STARSTATZ RACING 02 OCTOBER 2011

For today I shall give up my Fund Manager Trial Application which was very successful and if launched in reality I passed the test with flying colours by avoiding the winner in almost all((all if you downgrade the fat and overweight Alacarte who was clearly not in the market with the 3rd pick Paulinho being upgraded as I did stipulate that he must drop by approximately 5kg which did not happen))the races . Despite officially putting only putting 3 wins on the board I covered the winners on the exotics with stipulated Dutch betting in most of the races. A detailed post performance analysis is featured in my Singapore Nap posting which may not happen for today as I had missed the posting deadline but I shall keep my fingers crossed. In the event of no posting the score will not count on Singapore Nap but I shall take the outcome...whatever the result in my strike rate challenge which has no dateline as long as it is posted before the race starts as anybody can be wise after the event.

I was fascinated by the comments and impressive work of Matthew Jones whom I rate very well for his diction and well researched comments even though he may not be a top rated tipster but he acquits himself creditably with value picks. His presentation and commentaries are like a breath of fresh air well respected in the racing fraternity , forums and racing circles. I particularly echo his comments on Track Talk regarding "we don't have many mare races...we should have more.

I wonder what happen to my First Love...Lady Archer owned by Malcolm Thwaites and my girlfriend asked me "how come there is only one white horse (we did place a win bet on her)running? She romped home by more than lengths (closer to 20 lengths if my memory is correct. My next fond association with the opposite sex was a Group 1 wiinning filly called Zirna by Deputy Governor/Riverly Lass who produced foals by Danzero and Starcraft whose offspring Crafty Irna(by Starcraft) has gone on to win a Group 3 blacktype stakes race. With the path trodden by Streisand now called Torch (more to come from the useful progeny Clint) and our famous duo of Jolies' Shinju and Mexican Rose STC should plan ahead next season to create a artificial high class breeding industry although we lack the fields and meadows of Australia and New Zealand. Through the direct or shared ownership of these fillies we can have the chance to produce and own future Champions and Crafty Irna has proven that local dreams can come through. Besides having more fillies and mares races we could provide more incentives for mares owned by STC owners and give them special homebred(in a sense of local owned) races and bonuses for winning races to encourage this new direction to greater heights as owners take direct control of the breeding process instead of just buying from ready to run sales....who knows we could find our next Rocket Man!

I read wth trepidation Craig Brennan's tip on Better Than Ever in today's Panasonic Kranji Mile. Let's hope my fears are not justified and it is just Laxon's payback tip for the debacle interview on Ace Aliado who I believe may win a race (given time and with distant hopes)but will never reach his true potential before he broke down.
As my reaction to the ST advertorials my late mail advice is to do Dutch betting and cover an equal amount on Speed Baby...just in case my fears materialise! If it rains at Kranji do bet more on Speed Baby

Today's races are more difficult compared to last Friday but there are gems to be collected especially in the latter half of the card and Moreira particularly should outdo (or at least equal ) his haul on Friday. Do be cautious and bet seriously on races tagged medium or big. I believe most Media Tipsters including myself will struggle to hit 4 or 5 winners so procced with caution and let's hope Moreira delivers as well as our local Champion in Japan!

For today I shall abandon the Bagman/fund Manager perspective but as a bonus for my loyal fans I shall provide more than the standard 4 selections for exotic bet aficiandos(use the 1st 4 for direct comparison with other local media Tipsters).For exotic bets do a single banker unless I tag the race as Dutch betting. If this is so then use the 1st 2 picks as banker on the 1st line and drop the 7th pick in your exotics>

