STARSTATZ RACING - 03 JANUARY 2010

I did par for my personal targets with a 4 wins / 3 placings from 10 races on opening day ie a win strike rate of 40% and and a win place rate of 70%. My actual win target is a more modest 30 % to 35% for the season..It was noteworthy I achieved my target of higliting the main chances with a no miss score of all the winners from 4 selections(all winners actually came from my top 3 selections. Off course for the media challenge only my 1st selection will count towards the tally but if scratched my 2nd selection will count. Even if you do not like my 1st selections because of short odds or a change in factors you can still find value or longshot gems in my remaing selections as proven on the 1st day. Let's see if I can continue this dual target of doing well on 1st selections to keep up my challenge on the readers while assisting the reader in higlighting the main chances.

Kudos to all the 6 print media tipsters(details mentioned below in copy of 7n aps posting) who achieved a 50% strike. I apologise for not doing my profile on opening day but my new blog is still a work in progress and improvements will be done in the coming weeks to make this a premier racing blog(not just with good top 5 scores in the media challenge) in Singapore with an abundance of masterclass professional guidance and information that will educate the mindset of a punter into a judicious horse investor just as my mentor Mr Benny Ortega has proven in his retirement investments in horse racing. Horse racing is a akin to the stock market but albeit a slightly more sophisticated animal. With a sound methodology and use of handicapping tools , dilligent research (not just the last 6 runs) Horse racing can prove to be more fruitful than 4D and Toto as the winning chances are better if one knows what they are doing or are guided by a more experienced. I am constantly trying to improve myself by reading more books on scouring the various internet websites for better insights into racing. I hope I can build this website to be the last stop before you go to the races. Today should be another good day for most tipsters with some races having only 2 serious chances to consider.I will use the 2 strokes ie // method to separate the serious chances. So concentrate on playing only the horses on the left of the 2 strokes.Here is a list of my selections for the main chances. For the complete list of 7 for exotic bet play and late mail service(by email/sms or twitter) do drop me an email enquiry and I will respond. My email address is www.insiders111@yahoo.com.sg Do concentrate maked medium or big as an indication of the confidence level.

RACE 1 OPEN RACE....EVEN MY TOP 4 CHOICES MAY NOT WIN..SMALL ...OBLIVION...2-11/ 4-5//...PACE VERY SLOW...I HAVE NO DOUBTS THAT 2 CAN TAKE THE DISTANCE AND IS THE MOST CLASSY HORSE IN THIS FIELD BUT 11 HAS THE BEST HR AND SF

RACE 2 BIG...ESTEEM POWER...7/6-2// 1...PACE VERY SLOW...CLEAR ON HANDICAP RATINGS AND SPEED FIGURE

RACE 3 MEDIUM...DORADO JOY...8-1 / 4 // 6...PACE SLOW...BEST LONGSHOT OF THE DAY...SUGGEST EQUAL OR MEDIUM COVER ON 1 AS CONTRARY TO MARKET OPINION I AM CONFIDENT OF 1'S STAYING BLOODLINES UP TO 2000M THROUGH HIS SIRE'S DAM AND DAMSIRE EVEN THOUGH HIS SIRE AND DAM ARE MILERS..DORADO JOY HAS THE BEST HANDICAP RATINGS AND SPEED FIGURE BUT IS TRAINED BY ROOKIE TRAINER IN HIS 1ST SEASON. 4 IS THE CURRENT MARKET FAVOURITE AND CAN STILL WIN WITH A BETTE BARRIER DRAW COMPARED TO 1...SHOULD BE CLOSE
RACE 4 BIG...DENNYCRANE...1-11 /7 // 4...PACE SLOW...BEST VALUE BET OF THE DAY...THE ADDITION OF BLINKERS WOULD HELP IMPROVE HIS WINNING CHANCES

RACE 5 BIG...SWAGGER...3-10 / 2 // 9...PACE GOOD TO FAST...10 CAN UPSET IF PACE IS HOT AND THE APPRENTICE CLAIM MIGHT JUST HELP FOR HIM TO RUN CLOSE OR PPOSSIBLY UPSET...TOKEN COVER BET RECOMMEND ON 10 BUT I STILL PREFER 3

RACE 6 SMALL .. BOMBARDIER...3-5/ 8 // 1...PACE GOOD TO FAST...FAIRLY OPEN RACE AS MY 1ST CHOICE HAS BAD BARRIER DRAW BUT IS MOST CLASSY HORSE IN THIS RACE

RACE 7 SMALL...THAT'S CASH 10-5 / 6 // 11...PACE VERY SLOW...TOKEN COVER ON 5 IF CAUTIOUS

RACE 8 BIG...LAMBORGHINI FLAME ...4-7 / 6 // 3...PACE FAST...BEST CLASS HORSE BUT 7 HAS BETTER HR AND SF

RACE 9 MEDIUM...ESCAMONDA...2-7/ 3// 1...PACE VERY SLOW...CAN UPGRADE TO BIG IF DESIRED AS CONFIRMED BY TRACK REPORT IN GOOD CONDITION

RACE 10 MEDIUM...DIPLOMATIC STRIKE .4-5 / 2 // 1...PACE SLOW...4 HAS BEST SF , 5 HAS BEST HANDICAP AND HAS WON A GRP 3 1100M RACE IN AUSTRALIA ON YIELDING TRACK ...CONSIDER 5 STRONGLY AS EQUAL COVER IF IT RAINS

RACE 11 BIG ...COLLECT THE CASH...4 / 7 // 5 / 9......PACE GOOD TO FAST...BEST BET OF THE DAY..

