07 August 2011

STARSTATZ RACING 07 AUGUST 2011

The writing is on the wall for Merchant when the mystery writer(in the Straits Times advertorials ....I presume to be Michael Lee...i wonder why ariters are so ashamed of their work so as not to pen their names to the articles...perhaps due to space constraints...anyway I shall credit the score to Michael if Apache Crown wins,To keep up his fantastic strike rate for July Mr Craig Brennan has wisely opted for Super Easy...the shoo-in bet. With a little dose of good luck the ST advertorials might strike a 100% record for the day although Mr Shaw ,Dittatore and Mr Vorster may still have a say in the matter but 7 months is a long break and it will be a masterclass in training if Mr Shaw does achieve the feat and replicate French Irish's victory on Friday off a six month break. I shall reproduce my article on 7naps to announce my double direct quartet hits in Race 6 and Race 8 on Friday.

The race card today is a mixed bag with shoo-ins like Ip Man (congrats to STC broadcasting team for getting the right pronunciation) nad Super Easy coupled with good safe bets like Chan's Elektra Quinta De Lago and Cape D'Or. Other than these the rest of the card wopuld need an extra dose of good luck as my 2nd picks will give my 1st picks a run for the money. So be alert to last minute tote movement as an indication but in the main some of my 1st picks will deliver including 2 possible longshots in Whydouask and Lucky Find. If you want to be cautious I recommend Dutch betting in the races marked medium and do a cove rbet on the 2nd picks.

These are my selections :-
B
RACE 1 MEDIUM 2-8-6-4...LONGSHOT OF THE DAY CAN CONSIDER EQUAL COVER BET ON 8....PACE GOOD

RACE 2 BIG...7-11-3-2....SHOO-IN BEST BET....GOOD VALUE AS BANKER FOR EXOTIC BETS BUT POOR VALUE FOR WION/PLACE....PACE SLOW

RACE 3 BIG...3-4-6-1...2ND BEST SHOO-IN BET....PACE VERY FAST

RACE 4 BIG ...1-3-7-5....PACE SLOW

RACE 5 BIG...1-3-7-2....2ND BEST BET OF THE DAY...GOOD SAFE BET...PACE GOOD

RACE 6 MEDIUM...10-3-8-2 ....2ND BEST LONGSHOT OF THE DAY...CAN COVER 3....PACE GOOD TO FAST

race 7 MEDIUM...4-5-3-2-1...BEST VALUE BET ...SUGGEST FORECAST /PLACE FORECAST WITH 5 AND 3. FOR POLITICAL POINTS i HAVE SWAPPED POSITIONS ON MY 1ST 2 SELECTIONS ON SINGAPORE NAP AND I AM DOING A STRONG FORECAST/PLACE FORECAST BET ON 4#5 AND DOING A STRONG COVER BET ON 5.AND INVESTING LESS ON THE MERCHANT CPOMBINATION....PACE GOOD

RACE 8 BIG 6-3-7-5....BEST BET OF THE DAY AT VALUE....PACE SLOW

RACE 9 MEDIUM 2-9-7-6...PACE GOOD...CAN CONSIDER COVER BET ON 9

RACE 10 MEDIUM...3-9-4-11...CAN CONSIDER EQUAL COVER BET ON 9..PACE FAST


Singapore Nap
7 August 2011

Dittatore

Race 7 OPEN B97
1200M polytrack
Stakes $95,000


BACKGROUND INFORMATION

BREAKING NEWS !!! Starstatz Racing proves that lightniong can strike twice inn
the same place by hitting a directn tierce/quartet in Race 6 and Race 8 on
Friday. As a bomus Starstatz Racing manage a top tipster performance of the day
with 4 winners. In addition modest tierce were struck within 4 selections . 2
direct tierces /quartets with the 4 selections in the exact order...the
equivalent of a hpole in one in golf. The value for the tierce/quartet was
$93/$265 in Race 6 and $43/$165 in Race 8. As a further bonus the quartet of
$495 was struck in Race 9 using selections but using 2 bankers. We managed the
direct forecast of $9 in Race 9 as well. To put this feat of a strike on the
direct quartet ion race 6 a reader could have been lucky enough to spend $2 to
get the $265. In reality he may have used the winner as a banker and box the
remaining 3 horses for a $24 investment. In other terms it is like putting $5 on
a longshot and it comes in paying $662...how is that for value. Starstatz Racing
did a direct quartet hit 7 times last season ranging from $19 to $411. This is
my 3rd or 4th direct quartet hit this season.!

