I have received some flak from my detractors like Desmond Tang , the Poly Lecturer and Horses'Mouth aka MR Zhong aka from a racing publication(but too terrified to reveal which one) regarding my use of 7 horses.
Let me recap :- only the 1st pick is used for the internet/print media challenge unless there is a scratching then the 2nd pick will count towards the tally. For the record Racing Guide is on 242 wins and Starstatz Racing is in a comfortable 2nd position with 227 and Xiu Fang is in 216 and supposedly Premier publication is on 203 wins a good 24 wins behind my after burner.I have been labelled nowhere compared to the other publications but save for Racing Guide I have asked them repeatedly what is their yardstick of measurement and they cannot give me a decent reply.
To address this particular issue of 7 selections despite my repeated explainations which my detractors are still unwilling to accept. My reason is that you cannot attack a quartet with 3 selections which some Mandarin papers are still
adamant on sticking to despite my feedback. My question ...how can a reader strike a quartet with only 3 selections? Even with 4 selections I find it very difficult as it means there is no room for error and despite making only one mistake my chance of striking the quartet is gone. Hence my introducation of 7 selections :- always using the 1st pick as the banker and the rest according to your budget as a guidance. I sincerely believe that these detractors with their so called lucky numbers are always lucky after the results are known and never before the race starts. These selections are meant for the rookie horseplayer to follow blindly of for the experienced to make last minute adjustments due to state of track, scratchings or last minute severe drop or increase in horse body weight. The home work is already done for you eliminating the horses whose pedigree is unsuited for the race distance or because the horse has a poor handicap rating etc.
For the remaining 6 race days for the season I shall indulge in calculating whether my 7 selections make money or not using this format for assessment. I shall place a standard bet on races tagged medium or big in confidence and skip races marked small in confidence. I shall use for tierce the 1st pick as banker with a box on the remaining horses (in the event of scratching of my banker the bet is declared void but in the event of a scratching on the remaining horses the bet will be adjusted and calculated accordingly) ie the tierce bet will be 1#2-3-4-5-6-7 for a standard budget of $60. For the quartet i will have a standard small budget of $24 for 1#2-3-4 ,a medium budget of $80 for 1/2-3/2-3-4-5-6-7/2-3-4-5-6-7(ie my 2nd and 3rd picks will always be my key horses on the 2nd line) and a big budget of $240 for 1#2-3-4-5-6-7 . Of course i do not expect my readers to always follow so rigidly if they have the benefit of last minute data and they have the experience to amend slightly according to their respective individual budgets . Sometimes we will strike the tierce but the dividend may turn out to be less than $60 but it does happen and it comes with the territory.
I believe tonight will see mostly 1st favourites and 2nd favourites with only the odd longshot surprising . The pace of the race will be a strong deciding factor today with the rain helping front runners and on pace runners except in fast pace races. My selections are:-
RACE 1 MEDIUM...8/2-3/11-9-4-5...INVEST BET...PACE VERY FAST
RACE 2 medium....2/3-11/ 6-10-8-1 ...INVEST BET...PACE SLOW
RACE 3 small...4/6-9/ 58-1-11...PACE VERY FAST
RACE 4 BIG...7/6-1/ 3-10-4-11 INVEST BET...PACE SLOW
RACE 5 MEDIUM ... 6/7-5/ 1-8-2-3 VAL-BET ...BEST VALUE BET OF THE NIGHT...PACE VERY FAST
RACE 6 BIG...10/8-3/5-6-1-4...INVEST BET...PACE VERY SLOW
RACE 7 BIG ...8/3-5/4-12-2-9...INVEST BET ...PACE SLOW
RACE 8 MEDIUM ...8/2-7/5-1-3-10...PACE FAST
RACE 9 MEDIUM...4/10-7/ 5-1-3-8...PACE VERY FAST
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