tagged medium or big will count towards my exotic bet tally in the 4 categories of tierce bet, small quartet bet, medium quartet bet and big quartet as described above. If there is further rain watch for the on pace / front running track bias . However if the weatherman is spot on there will be no rain today. Observe the early races for any detectable track bias especially in slow pace races. The pace factor was crucial in Race 7 on 03 December won by Escamonda and the 2 sole front runners(the other was Superb) made the forecast combination for that race and poor Rosie aka New Rose Wood got going too late when the die was cast and only did her best work when the outcome was settled. Well we can't win them all! I can only console myself with this official tally of this theoretical exotic bet. If the rain stays away as expected do increase your bets if you are showing a profit as this will be a good day for serious horse investments

My selections for today are:-

RACE 1...PACE SLOW....MEDIUM BET.......FAVOURITE 7 MAY FAIL DUE BEST OLD HR BUT RECENT HR RELATIVELY POOR...WEAK FAVOURITE....6/4--3/9-1-7-10

RACE 2...PACE VERY SLOW TO SLOW (MANY UNKNOWN RACING STYLES).....MEDIUM BET .....

2/12-10/ 8-1-4-5...INVEST/VAL BET DUE 12 IS LIKELY FAVOURITE

RACE 3...PACE VERY SLOW.....MEDIUM BET...10/ 6-5/ 1-2-7-4...VAL-BET BEST LONGSHOT OF THE DAY

RACE 4...PACE FAST.....BIG BET....8/6-1/ 11-2-7-9.....INVEST BET

RACE 5...PACE SLOW.....MEDIUM BET...10/7-4/8-3-11-6...SUGGEST TOKEN COVER BET ON 7 FOR DUTCH BETTING

RACE 6...PACE FAST.....MEDIUM BET...4/6-2/9-10-5-1

RACE 7....PACE FAST...MOST OPEN RACE OF THE DAY....SMALL BET.....5/8-2/10-1-11-4.....

MOST OPEN RACE OF THE DAY

RACE 8 ...PACE VERY FAST.....MEDIUM BET .....9/ 5-6/ 11-1-2-4....VAL BET...WILD LONGSHOT OF THE DAY WITH GOOD OLD HANDICAP ON 22JAN 2010...FURIOUS PACE WILL SUIT HIS OFF PACE STYLE....BEST QUARTET BET OF THE DAY

RACE 9...PACE GOOD.....BIG BET.....6/1-3/4-5-9-10 .....INVEST/VAL BET...1 IS UNDOUBTEDLY THE CLASS ACCT IN THE RACE BUT 6 HAS BEST HR / BEST SF/ BETTER SECTIONAL TIMES BASED ON WEIGHT CARRIED....SAFE BET FOR WIN/PLACE BETTING...BEST FORECAST OF THE DAY

RACE 10...PACE GOOD.....BIG BET ....BEST BET OF THE DAY....NOTE CHANGES IN SELECTION FROM SINGAPORE NAP DUE AMMENDMENT BASED ON JUST ACQUIRED TRACK WATCH REPORT ....ONLY THIS SELECTION WILL COUNT IN EXOTIC BET TALLY....7/10-3/ 8-2-6-4...INVEST BET

RACE 11...PACE VERY SLOW.....MEDIUM.....BEST VALUE FORECAST OF THE DAY FOR TWO CLASS 4 DROPPERS ....1/ 2-6/ 4-10-9-13 ...INVEST/VAL BET...BEST TRIO BET OF THE DAY USING THE TOP 5 BUT WILL NOT COUNT IN EXOTIC BET TALLY