My selections are:-

RACE 1 MEDIUM.... 11-6-5-1///10-7-4

RACE 2 SMALL...2-8-3-9///5-10-11...DUTCH BET

RACE 3 SMALL....6-1-5-4///7...DUTCH BET

RACE 4 BIG....5-1-8-10///14-6-16

RACE 5 BIG...2-6-9-10///5-4-8

RACE 6 MEDIUM....4-3-2-9///7-1-8...DUTCH BET

RACE 7 SMALL....6-3-7-1///8-4-5...DUTCH BET

RACE 8 BIG...5-1-7-3///2-4-10

RACE 9 MEDIUM....2-1-5-4///8-9-11....DUTCH BET

RACE 10 MEDIUM...2-4-6-1///5-3-9...DUTCH BET

RACE 11 BIG...6-7-5-8///2-9-3....SHOO-IN BET OF THE DAY

RACE 12 BIG...10-11-1-2///9-8-7....BEST BET OF THE DAY

Singapore Nap
02 October 2011

Rocket Man X 2

Better Than Ever


RACE 4 THE SPRINTER'S STAKES- INTERNATIONAL GROUP 1-JAPAN

HANSHIN - 1200M TURF

STAKES JAPANESE YEN 197600,000

RACE 10 PANASONIC KRANJI MILE- SINGAPORE GROUP 1

1600M LONG COURSE A

STAKES $500,000

BACKGROUND INFORMATION

With Media Tipsters like Tan Thean Loon who hit 7 winners on Friday(almost broke my joint record if Kaiser had won.) and the ultra consistent Andrew Frost it is time we
have a media tipster and even a jockey challenge (similar to HKG).

What we don't need is the saga of Don't Tell The Wife and The Tall Tale on "Tell A Tale, the irrerevant and disrespectful posting on Clear For Action to do well
in the Panasonic Kranji Mile. Even the owner will probably waste more than $10($5 win/$5 place which some owners do as a habit when their horse run) on the tote.With his ratings difference of 44 points I will be surprised if Clear For Action makes any impact on the 4 Quartet positions much less in winning the race. As the Track Talk boys have commented that despite being a promising type his time will be next year as he rises through the classes. The Straits Times advertorials have compounded their ill -planned postings by writing a non-commital post on Friday without clearly defining their top 4 choices in order. I quote Andrew Frost who said on Track Talk on Wednesday night...."that's what we are paid
for...to have an opinion" I will add...If you can't take the heat and have an opinion go and take a holiday and reassess your posture on postings. I am glad to report after a slight delay(at what time I felt STC was indifferent to my complaint on Don't Tell The Wife) that STC have positively responded and have assured me that they will review the performances of the writers in the Straits Times advertorial team and see if there is an improvement starting from next week onwards. I hope they have better luck in selecting the winning horse for the Straits Times advertorials. Perhaps the gu.ys should consult a fengshui expert as in the past one of them picks a winner but the losing horse gets picked for the bold headlines. While on these tack on improvements I suggest advertising support be given to tutorials on how to make use of the Trackus system and the employment of sectional times as a handicapping tool. On the subject of improvements the welfare of th
we racegoer should take precedent over horse Owners and Trainers who have a weak excuse in not supporting the implementation of pre-race day weighing in of horses. A jockey and a Media Tipster Challenge(hope I am invited ) will be an added bonus while we are on the subject of further improvements

My experioment on Starstaz Racing on my application to be a Fund Manager for an overseas centre in Hong Kong or Australia was an official success and I was able within the 1st 2 picks (Idid recommend Dutch betting in most races) to score on 9 out of 10 races. I had a condition on my 2nd pick in Race 7 that the body weight of Alacarte must drop approximately 5 kg(he dropped by only 2kg and the tote of $100 plus was an indication that the smart money was not on . On race day as a late mail selection I upgraded Paulinho to 2nd choice as a consequence.If the bodyweight was known before selection I would have had a perfect score as a bagman. On the investment side I matched Tan Thean Loon's performance in a different manner. I believe that besides Mr X (I take my hat off to applaud his company and his feat in having to tip the apprentice claimer J Farrok whom I had explained in my big bet advice that he had the experience of bringing in 19 winners in Singapore, South Africa and Australia with the winning ride on Good Boss who paid $57/$9 which is my record longshot for this year. I must thank the teacher in my remedial class for highlighting this tip and myself and Mr X for the courage in tipping this winner in Race 3In my post on Starstaz racing I had suggested Dutch betting in most races and I achieved a direct forecast hit in races 1,3,4,5,7(if allowed to drop overweight Alacarte),9. I also managed to hit the tierces using 2 bankers as I have suggested in Races 1,2,3,4,5,7,9 and 10. The quartet was achieved in Races 1 ,2 3,4, 5, 7 and 9. I concede that some races were losing proposittions with the top 2 favourites coming in 1st and 2nd but the returns Despite only scoring 3 wins , I was a winner (despite losing money on some tierce/quartet payouts) with the higlhight being the forecast of $18 ,tierce of $142 and the quartet of $1184 in Race 3 and the forecast of $14 , tierce of $230 and quartet iof $756 in Race 4.
Tipping feats like Tan Thean Loon's and my feats should be highlighted to show that on a good day racing investments can pay good returns. As a bonus for Staartstaz Racing I
PROVIDED THE DIRECT FORECAST/TIERCE AND QUARTET IN RACE 9 which paid $5, $19 and $94(not bad for $2 investments or even if you box the quartet for $24).