On the tally front Craig Brennan hit a winner and is now on 6 wins from 11 races
for a strike rate of 54.55% while Michael did a baffling (the trainer himself
mentioned Funca was in need of a run)fruitless punt on Funca while Placais did
his winner on French Irish. Andrew Frost still leads the table with 179 from 581
selections for a 30.86 % strike rate while Tan Thean Loon is now in 2nd with 169
wins from 581 selections for a strike rate of 29.09% . By comparison Singapor
eNap in now lyying 3rd with 18 wins 20 placings from 62 selections while
Starstatz Racing is now in 7th with 54 from 200 selections for a strike rate of
27%. i do apologise for the typos in both blogs on Friday and I typed in racing
Guide instead of Punters Way when i compared the 2 race books.. I expect the ST
advertorials to tip Merchant if he he is going to win on Sunday and maybe some
other horse if Merchant is going to fail. Anyway I believe Merchant is
vulnerable and can be beaten by either Dittatore or Apache Crown.


PREVIEW OF RACE

I am behind schedule as usual but i do believe this is a 3 way fight between
Dittatore , Apache Crown with DI(Dittatore) and Merchant being the 2 class
horses in the race. The pace will be good qith 1-6-4 as natural front runners
with on pacers 2and 5 following closely with 3 and 7 at the tail end.
Merchant is vulnerable today as he does not have the best HR/SF or sectional
times in this race . However he has been penalised the most points ie 7 by the
handicapper and the pace it becomes fast will suit his off pace style. He does
possess th ebest strike rate of 5 wins from 12 starts in his favour.
My pick Dittatore my indeed be in need of a run as commented by Andrew Frost but
can lightning strike twice and can Mr Shaw produce a similar encore and repeat
French Irish's feat on Fridat. The difference is a 7 month break instead of 6
months and this is a sprint race while French Irish was at 1600MDittatore
possesses the best HR of 95.33(only Kalash is higher but he did it on turf) and
his SF is a good 1.16 seconds or approximately 6 lengths ahead of the field iof
he is back to his best. He does have a placing for 3 1st up starts.. His
sectional time at 47.8 is much better than Dynamic Dan at 48.41 and Apache Crown
at 48.46 while Merchant is at 48,77 domne inl lower company but certainly
haviong room for improvement.. Even if Shaw brings his condition to 80%
Dittatore can still account for this average field and his preparation of
Dittatore looks similar to that of French irish so we harbour the hope of
lightning striking twice in the same place. If Dittatore is in poor condition
than I believe Apache Crown at HR 91.83 , SF at 1:11.25 can edge ot Merchant.
whose figures are at HR 89.53 SF at 1:12.34.
We recommend a medium bet on Dittatore and a cover French bet on Apache Crown
and pit myself against Merchant and play the role of Bagman.. Merchant might yet
prove me wrong...let's see if my judgement is sound in the face of Merchant
being an odds on favourite. i am willing to take a calulated risk against
Merchant but will not bet the house against it happening as Merchant's awesome
strike rate and class and if the pace is hot he might still deliver!

In order my selections are 5-4-3-2-7-1. I suggest using 2 bankers as I do have a
healthy respect for Frosty's opinion but I am hoping Mr Shaw will pull off a
training coup by bringing Dittatore close to peak race fitness and give it a
good shake.. I suggest a forecast on 5-4-3 box in case 5 fails..Put 5-4-3 on the
2nd line as well if on a tight budget but if budget is not a problem throw the
remaining selections on the 2nd , 3rd and 4th lines Good Luck. Look out for the
Starstatz racing posting as I did a quick and cursory handicap of the full card
with safe bets like Ip Man, Super Easy and Chan's Elektra to look forward to!
Dittatore should be a value bet of the day with a good return on dividends as
most tipsters have left him out of the top 4! i AM BANKING ON sHAW'S TRAINING
EXPERTISE TO COME TO THE FORE!



Singapore Nap selection for Race 7 : number 5 Dittatore

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