Here is a copy of my 7naps posting.

SINGAPORE Race 9 Kranji Stakes A – 1600M long course B – Stakes $125,000
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
What a great start to the new season for the print media tipsters with no less than 6 tipsters scoring 5 wins each. (50% strike rate) . They were Hui Liang, Zheng Liang and Xiu Fang from Shin Min, Punters Way , Danny Khoo from The Newpaper and Zheng Qiang from Wan Bao. Both the internet media tipsters Starstatz (yours truly) and ex – jockey Mr HS Chan (from Sagacity) had a more modest 4 wins. It is good to see Danny Khoo among the leading pack again. I predict that the Media(both print and internet will be more competitive) Tipster Challenge will be inspired by the English Premier League and be more competitive this year and the winner would have to break the 30% strike rate to be Champion and they would need to break my record of 240 wins to be the overall Media Champion Tipster. I can attribute the fine start to the new broom sweeps clean syndrome to the new season as we will all start from an even slate or perhaps the bosses have pushed for a better result this season. Whatever the reason may be I can only state the maxim that transparency (make the scores public) and more competition will raise the bar on standards least we become complacent...this will encourage the tipsters to do better. I do hope the STC Broadcasting joins in the fray and I shall keep track of the scores in my new blog at www.starstatzracing.blogspot.som . I shall limit my comments on the full card media challenge to a monthly update and concentrate on my 7naps posting.
Despite my cautious start I jumped well and started with a winner on 7naps. Some people may comment it is only a $9 favourite but my reply is that as tipsters we are obliged to look for the winner for our readers...no matter the odds. Even if the favourite wins we can find value in using the favourite as our banker for the other exotic bets and when appropriate have the courage in our convictions to pick the value bet or longshot at the appropriate time. To play favourites or to play wild longshots in every race as a system is a fast track to disaster.. When reading 7naps you may not agree on my 1st choice but I do assure with the professional data provided you the reader can get better results than me due to last minute information on body weight of horses and condition in paddock. As an example in my blog on 01 January I had all the winners(some at pretty good value) in my sights within my top 3 from 4 selections.. As an example if you were not keen on the odds on favourite in Race 3 you could have played my 2nd choice Master Key which paid handsomely at $59//$13. Use my top choices as a guide before making your final decision as my 1st selection may turn up on race day grossly overweight!
OVERVIEW
In a recent televised interview with Escamonda's Trainer Mr Shaw he seemed to downplay Escamonda's chances by indicating he is not fully ready while not discounting the possibility of the horse winning. . The media tipsters are not convinced and most of us have made him our 1st choice. It is not indicated in the main media publications but this is not a replica of the unfortunate Jabal Tarik who won his Group 1 race at a longer distance. The books don't show it as it was not in his last 6 runs but Escamonda has won a Group 2 race at 1600M. I did not manage to find out if he won 1st up or not(if you have this information do upgrade and go for a big bet!. However with a strike rate of almost 50% I am willing to take my chances with his 6 wins from 13 starts record. His recent performances in trials are mixed but mainly favourable. I am no expert on looks but his galloping action in “Winning Workouts “l ooked good and the horse's ears were pricked and alert. With his Mr Prospector bloodlines.he can handle a wet track if rain falls as expected in the afternoon If .my research is correct he is not just a AWT horse but has won on turf tracks in Argentina.
The pace of the race is very slow with Escamonda the sole front runner with his stablemates Mr Line and Win In jumping next as on pace runners. They will provide a covering job and will make it difficult for horses to psss this wall and they will have to go at least 3 wide before the home turn to have a decent look at the front runner. . Off the rest the closer Teskara will jump last with the rest of the off pace runners in between. Being a 4 year old this is not an over the hill Group1 winner at 2400M but a genine Derby prospect. Even if we take the Trainers comments wholeheatedly a half fit Class act is better than an average class 1 galloper as Group 1 races are markedly superior in standard.
If you find Escamonda too risky and unknown I would suggest you go for Breadwinner rather than Teskara but the winner should be from this trio. As Breadwinners HR and SF have turned in his favour despite his last loss to Teskara by a head and is better of by 5.5 kg for that defeat.. As an alternative go for win only on Escamonda as he will win if ready.. You the reader have the option of deciding after checking their respective conditions in the paddock.
In order my selections are 7-2//3/1///5-4
I am facing a software glitch so I shall skip the handicap data for this week but provide the form report only.

1) Slow Waltz **
2)Escamonda ***
3Teskara ***
4) Mr Line *
5)Stealth **
6)Win In *
7)Breadwinner ***
8)Book of Kells X form
KEY
*** excellent form
** good form
* average form
X poor form
Singapore Nap selection : Escamonda

Next Singapore Nap 08 January 2010

Supplied in Singapore by Patrick Khoo