I shall skip the strike rate tally till next week but I can confirm that Singapore Nap is still in the lead with 26 wins/23 placings from 78 selections for a 33.33% I shall endevour to score above this figure by the end of the season.!

PREVIEW OF RACE 4
Not without good reasons our local champion is currently rated the 2nd best sprinter in the World to the coy stay at home Black Caviar.His running style strength and barrier draw will be suited to his on pace running style where he will stalk the leaders. His closest rated rival is actually at a disadvantage despite being drawn in barrier 1.In order my selections are 5-1-8-10-14-6-16. I suggest use 5 as a lone banker with confidence and all the remaining horses in the remaining lines but use 1-8-10 as key horses on the 2nd line if you are on a budget. The only negative is the cold weather but I believe Shaw has made him accustomed to the cold weather and the lack of home ground advantage is compensated by the experience of jockey Coetzee.

PREVIEW OF RACE 10

The media sentiment has fallen on Speed Baby and I will not discount his winning chances but the wide barrier draw has dampened his chances and Clear For Action
will not feature in the top 4 of any decent media tipster worth his salt!
I do not doubt the track reports that Better Than Ever is not the horse he was before he went to Dubai in March this year. I discount his last run when he trouble wide
out throughout and to compound the matter Iheard a rumour that the Owner connections were not even in town(perhaps a busy work schedule) and a neck loss to hot favourite Speed Baby is compensated(1.5 Lengths disadvantage for Speed Baby) by an advantageous draw for BTTE. The way I see it I am willing to take my chances especially if BTTE gives up the favourite tag. I am counting on a few conditions to prevail before i put a medioum bet on BTTE.The weather forecast is showers with thunder but my weatherman gave me a tip that the heavy rainfall will be in Jurong and hopefully give Kranji a miss. I have a tip for those in the Owners stand...look out for the Big Boss of Jupiter Stables to confirm that BTTE will giive it his best shot(actually a big slice of the $500,000 pie is reason enough incenmtive for Saimee and BTTE to keep their minds on the job. I have another pre-race condition ...if it does not rain and Sen or Laxon does not get interviewed (brings bad luck)you can upgrade BTTE to a medium bet.(upgrade to big bet if Speed Baby is odds on ).
favourite). I do not base my pick on whimsical theories but through the checking of previous lead up track wouts Laxon has a habit of sending him on a fast gallop in the early
part of this week and he duly obliged with a 34.5 barrier trial. If it rains at Kranji then I suggest to stick with a small bet on BTTE or switch to Speed Baby or consider a one win/multiple placing modest bet on Always Certain
On the case for Speed Baby his AUS $280K price tag and his finishing burst in losing to stablemate has convionced all his fans he will thereabouts at the finish line. If there is a weakness in Speed Baby's credentials his sectionals are not impressive(the rason could be that the track though rated good had some rain water which made it close to yielding).
On the other hand Always Certain with his good barrier draw and his improving sectionals from doing 48.64 over 1600M in September 2010 to 48.21 over 1800M in July 2011
as an improving 5YO might be the dark horse and surprise to either win or take the 2nd forecast spot. Most of the Media Tipsters have leftt Captain Obvious out of the top 4
and obviously(pardon the pun) I don't blame them as he looked like he was weakening rapidly as Speed Baby closed in on him.However through bloodstock
analysis on the deceased Sire Verglas who produced Group1 progeny I reckon a bit of distance workouts will see his stamina genes come to the fore although his dam is
by sprinting blood. I believe he will not lead like his last run but will have a more relaxed run and Burridge will want him to accompany Speed Banby in the Top 4.

In order my selections are 2-4-6-1-5-3-9. If you do not like any of my top 7 numbers replace him with number 8 Clint but stick to the top 9 and leave out all the big numbers(especially 13 which for this race will be unlucky for most.). I suggest a big bet on forecast / place forecast on 2#4 and a smaller enlarged bet on 2-4#2-4-6 and include 1 if his dividends are high. by doing 2-4#2-4-6-1. Go slow on tierce /quartet and bet token bets only but a 4 horse box on my top 4 for the qaurtet for a budget of $48 is a good alternative or a cheaper alternative use 2-4 as bankers and use 2-4-6-1 on the remaining lines for a $24 outlay.



Singapore Nap selects Race 4 number 5 : Rocket Man X 2
Singapore Nap selects Race 10 number 2 : Better Than Ever
Next Singapore 07 October 2011
Supplied in Singapore by Patrick Khoo